Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Event volume totals $358M across outcomes, with $15M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Bill Pulte" at 100.0%, with top volume on "Judy Shelton" at 1.4% and $6M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 90.0%, with top volume on "25+ bps increase" at 1.9% and $7M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Fed decision in March? - 25+ bps increase
$7M
Highest implied
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Bill Pulte
100.0%
Most liquid
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Gavin Newsom
$0
Volume leaders
Liquidity watch
B1
Lead market: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton leads the desk at 1.4% with $6M traded.
Lead stories
Gold , silver prices fall sharply after hitting all - time highs
Gold , silver prices fall sharply after hitting all - time highs. Warsh at the Fed : Can he balance independence and Trump expectations ?. Gold , silver prices fall sharply after hitting all - time highs.
Sources: wcvb.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, wbaltv.com
Donald Trump threatens to sue comedian Trevor Noah over Grammys Epstein joke
Donald Trump threatens to sue comedian Trevor Noah over Grammys Epstein joke. Trump cant distance himself from shocking GOP loss in deep red district. Colin Allred blasts James Talarico over TikTok allegation that he called him a mediocre Black man.
B2
Awaiting market data for Democratic nominee, Republican nominee, Presidential election, California governor 2026, Trump out before 2027, Impeachment tracker, Portugal president, House control 2026, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume n/a
Awaiting market updates for this event.
Republican nominee
Event volume n/a
Awaiting market updates for this event.
Presidential election
Event volume n/a
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - 25+ bps increase leads the desk at 1.9% with $7M traded.
Lead stories
Warsh at the Fed : Can he balance independence and Trump expectations ?
Warsh at the Fed : Can he balance independence and Trump expectations ?. What Former Colleagues of Kevin Warsh Say About His Leadership. A Wave of Optimism Sweeps European Markets , with the CAC 40 close to 8 , 130 Points.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, businessinsider.com, marketscreener.com
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics leads the desk at 17.0% with $241K traded.
Lead stories
Elon Musk SpaceX acquires xAI in record - setting deal ahead of mega IPO
Elon Musk SpaceX acquires xAI in record - setting deal ahead of mega IPO. SpaceX acquires xAI as Musk looks to unify ambitions. SpaceX acquires xAI as Musk looks to unify ambitions.
Sources: livemint.com, juneesoutherncross.com.au, sconeadvocate.com.au
B5
Lead market: Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Dune: Messiah leads the desk at 1.4% with $37K traded.
Lead stories
Zootopia 2 Worldwide Box Office Collections : Turns highest grossing Hollywood animation film , nears USD 1 . 80 bill.... IMAX Box Office : James Cameron Topples Christopher Nolan As Avatar : Fire And Ash Becomes 5th Highest - Grosser Ever !. Border 2 Box Office Collection Hits Rs 367 Crore - Pragativadi I Latest Odisha News in English I Breaking News.
Sources: pinkvilla.com, koimoi.com, pragativadi.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 75,000 leads the desk at 100.0% with $58K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin Identity Crisis in 2026 : 4 Paths Forward and the Road to $150 , 000
Bitcoin Identity Crisis in 2026 : 4 Paths Forward and the Road to $150 , 000. The $80K Question : Bitcoin What Am I , Really ? Identity Crisis Cost Investors 15 % in One Day. Was The Bitcoin Bottom $75K ?: Here 4 Supporting Data Points.
Sources: investing.com, benzinga.com, cointelegraph.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Monaco leads the desk at 0.3% with $224K traded.
Lead stories
Amad lavishes praise on Sesko , reveals Carrick mantra - Man United News And Transfer News
Amad lavishes praise on Sesko , reveals Carrick mantra - Man United News And Transfer News. Arsenal scoop $2m prize for winning FIFA Women Champions Cup. Arsenal scoop $2m prize for winning FIFA Women Champions Cup.
Sources: thepeoplesperson.com, suncommercial.com, lebanondemocrat.com
B8
Market data is loading for this desk.
Lead stories
DHL Group adds new sustainability milestones in Asia Pacific across skies and streets
DHL Group adds new sustainability milestones in Asia Pacific across skies and streets. DHL Group adds new sustainability milestones in Asia Pacific across skies and streets. DHL : We enable global trade to become more sustainable.
Sources: manilatimes.net, businessdayghana.com, postandparcel.info
How climate cooperation could stabilize the Middle East
How climate cooperation could stabilize the Middle East. LEED v5 : Ushering in a new era of sustainable building. Balance of Economy and Ecology : Environment Minister commends Union Budget 2026 for sustainable development goals.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$0
8.0%
Sources: standard.co.uk, alternet.org, click2houston.com
Special runoff election will decide Republican nominee for vacant state Senate District 26 seat
Special runoff election will decide Republican nominee for vacant state Senate District 26 seat. GOP rival on the rise as JD Vance dips below key threshold in 2028 presidential betting. Gold , silver prices fall sharply after hitting all - time highs.
Sources: nwaonline.com, silive.com, kcci.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton at 1.4% with $6M traded.
Liquidity centers on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 1.4% | $6M
Top odds: Christopher Waller | 100.0%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Bernie Sanders | 0.9% | $2M
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 33.0%
Portugal Presidential Election
Top volume: André Ventura (CH) | 1.1% | $150K
Top odds: João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | 100.0%
Awaiting market updates for this event.
AstraZeneca shares launch on New York Stock Exchange. AstraZeneca shares launch on New York Stock Exchange. Elon Musk merges xAI into SpaceX in bid to build space data centres.
