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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?" Event volume totals $11M across outcomes, with $2M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?)" at 75.0% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in Jan 2026?" Highest implied odds are for "Fed maintains rate" at 99.0%, with top volume on "Cut 25bps" at 2.0% and $2M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$2M
Highest implied
Pro Football Championship MVP? - Byron Murphy Jr.
100.0%
Most liquid
$11M
Volume leaders
$2M
22.0%
Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps
$2M
2.0%
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes
$2M
75.0%
Liquidity watch
$11M
33.0%
$11M
B1
Lead market: Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 75.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
American Takes Bigger Hit From Government Shutdown
American Takes Bigger Hit From Government Shutdown. US Shutdown Odds at 75 % How Hard Will Bitcoin Be Hit ?. Government shutdown looms over Minnesota shooting demands.
Sources: skift.com, finance.yahoo.com, fox13now.com
Market thinks BlackRock Rieder will next chair the Fed . What at stake
Market thinks BlackRock Rieder will next chair the Fed . What at stake. Federal Reserve meets Wednesday for its first interest rate decision of 2026 . Here what to expect .. CNBC Daily Open : Trump hikes South Korea tariffs markets focus on Big Tech earnings.
B2
Awaiting market data for Impeachment tracker.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $42M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps leads the desk at 2.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Fed expected to keep rates unchanged
Fed expected to keep rates unchanged. Fed expected to keep rates unchanged as Chair Powell pivots back to economics. US stocks mostly gained ahead of FOMC and Mag 7 earnings , while dollar tumbles on Trump FX rhetoric - Newsquawk Asia....
Sources: ocregister.com, bostonglobe.com, zerohedge.com
Fed expected to keep rates unchanged as Chair Powell pivots back to economics
Fed expected to keep rates unchanged as Chair Powell pivots back to economics. Fed expected to keep rates unchanged. Federal Reserve meets Wednesday for its first interest rate decision of 2026 . Here what to expect ..
B4
Lead market: Best AI in Jan 2026? - Claude leads the desk at 1.0% with $84K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic $350 Billion Bet : Closing the AI Mega - Round
Anthropic $350 Billion Bet : Closing the AI Mega - Round. Ricursive Intelligence nabs $300M to speed up chip design with AI. Anthropic fundraising : Round wraps above $10 billion and could rise.
Sources: webpronews.com, siliconangle.com, cnbc.com
Microsoft AI Chips : Microsoft rolls out next generation of its AI chips , takes aim at Nvidia software , ETTelecom. Anthropic Closes Funding Round Exceeding Its $10 Billion Target. Microsoft rolls out next generation of its AI chips , takes aim at Nvidia software.
B5
Lead market: Who will attend the Big Game? - Donald Trump leads the desk at 7.0% with $113K traded.
Lead stories
What to know about College Gameday visit to Lawrence for KU - BYU
What to know about College Gameday visit to Lawrence for KU - BYU. Seahawks fans navigate pricey travel for Super Bowl. Buckeyes tip off despite snow as winter weather cancels other games.
Sources: kctv5.com, kiro7.com, abc6onyourside.com
Immigration crackdown chief to leave Minneapolis
Immigration crackdown chief to leave Minneapolis. UK Pensions : DC Trustee Agenda Update – February 2026 | A & O Shearman. The Latest : Federal Judge orders ICE chief to court to explain why detainees are denied due process.
B6
Lead market: How high will Bitcoin get in January? - Above $100,000.00 leads the desk at 5.0% with $79K traded.
Lead stories
Stablecoin Outflows Signal Capital Exit as Bitcoin Trades Flat
Stablecoin Outflows Signal Capital Exit as Bitcoin Trades Flat. Bitcoin Miners Adapt As New Capital Flows Toward Bitcoin Everlight Presale. Bitcoin ( BTC ) Price Prediction : Bitcoin Eyes Potential $230K Super Cycle After Key $85K Support Bounce.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, bravenewcoin.com, bravenewcoin.com
B7
Lead market: Real Madrid leads the desk at 22.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Queen Letizia puts contemporary spin on heritage look – straight off the 2026 runways
Queen Letizia puts contemporary spin on heritage look – straight off the 2026 runways. How Immigration Transformed Europe Most Conservative Capital. I took a day trip from Manchester to Madrid and spent just £100.
