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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?" Event volume totals $17M across outcomes, with $7M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 84.3%, with top volume on "March 31" at 81.0% and $7M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "↓ $70" at 66.2% and $162K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31
$7M
Highest implied
US/Israel strikes Iran on...? - March 8
98.9%
Top priced
US/Israel strikes Iran on...? - March 8
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 81.0% with $7M traded.
Lead stories
BBC World Service - Focus on Africa , US ‑ Israel war with Iran hits oil in Africa
BBC World Service - Focus on Africa , US ‑ Israel war with Iran hits oil in Africa. Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz comes to a standstill. US - Israel - Iran War : 37 Indian - Flagged Vessels Stranded In Strait Of Hormuz , Rs 100 Bn Assets At Risk.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, reuters.com, news18.com
Azerbaijan says Iran struck its territory , as war spills over border
Azerbaijan says Iran struck its territory , as war spills over border. The numbers behind the IDF 12th wave of strikes in Tehran. IDF hits Iranian ballistic missile storage site.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $769M+1%
B3
Lead market: Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June? - ↓ $70 leads the desk at 66.2% with $162K traded.
Lead stories
Silver , gold ETFs surge up to 5 % as Mideast conflict fuels safe - haven demand . What should investors do ?. Gold Rate Today LIVE : MCX silver rate falls by over ₹16 , 000 from day high ; gold price below ₹1 . 62 lakh per 10 gm. Advance eyes bulk mining after wide Mexican silver - gold hits.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, livemint.com, brisbanetimes.com.au
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of March? - OpenAI leads the desk at 2.3% with $188K traded.
Lead stories
Prediction : Nvidia Stock Will Soar to This Price in 2026
Prediction : Nvidia Stock Will Soar to This Price in 2026. AppsFlyer acquisition stalls amid AI concerns.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, en.globes.co.il
Nvidia Is Probably Done Investing in OpenAI and Anthropic , Says CEO Why ?
Nvidia Is Probably Done Investing in OpenAI and Anthropic , Says CEO Why ?. Big tech group supports Anthropic in Pentagon fight | Honolulu Star - Advertiser. Apple , Google , Microsoft and other tech giants push back on Pentagon Anthropic blacklisting.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com,
B5
Lead market: GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.4% with $854K traded.
Lead stories
O Romeo Box Office Collections : Shahid Kapoor and Tripti Dimrii film with Vishal Bharadwaj remains flat on Holi , ne.... Demon Slayer Infinity Castle Returns To Indian Theatres On March 6 In Immersive ScreenX. Movie Room strengthens its position as Africa 24 - hour movie destination.
Sources: pinkvilla.com, news18.com, bizcommunity.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 100,000 leads the desk at 1.8% with $830K traded.
Lead stories
3 Things Every Strategy Investor Needs to Know
3 Things Every Strategy Investor Needs to Know. Crypto Crash : Is Bitcoin a Buy After Its 40 % Slump ?. Bitcoin Bulls Strike Back But $78K May Remain Resistance.
Sources: fool.com, fool.com, cointelegraph.com
ETH Rally Toward $2 . 5K Held Back By Macro , War , DApp Use
ETH Rally Toward $2 . 5K Held Back By Macro , War , DApp Use. Harvard Picks ETH USD After Trimming Bitcoin ETF Exposure. Ethereum ETFs Draw In $169M , Highest Level in Two Months.
B7
Lead market: Warriors leads the desk at 57.0% with $386K traded.
Lead stories
Rockets vs . Warriors Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 5
Rockets vs . Warriors Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 5. Rockets vs . Warriors Time , TV & Stream – March 5. Thursday NBA Best Bets March 5 NBA Predictions & Picks.
Sources: am1300thezone.iheart.com, am1300thezone.iheart.com, thespread.com
Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves LIVE Score Updates in NBA Game | 03 / 05 / 2026
Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves LIVE Score Updates in NBA Game | 03 / 05 / 2026. Timberwolves vs . Raptors Injury Report – March 5. Timberwolves vs . Raptors Injury Report – March 5.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k leads the desk at 19.9% with $9K traded.
Lead stories
Renewables And Fossil Fuels In Times Of War
Renewables And Fossil Fuels In Times Of War. China decarbonisation plan takes cautious steps as world backtracks on climate. Organic Valley , Stonyfield Organic , UNFI , and Whole Foods Market Collaborate in Groundbreaking Value Chain Climate....
Sources: cleantechnica.com, dealstreetasia.com, perishablenews.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.9%
$17K
Is the Iranian Regime Cracking ? Police , Soldiers , and Even IRGC Members Not Showing Up to Work
Is the Iranian Regime Cracking ? Police , Soldiers , and Even IRGC Members Not Showing Up to Work. Reports Claim U . S . Arming Kurds to Fight Iran. IDF completes 12th wave of strikes in Tehran ; Alborz province , IRGC , Basij targets hit.
Sources: hotair.com, breitbart.com, aninews.in
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 at 81.0% with $7M traded.
Top volume remains in Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31.
Lead event
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31
Trading at 81.0% with $7M in volume.
