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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Event volume totals $502M across outcomes, with $5M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Kevin Warsh" at 93.9%, with top volume on "Judy Shelton" at 4.2% and $3M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 94.0% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k
$0
Highest implied
Largest Company End of February?
98.8%
Top priced
Largest Company End of February?
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
Largest Company End of February?
98.8%
$5K
B1
Lead market: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton leads the desk at 4.2% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Fed Kashkari Said What Needed to Be Said to Hassett
Fed Kashkari Said What Needed to Be Said to Hassett. FCC Chair Carr Wants TV Networks More Pro - USA for America 250th. Trump dinner dispute with Democratic governors highlights tensions.
Sources: bloomberg.com, bleedingcool.com, bostonglobe.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, House control 2026, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $686M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 94.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Stock market today : Dow , S & P 500 , Nasdaq falter as US GDP cools , Fed - favored PCE inflation heats up. Dow Jones Top Markets Headlines at 7 PM ET : Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump Global Tariffs | Stocks .... Supreme Court tariff ruling clouds Fed rate path after a year of upheaval.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, morningstar.com, marketscreener.com
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Google leads the desk at 11.0% with $129K traded.
Lead stories
Elon Musk Hails Grok While Slamming Other Chatbots
Elon Musk Hails Grok While Slamming Other Chatbots. Saudi Humain invests $3bn in Elon Musk xAI. Nvidia nears deal for scaled - down investment in OpenAI.
Sources: en.tempo.co, gulfbusiness.com, freemalaysiatoday.com
Maye Musk Says Foundation Of Love Shaped Elon After Tesla Co - Founder Says He Agrees With Teachings Of Jesus. Maye Musk Says Foundation Of Love Shaped Elon After Tesla Co - Founder Says He Agrees With Teachings Of Jesus. Elon Musk responds after Indian - origin man says Tesla drove him to ER when he fainted mid - drive.
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.8% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Polymarket : Odds of Jesus Christ returning outrank Kamala Harris for 2028
Polymarket : Odds of Jesus Christ returning outrank Kamala Harris for 2028. Ben Witherington on praying with the Bible during Lent. 10 Bible verses that will show you Christ face.
Sources: albawaba.com, americamagazine.org, aleteia.org
Hollywood , please stop method dressing !
Hollywood , please stop method dressing !. Hollywood , please stop method dressing !. Sukhamano Sukhamann : Sukhamano Sukhamann Full Movie Collection : Sukhamano Sukhamann box office collection day 7 : M....
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000 leads the desk at 1.5% with $318K traded.
Lead stories
How Metaplanet CEO Turned Bitcoin Volatility Into Massive Holdings – Response to Explosive Allegations. Dont Fall For The Bitcoin Trap : Analyst Explains Why Recovery To $76 , 000 Is Not A Good Thing. ChatGPT XRP Price Prediction : Why the AI Sees XRP at $3 . 50 Before Bitcoin Recovers.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com, finance.yahoo.com
Bitcoin Price Tightens Range Near Highs Ahead Of Potential Surge
Bitcoin Price Tightens Range Near Highs Ahead Of Potential Surge. Is This Bitcoin Last Stand ? The Case For and Against BTC Future .. Metaplanet CEO Defends Transparent Bitcoin Strategy.
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham leads the desk at 2.7% with $672K traded.
Lead stories
Ousmane Dembele offers himself transfer to Chelsea
Ousmane Dembele offers himself transfer to Chelsea. Beye takes charge as Marseille seek revival in Ligue 1The Shillong Times. Chelsea offered the chance to sign Ousmane Dembele.
Sources: caughtoffside.com, theshillongtimes.com, thehardtackle.com
Mitchell scores 24 as Cavaliers use fast start to beat Hornets 94 - 87
Mitchell scores 24 as Cavaliers use fast start to beat Hornets 94 - 87. Cavaliers vs . Hornets Time , TV & Stream – Feb . 20 | Fox Sports 1340 WNCO. Mitchell scores 24 as Cavaliers use fast start to beat Hornets , 94 - 87.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k leads the desk at 55.0% with $492 traded.
Lead stories
From energy to flooding , Maryland confronts climate change realities
From energy to flooding , Maryland confronts climate change realities. South Africa : Walking Back the Carbon Tax Is a Step Backwards for South Africa Climate Gains. This staggering move just made Trump a global supervillain.
Sources: wypr.org, allafrica.com, rawstory.com
Scientists change how El Niño is labeled to keep up with spike in temperature
Scientists change how El Niño is labeled to keep up with spike in temperature. Scientists change how El Niño is labeled to keep up with spike in temperature. What EPA repeal of Endangerment Finding means for Greater Cincinnati.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.4%
$1K
Iran - US tensions LIVE : Trump sets deadline for Iran to reach deal ; Tehran warns US bases will be target if attacked. Iran dangles investment proposals as off - ramp from Trump gunboat diplomacy. US - Iran news : Trump deploys large military asset Is America going to war ? What the nuclear deal ? Explained.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, cbsnews.com, livemint.com
Rep . Donalds holds listening tour in Tampa over health care , property insurance
Rep . Donalds holds listening tour in Tampa over health care , property insurance. Trans lawmaker wants you to believe porn sites are educational for queer kid * WorldNetDaily * by Harold Hutchison ,.... Ossoff rallies support in Georgia as critical senate race heats up.