Sources: hellomagazine.com, thenation.com, manchestereveningnews.co.uk
Bill Belichick Thinks Politics Kept Him Out of NFL Hall of Fame : Report
Bill Belichick Thinks Politics Kept Him Out of NFL Hall of Fame : Report. Browns QB Shedeur Sanders Reacts To Being Named Pro Bowl Substitute For Drake Maye. Report : Ex - Colts GM told Hall of Fame voters Bill Belichick should wait a year as punishment for Spygate.
B8
Lead market: Highest temperature in LA on Jan 27, 2026? - 70° to 71° leads the desk at 1.0% with $109K traded.
Lead stories
Mumbai Records Highest Night Temperature Of January : No Major Drop Likely
Mumbai Records Highest Night Temperature Of January : No Major Drop Likely. Unbelievable heat - Temperature record broken amid heatwave in Australia Victoria. IMD warns of heavy rain and snow in Himachal Pradesh ; cold wave likely to intensify.
Sources: skymetweather.com, thestar.com.my, aninews.in
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
68.0%
Sources: cnbc.com, cbsnews.com, cnbc.com
Christine Lagarde , ECB Have Just Been Upended by Hard Politics
Christine Lagarde , ECB Have Just Been Upended by Hard Politics. Trump promises rate cuts with new Fed chair pick as Powell defends cautious approach. Trump promises rate cuts with new Fed chair pick as Powell defends cautious approach.
Sources: bloomberg.com, katu.com, wlos.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes at 75.0% with $2M traded.
Liquidity centers on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?) | 75.0% | $2M
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 5.0% | $873K
Top odds: Rick Rieder | 50.0%
When will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Top volume: Before February 1 | 11.0% | $196K
Top odds: Before March 16 | 95.0%
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Top volume & odds: Kristi Noem | 42.0% | $179K
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Top volume: Before February 1, 2026 | 4.0% | $140K
Top odds: Before September 1, 2026 | 46.0%
7.0%
0.0pp
$2M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $13M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $9M0%
Sources: seattletimes.com, sandiegouniontribune.com, cbsnews.com
GAIL sees higher gas availability in India as fertiliser , city gas drive demand
GAIL sees higher gas availability in India as fertiliser , city gas drive demand. Arctic blast threatens U . S . natural gas production , sparking price surge and winter energy concerns – NaturalNews.... Cushing Asset Nearly Doubles Number of Kinetik Shares.
Sources: marketscreener.com, naturalnews.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps at 2.0% with $2M traded.
Liquidity centers on Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps.
Event leaders
Fed funds rate after Jan 2026 meeting?
Top volume: Above 3.75% | 2.0% | $48K
Top odds: Above 3.25% | 100.0%
Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above $2.90 | 75.0% | $31K
Top odds: Above $2.85 | 99.0%
Top volume & odds: Above 1.0% | 100.0% | $25K
Popular events
Commentary : How China manages Singapore - based Manu sale will reveal its AI red line
Commentary : How China manages Singapore - based Manu sale will reveal its AI red line.
Sources: channelnewsasia.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Best AI in Jan 2026? - Claude at 1.0% with $84K traded.
Liquidity centers on What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026? - gpt-5.2.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 13.0% | $18K
What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026?
Top volume: gpt-5.2 | 1.0% | $15K
Top odds: gemini-3-pro | 98.0%
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026?
Top volume: Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026? | 16.0% | $7K
Top odds: OpenAI | 98.0%
Top volume & odds: Gemini | 57.0% | $5K
Popular events
Vol $84K
Vol $18K
Sources: irishexaminer.com, jdsupra.com, click2houston.com
What BAFTA Snubs for Delroy Lindo and Amy Madigan Mean for Oscars
What BAFTA Snubs for Delroy Lindo and Amy Madigan Mean for Oscars. F1 Was An Oscars Surprise , But After The Voter Responses , Im Thinking Perhaps It Shouldnt Have Been. Roadside Attractions to Release the 2026 Oscar Nominated Shorts.
Sources: variety.com, cinemablend.com, indiewire.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Who will attend the Big Game? - Donald Trump at 7.0% with $113K traded.