Event leaders
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Top volume: March 31 | 81.0% | $7M
Top odds: December 31 | 84.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 12.8% | $3M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 38.0% | $2M
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Top volume: Ken Paxton | 17.0% | $2M
Top odds: John Cornyn | 84.0%
Top volume & odds: Mojtaba Khamenei | 52.9% | $1M
5.3%
-0.3pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $355M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $365M+1%
Wells Fargo shakes off last Fed consent order after decade - long regulatory cleanup
Wells Fargo shakes off last Fed consent order after decade - long regulatory cleanup. Crypto scores first historic access to Fed payment system. Kraken Gains Fed Access : Could Ripple Follow With Its Own Master Account ?.
Sources: investmentnews.com, aol.com, finance.yahoo.com
US Stock Market | Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh faces political hurdles , economic tests
US Stock Market | Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh faces political hurdles , economic tests. Forget Tariffs , If Stock Market Crash Occurs Under Trump , These 3 Catalysts Will Be To Blame - State Street SPDR S.... Fed survey reveals Trump tariff gut punch to the backbone of the U . S . economy : small business.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, benzinga.com, fortune.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June? - ↓ $70 at 66.2% with $162K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June? - ↓ $70.
Event leaders
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
Top volume & odds: ↓ $70 | 66.2% | $162K
Top volume & odds: No change | 89.0% | $138K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume: 12+ (300+ bps) | 2.3% | $123K
Top odds: 1 (25 bps) | 26.0%
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 95.0% | $109K
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of June? | 78.0% | $32K
Popular events
Adrian Weckler : If youre looking for signs of a weird and creepy AI dystopia , youve come to the right place.
Sources: independent.ie
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of March? - OpenAI at 2.3% with $188K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of March? - OpenAI.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of March? - OpenAI
Trading at 2.3% with $188K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: OpenAI | 2.3% | $188K
Top odds: Anthropic | 75.1%
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: Anthropic | 34.9% | $169K
Top odds: Google | 39.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 1.1% | $98K
Popular events
Helping the Church Think Clearly - Christianity Today
Helping the Church Think Clearly - Christianity Today. Were God Guerilla Warrior - Christianity Today. This Easter , Let Lose Our Hope - Christianity Today.
Sources: christianitytoday.com, christianitytoday.com, christianitytoday.com
Lewis Hamilton confirms an F1 movie sequel is coming
Lewis Hamilton confirms an F1 movie sequel is coming. Emma Stone BAFTA Slim Look Sparks Ozempic Speculation , Comparisons to Ariana Grande , Demi Moore. Kelly Osbourne Net Worth 2026 : How Ozzy Osbourne Daughter Built Her Fortune.
Sources: drive.com.au, ibtimes.co.uk, koimoi.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes at 2.4% with $854K traded.
Top volume remains in GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.4% | $854K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $775K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 18.0% | $668K
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Top volume & odds: Timothée Chalamet | 55.0% | $71K
Popular events
Sources: cointelegraph.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
FxWirePro - Upcoming Token launches
FxWirePro - Upcoming Token launches. FxWirePro - Ongoing Activities Across the Market. Federated Hermes U . S . Strategic Dividend ETF ( NYSEARCA : FDV ) Short Interest Down 35 . 9 % in January.
Sources: econotimes.com, econotimes.com, tickerreport.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 100,000 at 1.8% with $830K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 100,000.
Event leaders
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 2,200 | 72.0% | $614K
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $50M | 68.0% | $175K
Top volume & odds: June 30, 2026 | 73.0% | $131K
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $700M | 40.8% | $123K
Popular events
Sources: vavel.com, kxno.iheart.com, kfan.iheart.com
CAF Officially Sets Quarter - Final Dates for Champions League Knockout Stage
CAF Officially Sets Quarter - Final Dates for Champions League Knockout Stage. Amstel Malta Signs Asisat Oshoala as Brand Ambassador – THISDAYLIVE. Man United told Ancelotti would be the ideal manager for them.
Sources: moroccoworldnews.com, thisdaylive.com, caughtoffside.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Warriors | 57.0% | $386K
Top volume & odds: Timberwolves | 95.0% | $344K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 72.0% | $5K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 67.0% | $4K
Popular events
Washington takes another step to link its carbon market with California and Quebec. Persistence Market Research Pvt . Ltd .: Net - Zero Energy Buildings Market to Reach US$ 198 . 1 Billion by 2033 as S.... Net - Zero Energy Buildings Market to Reach US$ 198 . 1 Billion by 2033 as Sustainable Construction and Renewable Int....
Sources: thereflector.com, finanznachrichten.de, prnewswire.com
Australia Post sets new 2030 targets to reduce carbon emissions and enhance circularity | Empower Stories | Build Aut.... Ocean Energy Market Analysis - Global Industry Size , Share , Trends and Forecast 2022 - 2030. Asian Utilities Under Investor Pressure for Climate Action and Capital Realignment.
Sources: econews.com.au, altenergymag.com, downtoearth.org.in
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k at 19.9% with $9K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$1,992
+$918
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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