Sources: fox13news.com, wnd.com, wtoc.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton at 4.2% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 4.2% | $3M
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 93.9%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Rahm Emanuel | 1.4% | $316K
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 27.6%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Erika Kirk | 1.3% | $296K
Top odds: J.D. Vance | 44.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?) | 3.8% | $238K
Popular events
5.9%
+0.1pp
$7M
+17%
Republican nominee
Event volume $314M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $309M+1%
Host Hotels & Resorts Provides Updated Fourth Quarter 2025 Investor Presentation. IndiGo to recruit en masse in one of the largest recruitment drives undertaken. Ukrnafta accepts proposals from light petroleum product carriers until March 1.
Sources: manilatimes.net, india.com, en.interfax.com.ua
Gold prices in Pakistan Today - February 21 , 2026
Gold prices in Pakistan Today - February 21 , 2026. Winter Olympics Day 14 Results : American Ferreira Wins Gold ; Bowe Bows Out. Winter Olympics Day 14 Results : American Ferreira Wins Gold ; Bowe Bows Out.
Sources: tribune.com.pk, 600kcol.iheart.com, jetradio1400.iheart.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 94.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 94.0% | $1M
2nd Largest company end of February?
Top volume & odds: Apple | 73.0% | $33K
Popular events
Sources: benzinga.com, benzinga.com, hindustantimes.com
Nvidia nears deal for scaled - down investment in OpenAI : report
Nvidia nears deal for scaled - down investment in OpenAI : report. OpenAI resets spend expectations , targets around $600 billion by 2030. Nvidia Nears Deal For Scaled - Down investment In OpenAI.
Sources: digitaljournal.com, cnbc.com, channelstv.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Google at 11.0% with $129K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Google.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Google
Trading at 11.0% with $129K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume: Google | 11.0% | $129K
Top odds: Anthropic | 86.4%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 2.4% | $61K
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: Google | 37.0% | $16K
Top odds: Anthropic | 49.8%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 47.0% | $6K
Popular events
Sources: kesq.com, edition.cnn.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Senator Ted Cruz Chairs First Senate Hearing on Minnesota Somali Fraud Scandal
Senator Ted Cruz Chairs First Senate Hearing on Minnesota Somali Fraud Scandal. Residential protesting could be a crime in Minnesota under new GOP proposal. Minnesota church attendee says leftist agitators are still harassing Christians.
Sources: townhall.com, fox9.com, turnto10.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.8% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $1M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 15.0% | $81K
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?
Top volume: June 30, 2026 | 48.0% | $17K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 71.4%
Top Spotify artist in February?
Top volume & odds: Bruno Mars | 95.7% | $16K
Who will win the Beast Games: Season 2?
Top volume & odds: 167 | 94.8% | $16K
Sources: newsbtc.com, finance.yahoo.com, cointelegraph.com
Ethereum Price Poised At Critical Threshold With Directional Move Pending
Ethereum Price Poised At Critical Threshold With Directional Move Pending. XRP Social Sentiment Hits 5 - Week High BTC , ETH Mood Still Off. Ethereum Breakdown Deepens Below $2 , 100 , But Fractal Signals Hope.
Sources: newsbtc.com, newsbtc.com, newsbtc.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000 at 1.5% with $318K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume: ↑ 85,000 | 1.5% | $318K
Top odds: ↑ 75,000 | 18.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit February 16-22?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 64,000 | 6.0% | $72K
Popular events
Sources: wral.com, wncoam.iheart.com, news-herald.com
Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game
Bucks vs Pelicans Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. Friday NBA Best Bets Feb . 20 NBA Predictions & Picks. Pels G Dejounte Murray Expected To Return Soon After Achilles Injury.
Sources: covers.com, thespread.com, wrno.iheart.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham at 2.7% with $672K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Cavaliers | 77.0% | $371K
Top volume & odds: Pelicans | 51.0% | $263K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 52.0% | $249K
Top volume & odds: Timberwolves | 93.0% | $190K
Popular events
Sources: thetimes-tribune.com, capitalgazette.com, wvxu.org
Why Measuring Product - Level Emissions Matters for Heavy Industry
Why Measuring Product - Level Emissions Matters for Heavy Industry. Environmentalists see two Zeldins : friend on local causes , not on global ones. Erdoğan sounds alarm on climate crisis , urges stronger action.
Sources: wri.org, newsday.com, dailysabah.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k at 55.0% with $492 traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$3,480
+$3,373
+$3,370
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard