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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?" Event volume totals $25M across outcomes, with $11M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?)" at 57.0% and $11M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026?" Highest implied odds are for "Above $2.85" at 100.0%, with top volume on "Above $2.90" at 2.0% and $219K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes
$11M
Highest implied
Men's Australian Open Winner - Ben Shelton
100.0%
Most liquid
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton
$13M
Volume leaders
Liquidity watch
B1
Lead market: Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 57.0% with $11M traded.
Lead stories
If The Government Shuts Down , How Could You Be Impacted ?
If The Government Shuts Down , How Could You Be Impacted ?. Government Shutdown Odds Fall On Polymarket , Kalshi After Trump Says Republicans , Democrats Have Come Together. Government Shutdown Odds Fall On Polymarket , Kalshi After Trump Says Republicans , Democrats Have Come Together.
Sources: time.com, benzinga.com, benzinga.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Impeachment tracker.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $43M0%
B3
Lead market: Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026? - Above $2.90 leads the desk at 2.0% with $219K traded.
Lead stories
APD releases video of armed carjacking in effort to find suspects
APD releases video of armed carjacking in effort to find suspects. Man who sparked fatal Bronx gas explosion by stealing stove planned to trade it for crack : prosecutors. Homeless man in Bronx booked for sparking deadly high - rise fire and explosion that displaced 175 people – amNewYork.
Sources: 11alive.com, nydailynews.com, amny.com
B4
Lead market: Best AI in Jan 2026? - Grok leads the desk at 2.0% with $110K traded.
Lead stories
AI Big Tech results show investor demand for payoffs
AI Big Tech results show investor demand for payoffs. Samsung Chip Profit Soars After AI Supercharges Memory Market. Microsoft stock plunges as Wall Street questions AI investments.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, bloomberg.com, aljazeera.com
Investors punish Big Tech AI spending that delivers slower growth
Investors punish Big Tech AI spending that delivers slower growth. NVIDIA , Microsoft , and Amazon Eye Massive OpenAI Investment Amid $100B Funding Push. Poetiq Raises $45 . 8M for AI Meta - System , Surpasses Top LLMs on Industry Benchmark.
B5
Lead market: Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before January 31st? - Before Jan 31, 2026 leads the desk at 3.0% with $116K traded.
Lead stories
Ye AKA Kanye West Inks Deal With Gamma For Bully LP
Ye AKA Kanye West Inks Deal With Gamma For Bully LP. Kanye West Sets March Release Date for Bully Album. Ye AKA Kanye West Inks Deal With Gamma For Bully LP.
Sources: hiphopwired.com, rollingstoneindia.com, thebeatdfw.com
N . J . weather : When will our brutal blast of Arctic air finally end ? Here the forecast .
N . J . weather : When will our brutal blast of Arctic air finally end ? Here the forecast .. Vigil tonight in Muskegon for man killed by border agents. Donald Trump Skips Over Kristi Noem During Cabinet Meeting After She Sidelined from Minneapolis ICE Operation.
B6
Lead market: Bitcoin price on Jan 30, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $84,250 or above leads the desk at 50.0% with $194K traded.
Lead stories
Microsoft sell - off etches $400 billion hole in market , second highest on record
Microsoft sell - off etches $400 billion hole in market , second highest on record. Latest Articles.
Sources: fxstreet.com, freerepublic.com
Japan Biggest Bitcoin Treasury Firm Just Raised $137 Million to Buy Even More BTC
Japan Biggest Bitcoin Treasury Firm Just Raised $137 Million to Buy Even More BTC. Long - term bitcoin holders resume selling as price lags behind traditional markets. BTC USD Bitcoin price crash reason : Bitcoin price today falls to $84 , 000 : Why $800 million was wiped out amid cry....
Sources: ,
B7
Lead market: New England leads the desk at 33.0% with $960K traded.
Lead stories
Spygate cost Bill Belichick a Hall of Fame honor , but it cant hurt his legacy
Spygate cost Bill Belichick a Hall of Fame honor , but it cant hurt his legacy. Former Colts GM sets record straight about Bill Belichick Hall of Fame vote. Bill Belichick NFL Hall Of Fame Snub : 3 Reasons Voters Likely Voted No.
Sources: nytimes.com, masslive.com, forbes.com
B8
Lead market: Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 15.0 inches leads the desk at 4.0% with $61K traded.
Lead stories
Heavy snow likely to blanket Sea of Japan side again Jan . 29 - 30 | The Asahi Shimbun : Breaking News , Japan News a.... Myrtle Beach area expecting 4 - 6 inches of snow. How much snow will North Carolina get ? Maps show up to 15 inches.
Sources: asahi.com, postandcourier.com, yahoo.com
Cold Weather Advisory in effect for Staten Island with dangerous wind chills
Cold Weather Advisory in effect for Staten Island with dangerous wind chills. Flakes expected to fly in the Midlands . Here when and how much snow forecast. N . J . weather : Big weekend noreaster to bring light snow , strong winds to parts of state.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$12M
33.0%
$12M
68.0%
Trump says he will announce his Fed chief nominee on Friday. Why Powell wont say if he is staying on the Fed board. Trump Says US Should Pay World Lowest Interest Rates Calls Powell A Moron.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, livemint.com, forbes.com
Explainer - How does Iran system of power work ?
Explainer - How does Iran system of power work ?. Explainer - How does Iran system of power work ?. Secret global property empire of Iranian Ayatollah heir including mansions on London Billionaire Row and Beverly Hill....
Sources: internazionale.it, al-monitor.com, dailymail.co.uk
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes at 57.0% with $11M traded.
Liquidity centers on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?) | 57.0% | $11M
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 2.0% | $3M
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 85.0%
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Top volume: Before February 1, 2026 | 4.0% | $503K
Top odds: Before September 1, 2026 | 47.0%
When will the government be fully funded?
Top volume: Before Jan 31, 2026 | 3.0% | $313K
Top odds: Before Feb 4, 2026 | 89.0%
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Top volume: Before February | 1.0% | $301K
Top odds: Before 2027 | 21.0%
9.0%
0.0pp
$2M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $13M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $9M0%
Gold : Rally continues with all - time highs – UOB Group. Orchid Island Capital Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Results. The Overnight Report : Meta Up , Microsoft Down.
Sources: fxstreet.com, manilatimes.net, fnarena.com
First Estimate of FY26 Real GDP growth comes in at 7 . 4 %
First Estimate of FY26 Real GDP growth comes in at 7 . 4 %. Bhanumurthy : Can Budget Balance Growth And Fiscal Discipline ?. Best of Both Sides : Economic Survey is too arcane , not analytical enough.
Sources: indiainfoline.com, rediff.com, indianexpress.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026? - Above $2.90 at 2.0% with $219K traded.
Liquidity centers on Recession in 2025? - Starts.
Event leaders
Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above $2.90 | 2.0% | $219K
Top odds: Above $2.85 | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: Fed maintains rate | 91.0% | $104K
Top volume & odds: 2.1 to 2.5 | 80.0% | $27K
Popular events
Sources: marketscreener.com, econotimes.com, prnewswire.com
Investors punish Big Tech AI spending that delivers slower growth
Investors punish Big Tech AI spending that delivers slower growth. Elon Musk SpaceX in merger talks with xAI ahead of planned IPO , source says. Elon Musk SpaceX and xAI in merger talks ahead of planned IPO , source says.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, theglobeandmail.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Best AI in Jan 2026? - Grok at 2.0% with $110K traded.
Liquidity centers on Best AI in Jan 2026? - ChatGPT.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 13.0% | $38K
What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026?
Top volume: gpt-5.2 | 1.0% | $21K
Top odds: gemini-3-pro | 99.0%
Which Companies will officially announce an IPO before 2027?
Top volume & odds: OpenAI | 65.0% | $6K
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026?
Top volume: Tesla | 12.0% | $5K
Top odds: OpenAI | 97.0%
Popular events
Vol $110K
Vol $38K
ICE Next Planned Destination : the Super Bowl
ICE Next Planned Destination : the Super Bowl. Some blind fans to experience Super Bowl with tactile device that tracks ball. Tactile device to change blind fan Super Bowl experience – NBC Los Angeles.
Sources: newser.com, baltimoresun.com, nbclosangeles.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before January 31st? - Before Jan 31, 2026 at 3.0% with $116K traded.
Liquidity centers on Oscar for Best Picture? - Marty Supreme.
Lead event
Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before January 31st? - Before Jan 31, 2026
Trading at 3.0% with $116K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before January 31st?
Top volume & odds: Before Jan 31, 2026 | 3.0% | $116K
How many launches will SpaceX have in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 12 | 31.0% | $91K
Top odds: Above 10 | 100.0%
Grammy Award for Song Of The Year?
Top volume & odds: Golden [From "KPop Demon Hunters"] | 68.0% | $42K
BTC Slips to Yearly Low as Leverage Unwinds Below $85K
BTC Slips to Yearly Low as Leverage Unwinds Below $85K. Bitcoin slips below $88 , 000 after Fed holds rates ; $2 . 9 trillion wiped from crypto market. Bitcoin makes fresh 2026 low below $85K in wider market rout ( BTC - USD : Cryptocurrency ).
Sources: cointelegraph.com, moneycontrol.com, seekingalpha.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Bitcoin price on Jan 30, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $84,250 or above at 50.0% with $194K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before February 2026.
Lead event
Bitcoin price on Jan 30, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $84,250 or above
Trading at 50.0% with $194K in volume.
Event leaders
Bitcoin price on Jan 30, 2026 at 5pm EST?
Top volume: $84,250 or above | 50.0% | $194K
Top odds: $80,250 or above | 100.0%
Top volume: Before April 2026 | 4.0% | $127K
Top odds: Before June 2026 | 10.0%
How low will Bitcoin get in January?
Top volume & odds: Below $85,000.00 | 100.0% | $120K
How high will Bitcoin get in January?
Top volume & odds: Above $100,000.00 | 1.0% | $35K
Ethereum price on Jan 30, 2026 at 5pm EST?
Top volume: $2,820 or above | 20.0% | $33K
Top odds: $2,500 or above | 100.0%
Popular events
Win $500 meat vouchers with FMG and The Country for National Lamb Day. Gisborne / Wairoa Hill Country Farmer of the Year competition returns. Xander Schauffele returns to Farmers Insurance Open as favorite after recent win , new fatherhood.
Sources: nzherald.co.nz, nzherald.co.nz, cbs8.com
How to watch Pistons vs . Suns NBA free livestream Streameast alternatives
How to watch Pistons vs . Suns NBA free livestream Streameast alternatives. Dillon Brooks drops 40 , Pistons suffer largest defeat in 3 months to Suns. Dillon Brooks scores career - high 40 on his own T - shirt night , leading Suns past Pistons 114 - 96.
Sources: mlive.com, mlive.com, wzzm13.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by New England at 33.0% with $960K traded.
Liquidity centers on New England.
Event leaders
Pro Football Champion: Seattle vs New England
Top volume: New England | 33.0% | $960K
Top odds: Seattle | 68.0%
Top volume & odds: Detroit | 59.0% | $479K
Top volume & odds: Charlotte | 72.0% | $425K
Popular events
Sources: silive.com, yahoo.com, nj.com
NWS : Charleston could see snow , slush this weekend
NWS : Charleston could see snow , slush this weekend. Weather matters : Where Southern Californians pay the most for homes. Possible snow threatens Charleston Half Marathon.
Sources: postandcourier.com, sandiegouniontribune.com, postandcourier.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 15.0 inches at 4.0% with $61K traded.
Liquidity centers on Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 10.0 inches.
Lead event
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 15.0 inches
Trading at 4.0% with $61K in volume.
Event leaders
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 15.0 inches | 4.0% | $61K
Top odds: Above 10.0 inches | 100.0%
Snow in Washington DC in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 10.0 inches | 3.0% | $30K
Top odds: Above 6.0 inches | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: Above 0.1 inches | 1.0% | $19K
Snow in Philadelphia in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 15.0 inches | 3.0% | $15K
Top odds: Above 10.0 inches | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: Above 2.0 inches | 100.0% | $9K
+$8,597
+$8,591
+$8,591
Kalshi via Jupiter
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