Sources: aol.co.uk, lbc.co.uk, nzherald.co.nz
Pound Sterling softens below 1 . 3700 as Trump picks Warsh for Fed
Pound Sterling softens below 1 . 3700 as Trump picks Warsh for Fed. Pound Sterling holds steady near 1 . 3700 as markets assess Warsh Fed outlook. UK house prices rise 0 . 3 % in January , Nationwide says.
Sources: fxstreet.com, fxstreet.com, marketscreener.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - 25+ bps increase at 1.9% with $7M traded.
Liquidity centers on Fed decision in March? - 25+ bps increase.
Event leaders
Top volume: Tesla | 0.3% | $48K
Top odds: Largest Company end of March? | 80.0%
Bank of England decision in February?
Top volume & odds: No change | 99.7% | $43K
ECB Interest Rates: February 2026
Top volume: 50+ bps decrease | 0.2% | $38K
Top odds: No change | 99.7%
Popular events
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang called its deal with Sam Altman OpenAI historic , but now he says it nothing .... Nvidia boss insists huge investment in OpenAI on track. 2 Unstoppable Magnificent Seven Growth Stocks to Buy Even if There a Stock Market Sell - Off in 2026.
Elon Musk SpaceX officially acquires Elon Musk xAI , with plan to build data centers in space
Elon Musk SpaceX officially acquires Elon Musk xAI , with plan to build data centers in space. SpaceX to Merge with xAI ? - Brave New Coin. Musk SpaceX to merge with xAI at combined valuation of $1 . 25 trillion , Bloomberg News reports.
Sources: techcrunch.com, bravenewcoin.com, marketscreener.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics at 17.0% with $241K traded.
Liquidity centers on Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics
Trading at 17.0% with $241K in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Viking Therapeutics | 17.0% | $241K
Top odds: Perplexity AI | 48.0%
Top volume: 1.25T–1.5T | 6.9% | $124K
Top odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 48.0%
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
Top volume & odds: 80% | 22.0% | $12K
Top volume & odds: 1T+ | 84.0% | $9K
Popular events
Steven Spielberg Just Completed His EGOT
Steven Spielberg Just Completed His EGOT. A smiling Cher laughs at her Grammys flubs in a good - natured , chaotic appearance. A smiling Cher laughs at her Grammys flubs in a good - natured , chaotic appearance.
Sources: extratv.com, kob.com, wyff4.com
ARC Raiders Budget Potentially Revealed by Analyst
ARC Raiders Budget Potentially Revealed by Analyst. Google new AI world model is already hitting the games industry , but it everything I hate about artificial intelligence. Will Toronto city council sink the iceberg home ?.
Sources: gamerant.com, techradar.com, torontosun.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Dune: Messiah at 1.4% with $37K traded.
Liquidity centers on Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Dune: Messiah.
Event leaders
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Dune: Messiah | 1.4% | $37K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 38.0%
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume & odds: One Battle After Another | 68.0% | $34K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will GTA 6 cost $100+?) | 1.0% | $29K
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Top volume & odds: 8+ | 51.0% | $12K
Popular events
Jim Cramer issues blunt warning , predicts next Bitcoin bottom. Why Is Bitcoin Dropping : Slipping Below $80 , 000 Signals a Deep Crisis of Belief. FinancialContent - Bitcoin $97 , 000 Ceiling : The Intersection of Trade Wars and Fed Shifts.
Truist Financial Corp Raises Holdings in Federated Hermes U . S . Strategic Dividend ETF $FDV
Truist Financial Corp Raises Holdings in Federated Hermes U . S . Strategic Dividend ETF $FDV.
Sources: tickerreport.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 75,000 at 100.0% with $58K traded.
Liquidity centers on What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 75,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 75,000 | 100.0% | $58K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Top volume: June 30, 2026 | 13.0% | $44K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 30.0%
World Cup parking for $300 ? FIFA selling spots at L . A . games for more than tickets. Sometimes signs of aging show up on an Amazon delivery truck [ JEFF EDELSTEIN COLUMN ]. Laker LeBron James named All - Star for record 22nd time – Orange County Register.
Sources: nytimes.com, trentonian.com, ocregister.com
Rockets Within Striking Distance Of Second Seed As All - Star Break Approaches
Rockets Within Striking Distance Of Second Seed As All - Star Break Approaches.
Sources: forbes.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Monaco at 0.3% with $224K traded.
Liquidity centers on UEFA Champions League Winner - Monaco.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: 76ers | 52.0% | $94K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 59.0% | $68K
Top volume & odds: Seahawks | 69.0% | $54K
Top volume & odds: Grizzlies | 51.0% | $37K
Popular events
Sources: jpost.com, bdcnetwork.com, news.webindia123.com
Renewable energy news : Electrified Thermal Solutions , European Energy
Renewable energy news : Electrified Thermal Solutions , European Energy. Rheem® Unveils 2035 Sustainability Roadmap at 2026 AHR Expo. Court rulings order Dutch and German governments to strengthen climate plans.
Sources: greentechlead.com, prnewswire.com, globalgovernmentforum.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk markets are still loading.
Check back after the next refresh for the latest tape.
Lead event
Awaiting market updates
No spotlight market available for this section yet.
Popular events
More events soon
Vol n/a
More events soon
Vol n/a
More events soon
Vol n/a
+$3,480
+$1,559
+$1,366
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard