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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US strikes Iran by...?" Event volume totals $160M across outcomes, with $160M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "February 3" at 100.0%, with top volume on "January 31" at 0.0% and $42M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 80.0%, with top volume on "25+ bps increase" at 1.1% and $13M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US strikes Iran by...? - January 31
$42M
Highest implied
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Bill Pulte
100.0%
Top priced
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Bill Pulte
100.0%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US strikes Iran by...? - January 31 leads the desk at 0.0% with $42M traded.
Lead stories
What to know as Iran and US prepare for nuclear talks in Oman
What to know as Iran and US prepare for nuclear talks in Oman.
Sources: independent.co.uk
She came to make films , now leads one of India biggest production houses
She came to make films , now leads one of India biggest production houses. Gold Biggest One - Day Crash Since 1983 : How Trump New Fed Pick Kevin Warsh Halted the Metals Rally. Bessent says it would be up to Trump whether to sue his Fed nominee over interest rates.
Sources: indianexpress.com,
B2
Awaiting market data for California governor 2026, Impeachment tracker.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $578M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - 25+ bps increase leads the desk at 1.1% with $13M traded.
Lead stories
Fed holds bank capital buffers steady until 2027 amid stress test overhaul
Fed holds bank capital buffers steady until 2027 amid stress test overhaul. Fed Cook says it time to wait and see on rates. Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady.
Sources: thehindubusinessline.com, marketscreener.com, econotimes.com
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group leads the desk at 24.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
SpaceX merger provides lifeline for Elon Musk debt - ridden AI startup
SpaceX merger provides lifeline for Elon Musk debt - ridden AI startup. Anthropic rolls out Claude Opus 4 . 6 with 1 million - token context support. Anthropic , OpenAI rivalry spills into new Super Bowl ads.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, siliconangle.com, sun-sentinel.com
B5
Lead market: New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? - January 7 leads the desk at 0.0% with $15M traded.
Lead stories
The Op Games Launches Two New Board Games For February
The Op Games Launches Two New Board Games For February. Horoscope for Thursday , February 5 , 2026. NYT Connections hints and answers for February 5 , Tips to solve Connection # 970 ..
Sources: bleedingcool.com, gazetaexpress.com, mashable.com
One of the Best Fantasy Movies of the 21st Century Becomes a Major Streaming Hit
One of the Best Fantasy Movies of the 21st Century Becomes a Major Streaming Hit. The Exorcist Reboot Adds Another Oscar - Nominated MCU Star to Its Cast ( And Fans Will Love It ). Music notes : Alex Warren , Billie Eilish and more.
B6
Lead market: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - December 31, 2025 leads the desk at 0.0% with $18M traded.
Lead stories
The Software - Crypto Trade Is Crumbling – Could Strategy Be Forced to Dump Bitcoin ? - BitMine Immersion ( AMEX : BM.... Bitcoin monthslong slide continues , hits fresh 15 - month low of $67k. Bitcoin price falls below pre - Trump second term levels , now hovering below $67 , 000.
Sources: benzinga.com, capitalgazette.com, wral.com
B7
Lead market: Nuggets leads the desk at 63.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Suns vs . Warriors Time , TV & Stream – Feb . 5
Suns vs . Warriors Time , TV & Stream – Feb . 5. NBA roundup : Knicks top Nuggets in 2OTs for 8th straight win. NBA roundup : Knicks top Nuggets in 2OTs for 8th straight win.
Sources: foxsports1450.iheart.com, newyorkstatesman.com, newyorktelegraph.com
Which Super Bowl Team Has Tougher Weather ?
Which Super Bowl Team Has Tougher Weather ?. Super Bowl inspires Seattle , Boston restaurants to make friendly wager. Super Bowl LX : Biggest Seahawks and Patriots Fans in Hollywood.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k leads the desk at 28.3% with $6M traded.
Lead stories
ENGIE - ENGIE and Equinor now track origin and ...
ENGIE - ENGIE and Equinor now track origin and .... Liberia : GOL Says No Carbon Levy On International Ships. Germany Renewable Energy Market Forecast , Trends , and Growth ( 2026 - 2035 ).
Sources: euro-petrole.com, allafrica.com, briefingwire.com
Trump Team Is Bullying the World Out of Climate Change Policies
Trump Team Is Bullying the World Out of Climate Change Policies. Renewables Stall in Rural Counties as Land Use Fears Grow. Weve got to live out hope : Climate orgs urge New Mexico lawmakers to pass Clear Horizons Act.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Delgado picks India Walton as running mate for Democratic primary
Delgado picks India Walton as running mate for Democratic primary. KY Senate poll : Andy Barr edges ahead of Daniel Cameron , Booker leads Dems. Bessent says it would be up to Trump whether to sue his Fed nominee over interest rates.
