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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Event volume totals $478M across outcomes, with $4M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Kevin Warsh" at 96.0%, with top volume on "Judy Shelton" at 3.1% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 93.0%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 7.0% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton
$2M
Highest implied
Will Opinion launch a token by ___? - June 30, 2026
98.8%
Top priced
Will Opinion launch a token by ___? - June 30, 2026
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton leads the desk at 3.1% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Republicans dispute Democrat expanding of House target map in 2026 midterms
Republicans dispute Democrat expanding of House target map in 2026 midterms. A Federal Reserve Crisis of Confidence Threatens the Very Fabric of Wall Street -- and Investors May Pay the Price. Exclusive : FM Gideon Saar To Represent Israel At 1st Board Of Peace Meeting In Washington On Thursday.
Sources: foxnews.com, fool.com, i24news.tv
B2
Awaiting market data for Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $660M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 7.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Schroders : Why the Fed is struggling to tame inflation
Schroders : Why the Fed is struggling to tame inflation. Pepeto Announces $7 , 220 , 000 Presale Milestone as Bitcoin Surges on Inflation Data ; Early SHIB - Pattern Window O.... How farmers are negotiating climate chaos.
Sources: cnbcafrica.com, manilatimes.net, mumbaimirror.indiatimes.com
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of February? - xAI leads the desk at 4.1% with $236K traded.
Lead stories
After cutting 1 , 500 jobs in the division Mark Zuckerberg changed the company name for , Meta gives update on future.... Alphabet 100 - year bond : Why did Google parent issue a rare century bond ?. 1 of the Best Picks - and - Shovel Stocks to Buy Instead of Nvidia in 2026.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, livemint.com, finance.yahoo.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 4.2% with $577K traded.
Lead stories
Tribune interview with new LDS apostle Clark Gilbert
Tribune interview with new LDS apostle Clark Gilbert. Church of Jesus Christ newest apostle reflects on role to testify of Christ. CTCR study document Online Technology in the Church : Study Materials.
Sources: sltrib.com, ksl.com, freerepublic.com
FCC Investigates Bad Bunny Halftime Show After Republican Backlash
FCC Investigates Bad Bunny Halftime Show After Republican Backlash. Unhinged : Mika has Complete Meltdown on ICE Bro After Homan Presser. Unhinged : Mika has Complete Meltdown on ICE Bro After Homan Presser.
Sources:
B6
Lead market: Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $300M leads the desk at 4.0% with $298K traded.
Lead stories
FxWirePro - Ongoing Activities Across the Market
FxWirePro - Ongoing Activities Across the Market.
Sources: econotimes.com
Crypto Prices Are Tumbling Across the Board . Here How Id Put $1 , 000 to Work Today .
Crypto Prices Are Tumbling Across the Board . Here How Id Put $1 , 000 to Work Today .. How Bitcoin Could Help You Retire a Millionaire. Got $500 ? 2 Cryptocurrencies to Buy and Hold for Decades ..
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham leads the desk at 2.3% with $216K traded.
Lead stories
Rivers United set to shape Group A fate in Champions League finale
Rivers United set to shape Group A fate in Champions League finale. Leading scorers in past five HOLLYWOODBETS COSAFA Women Championships – COSAFA | The Council of Southern Africa Footb.... Enyimba , Pillars Gasping For Breath Under Super Eagle Legends.
Sources: premiumtimesng.com, cosafa.com, dailytrust.com
Japan Yuma Kagiyama matches Beijing performance with silver medal
Japan Yuma Kagiyama matches Beijing performance with silver medal. Britain Weston storms to men skeleton gold. Mikaela Shiffrin odds , analysis , pick : American star a long shot for gold medal in Women Giant Slalom.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k leads the desk at 20.0% with $5K traded.
Lead stories
Manitoba Health says ongoing widespread community transmission of measle in parts of region - PortageOnline . com - L....
Sources: portageonline.com
What to know about EPA decision to revoke a scientific finding that helped fight climate change
What to know about EPA decision to revoke a scientific finding that helped fight climate change. Climate - smart livestock farming adopted - Newsday Zimbabwe. Donald Trump revoking major climate finding alarms scientists.
Sources: ,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Iran crown prince says survival of Tehran government sends a clear signal to every bully. Thousands rally for people of Iran in Munich. Crown prince urges the world to stand with the people of Iran as 250 , 000 rally in Munich.