Liquidity centers on Oscar for Best Picture? - Marty Supreme.
Event leaders
Who will leave their role in the Trump Administration in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Greg Bovino | 74.0% | $43K
Top volume & odds: One Battle After Another | 69.0% | $41K
How many launches will SpaceX have in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 12 | 26.0% | $30K
Top odds: Above 10 | 100.0%
Grammy Award for Song Of The Year?
Top volume & odds: Golden [From "KPop Demon Hunters"] | 72.0% | $26K
Tether Tokenized Gold Accelerates While Dollar Stablecoins Grow Slowly. Bitcoin Surges as ETFs and Institutional Flows Redefine Market Momentum. Police Report.
Sources: economywatch.com, financial-news.co.uk, polkio.com
Bitcoin USD Price Slips To $86K , Gold Steals the Spotlight
Bitcoin USD Price Slips To $86K , Gold Steals the Spotlight. Bitcoin vs . Ethereum ETFs : Price Upside or Network Growth. Bitcoin , ether volatility trading gets easier with Polymarket new Volmex contracts.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, coindesk.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by How high will Bitcoin get in January? - Above $100,000.00 at 5.0% with $79K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before February 2026.
Lead event
How high will Bitcoin get in January? - Above $100,000.00
Trading at 5.0% with $79K in volume.
Event leaders
How high will Bitcoin get in January?
Top volume & odds: Above $100,000.00 | 5.0% | $79K
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Top volume: Before February 2026 | 4.0% | $31K
Top odds: Before July 2026 | 66.0%
Top volume & odds: Before June 2026 | 12.0% | $30K
Bitcoin price on Jan 30, 2026 at 5pm EST?
Top volume: $89,250 or above | 52.0% | $22K
Top odds: $76,250 or above | 100.0%
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
Top volume & odds: Above $200000 | 14.0% | $18K
Sources: usmagazine.com, nesn.com, masslive.com
The Roony Bardghji derby : Barcelona €2 . 5m Copenhagen signing impressing in Lamine Yamal shadow
The Roony Bardghji derby : Barcelona €2 . 5m Copenhagen signing impressing in Lamine Yamal shadow. Barcelona vs . C Copenhagen : How & When to Watch. Where to stream Barcelona vs . Copenhagen UEFA Champions League match today for free.
Sources: nytimes.com, moroccoworldnews.com, mlive.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Real Madrid at 22.0% with $2M traded.
Liquidity centers on New England.
Event leaders
Pro Football Champion: Seattle vs New England
Top volume: New England | 33.0% | $1M
Top odds: Seattle | 68.0%
Top volume & odds: Purdue | 59.0% | $425K
Popular events
In Pictures : Storm Chandra tears through united kingdom and Ireland. Going to take a little while | Indy leaders hope to have snow removal complete by late Tuesday. Polar Bear Joyfully Plays in Fresh Snow at Missouri Zoo Following Intense Snowstorm.
Sources: edp24.co.uk, wthr.com, people.com
Toronto crews working to remove snow from streets , starting with hospitals : Chow – Winnipeg Free Press. Shoveling snow ? Over - exertion and cold temps can raise your heart risks. Blame the weather : Southern California homebuyers pay 122 % more.
Sources: winnipegfreepress.com, capitalgazette.com, ocregister.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Highest temperature in LA on Jan 27, 2026? - 70° to 71° at 1.0% with $109K traded.
Liquidity centers on Snow in Miami in Jan 2026? - Above 0.1 inches.
Lead event
Highest temperature in LA on Jan 27, 2026? - 70° to 71°
Trading at 1.0% with $109K in volume.
Event leaders
Highest temperature in LA on Jan 27, 2026?
Top volume: 70° to 71° | 1.0% | $109K
Top odds: 72° to 73° | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: Above 0.1 inches | 2.0% | $76K
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 15.0 inches | 9.0% | $53K
Top odds: Above 3.0 inches | 100.0%
Snow in Washington DC in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 10.0 inches | 17.0% | $28K
Top odds: Above 6.0 inches | 100.0%
Snow in Philadelphia in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 15.0 inches | 12.0% | $13K
Top odds: Above 3.0 inches | 100.0%
Popular events
+$8,597
+$8,591
+$8,591
Kalshi via Jupiter
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