Sources: foxnews.com, yahoo.com, isp.netscape.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US strikes Iran by...? - January 31 at 0.0% with $42M traded.
Top volume remains in US strikes Iran by...? - January 31.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 2.8% | $35M
Top odds: Bill Pulte | 100.0%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Oprah Winfrey | 1.0% | $32M
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 30.0%
Portugal Presidential Election
Top volume & odds: Raul Perestrello (IND) | 100.0% | $19M
Popular events
6.2%
+0.6pp
$5M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $232M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $237M0%
Gold , Silver Prices Today Live Updates : Gold , silver continue to rise after spectacular crash. Silver rate today : COMEX silver crashes 10 %; is it the beginning of a big fall after the Hunt Brothers - like rally ?. Honeymoon Murder 2 . 0 : Man Dies In Hit - And - Run Planned By Wife , Her Boyfriend.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, livemint.com, news18.com
Fed nominee Kevin Warsh is dangerous : Senator Elizabeth Warren
Fed nominee Kevin Warsh is dangerous : Senator Elizabeth Warren. Trump appoints Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair : What it means for markets. US inflation isnt subsiding , it heating up again.
Sources: bostonglobe.com, insurancenewsnet.com, thestar.com.my
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - 25+ bps increase at 1.1% with $13M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - 25+ bps increase.
Event leaders
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume: ↓ $4,700 | 0.0% | $709K
Top odds: ↓ $4,600 | 69.5%
Popular events
FTSE 100 Live : London stocks retreat as LSEG , Pearson and Experian hit by AI worries. FTSE 100 Live : London stocks retreat as RELX , LSEG , Experian hit by AI worries.
What Anthropic Latest AI Tool Means for the Legal Software Industry
What Anthropic Latest AI Tool Means for the Legal Software Industry.
Sources: businessinsider.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group at 24.0% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group
Trading at 24.0% with $4M in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Nebius Group | 24.0% | $4M
Top odds: Pizza Hut | 63.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 3.1% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Yes (Human moon landing in 2026?) | 6.8% | $2M
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 19.3% | $2M
Sources: comicbook.com, comicbook.com, star105.com
PS5 will hopefully avoid a price hike this year as Sony CFO says we intend to minimize the impact of ongoing RAM shor.... Borderlands 4 is finally getting Pearlescent gear this month , plus Bounty Pack 2 ahead of the March story update bri.... Authorities move to clear illegally docked vessels from The Carenage.
Sources: gamesradar.com, gamesradar.com, nowgrenada.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? - January 7 at 0.0% with $15M traded.
Top volume remains in New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? - January 7.
Lead event
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? - January 7
Trading at 0.0% with $15M in volume.
Event leaders
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume: January 7 | 0.0% | $15M
Top odds: December 31 | 8.0%
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Top volume & odds: Stellan Skarsgård | 71.0% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will GTA 6 cost $100+?) | 1.3% | $2M
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Top volume: December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | $2M
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 38.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 9.0% | $2M
MetaMask Partners Ondo Finance to Integrate Tokenized US Stocks , ETFs , Commodities.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
Apple shocks fans with big price cuts on iPhone 16 series but there is a catch
Apple shocks fans with big price cuts on iPhone 16 series but there is a catch. Sales Of The Ford Mustang Beat The Mach - E In January. Three ways Apple achieved the best iPhone sales in history in China.
Sources: gizchina.com, carbuzz.com, 9to5mac.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - December 31, 2025 at 0.0% with $18M traded.
Top volume remains in MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - December 31, 2025.
Lead event
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - December 31, 2025
Trading at 0.0% with $18M in volume.
Event leaders
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Top volume: December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | $18M
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 25.0%
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
Top volume: December 31 | 0.0% | $6M
Top odds: September 30 | 37.0%
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Top volume: December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | $5M
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 54.0%
Bucks fans will vehemently vouch for Cooper Flagg new mentor
Bucks fans will vehemently vouch for Cooper Flagg new mentor. Shocking trade offers Bucks draft bust a golden opportunity. Antetokounmpo , Morant head the list of names to watch heading into NBA trade deadline - Las Vegas Sun News.
Sources: behindthebuckpass.com, behindthebuckpass.com, lasvegassun.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 63.0% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Seahawks | 69.0% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 63.0% | $1M
Top volume & odds: Hawks | 54.0% | $1
Top volume & odds: Wizards | 56.0% | $0
Popular events
Sources: foreignpolicy.com, governing.com, yahoo.com
K8 Weather Now : A look at impactful winters of the past
K8 Weather Now : A look at impactful winters of the past.
Sources: kait8.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k at 28.3% with $6M traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k.
Event leaders
January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Top volume: >1.19ºC | 1.6% | $177K
Top odds: 1.05–1.09ºC | 54.0%
Popular events
+$3,480
+$1,559
+$1,366
Kalshi via Jupiter
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