Sources: clickondetroit.com, canberratimes.com.au, local10.com
Democrats seek to reassure Europe about post - Trump America
Democrats seek to reassure Europe about post - Trump America. Trump struggles to hold favourability on core policies , as links to Epstein remain festering wound. Protesters add Epstein file display to Donald Trump Hollywood Walk of Fame star.
Sources: bbc.com, nzherald.co.nz, tribune.com.pk
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton at 3.1% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 3.1% | $2M
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 96.0%
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
Top volume & odds: 250-500k | 89.9% | $469K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?) | 2.9% | $268K
Popular events
5.3%
-0.1pp
$6M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $288M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $291M+1%
Asia next - gen rich , globally - educated and financially - literate , are taking control of their wealth. 15 banks cut staff in 2025 , Big4 names appear on the list. ECB staff question robustness of fractured asset management supervision.
Sources: fortune.com, vietnamnet.vn, independent.ie
US consumer inflation eases more than expected to lowest since May
US consumer inflation eases more than expected to lowest since May. Cynthia Erivo is accused of using teleprompter to remember her lines in West End Dracula as disgruntled fans brand it.... Actor Patrick Doyle Tags Entertainers Campaigning For Politicians As Greedy.
Sources: thedailystar.net, dailymail.co.uk, informationng.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease at 7.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Largest Company End of February?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company End of February? | 97.6% | $183K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume: ↑ $6,000 | 1.4% | $28K
Top odds: ↓ $4,600 | 17.2%
Popular events
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI. Anthropic CEO Uncertain About Claude Consciousness. [ AINews ] Why OpenAI Should Build Slack.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, el-balad.com, latent.space
Salesforce Employees Demand CEO Marc Benioff Cut Ties With ICE After Controversial Joke Sparks Backlash : Report - Sa.... Salesforce Reportedly Trims Workforce , Appoints New Leaders Amid AI Pivot - Amazon . com ( NASDAQ : AMZN ), Salesfor....
Sources: benzinga.com, benzinga.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of February? - xAI at 4.1% with $236K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of February? - xAI.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of February? - xAI
Trading at 4.1% with $236K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume: xAI | 4.1% | $236K
Top odds: Anthropic | 72.0%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Top volume & odds: Super Heavy booster explodes? | 69.0% | $20K
Popular events
Audiences Are Walking Out on 2025 Failed Oscar Contender
Audiences Are Walking Out on 2025 Failed Oscar Contender. Netflix Quietly Makes 2024 Most Devastating Political Drama Harder To Watch. 8 Best R - Rated Romance Movies of All Time , Ranked.
Sources: collider.com, collider.com, collider.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 4.2% with $577K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 4.2% | $577K
# of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1?
Top volume & odds: # of views on Bad Bunny halftime show (YouTube) in week 1? | 91.1% | $295K
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 3.1% | $157K
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume: Hamnet | 5.5% | $79K
Top odds: One Battle After Another | 76.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 10.0% | $28K
Popular events
XRP Set To Dethrone Bitcoin Within 6 Years , Entrepreneur Says
XRP Set To Dethrone Bitcoin Within 6 Years , Entrepreneur Says. Bitcoiners Face Test As Inflation Cools : Pompliano. Bitcoin NUPL Back In Hope / Fear Region : What Happens Next ?.
Sources: newsbtc.com, cointelegraph.com, newsbtc.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $300M at 4.0% with $298K traded.
Top volume remains in Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $300M.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume: ↑ 85,000 | 5.5% | $166K
Top odds: ↑ 75,000 | 43.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit February 9-15?
Top volume: ↑ 72,000 | 28.0% | $87K
Top odds: ↓ 66,000 | 74.0%
Popular events
Sources: japantimes.co.jp, china.org.cn, nypost.com
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game
Grizzlies vs Nuggets Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. Nikola Jokic posts triple - double to carry Nuggets past Grizzlies. Nikola Jokic posts triple - double to carry Nuggets past Grizzlies.
Sources: covers.com, coloradostar.com, tennesseedaily.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham at 2.3% with $216K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham.
Event leaders
2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner
Top volume: Finland | 7.5% | $126K
Top odds: Canada | 56.0%
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 69.0% | $7K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 66.0% | $3K
Popular events
Small changes can add up to big cuts in emissions
Small changes can add up to big cuts in emissions. Railways on a green track eyes 3GW renewable energy for ₹18k crore. MIT Professor Priya Donti : Why Scaling AI Wont Automatically Solve the Climate Crisis.
Sources: columbian.com, livemint.com, indianexpress.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k at 20.0% with $5K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$3,480
+$3,370
+$3,361
Kalshi via Jupiter
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