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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US strikes Iran by...?" Event volume totals $73M across outcomes, with $6M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "June 30" at 69.0%, with top volume on "February 28" at 20.0% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 95.9% and $626K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US strikes Iran by...? - February 28
$2M
Highest implied
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.2%
Top priced
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.2%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.2%
$186
B1
Lead market: US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 leads the desk at 20.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Attack on Iran would have low support in US , poll finds
Attack on Iran would have low support in US , poll finds. Iranians Receive Mystery Alert Amid Rising US Tensions : Wait and See , Anonymous Message On Phone Warns , Trump Is A.... India asks its nationals in Iran to leave by available means.
Sources: fox4news.com, newsx.com, tribuneindia.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $701M
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 95.9% with $626K traded.
Lead stories
Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip following a strong US jobs report
Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip following a strong US jobs report. Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip after jobs report. Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip after jobs report.
Sources: ksat.com, dailynews.com, dailylocal.com
Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip following a strong US jobs report
Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip following a strong US jobs report. Currencies : Tariffs , Act 2 | MarketScreener. Tariffs Are a Wild Card for the Economy Again.
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic leads the desk at 93.5% with $217K traded.
Lead stories
CrowdStrike , Datadog and other cybersecurity stocks slide after Anthropic AI tool launch
CrowdStrike , Datadog and other cybersecurity stocks slide after Anthropic AI tool launch. Hegseth and Anthropic CEO set to meet as debate intensifies over the military use of AI – Winnipeg Free Press. IBM posts steepest daily drop since 2000 after Anthropic says AI can modernise Cobol.
Sources: thestar.com.my, winnipegfreepress.com, businesstimes.com.sg
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 16.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Ryan Coogler Sinner deserves every award - The Miami Student
Ryan Coogler Sinner deserves every award - The Miami Student. Tall tales , Cajun cuisine : 15 North Texas festivals and events to check out this spring. The Wildest , Most Awkward And Viral Celebrity Moments At The 2026 BAFTAs.
Sources: miamistudent.net, communityimpact.com, boredpanda.com
B6
Lead market: Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? - Meteora leads the desk at 30.0% with $708K traded.
Lead stories
World Liberty Financial Cites Coordinated Attack But Are There Deeper Issues ?
World Liberty Financial Cites Coordinated Attack But Are There Deeper Issues ?.
Sources: newsbtc.com
Worse Than 2008 Urgent Fed Financial Crisis Warning Predicted To Blow Up The Bitcoin Price
Worse Than 2008 Urgent Fed Financial Crisis Warning Predicted To Blow Up The Bitcoin Price. Crypto News Today : Pepeto Presale Crosses $7 . 29M as JPMorgan Sets $266 , 000 Bitcoin Price Target and Fear Index H.... Will BTC USD Bitcoin surpass gold : BTC USD price today drops to $66 , 000 : Why Robert Kiyosaki bought more BTC USD....
Sources: ,
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Inter leads the desk at 2.0% with $816K traded.
Lead stories
Real lose 1 - 2 to OsasunaThe Shillong Times
Real lose 1 - 2 to OsasunaThe Shillong Times. Prestianni suspended for one game as UEFA continues racist abuse investigation. Everton Vs Man United everton vs man united : Benjamin Sesko winner seals 1 - 0.
Sources: theshillongtimes.com, thecable.ng, masdark.com
Kristaps Porzingis likely will miss Warrior next two games – NBC Bay Area
Kristaps Porzingis likely will miss Warrior next two games – NBC Bay Area. Rockets vs . Jazz Time , TV & Stream – Feb . 23.
Sources: ,
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑7.5k leads the desk at 30.0% with $5K traded.
Lead stories
Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup # 680
Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup # 680. Fukushima town launches rice - based carbon credit project under Japan J - Credit scheme | News | Eco - Business. ESR | February 23 , 2026 | Climate alarmists howl after EPA rescinds Endangerment Finding.
Sources: wattsupwiththat.com, eco-business.com, enterstageright.com
Public health , green groups sue EPA over repeal of rule supporting climate protections
Public health , green groups sue EPA over repeal of rule supporting climate protections. South Korean farmers sue utility giant KEPCO over climate damage to crops. Korean farmers sue utility giant KEPCO over climate damage to crops.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.2%
$11K
Presidential campaign threshold doubled to N10bn , guber limit now N3bn … inside 2026 Electoral Act - Latest News In.... Obidient Movement Alleges APC Manufactured Abuja Municipal Area Council Election Victory Through Violence , Intimidation. Nigeria : Concerns Over Voter Apathy in FCT , Rivers , Kano Elections.
Sources: nigerianeye.com, saharareporters.com, allafrica.com
Toledoans for Trump calls for removal of Lucas County GOP chair
Toledoans for Trump calls for removal of Lucas County GOP chair. LaMonica McIver to deliver prebuttal to Trump SOTU speech. Netflix CEO Claps Back At President Trump : This Is A Business Deal , It Not A Political Deal - Netflix ( NASDAQ : NF....
Sources: wtol.com, washingtonexaminer.com, benzinga.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 at 20.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in US strikes Iran by...? - February 28.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 3.3% | $994K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 94.3%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Pete Buttigieg | 3.7% | $949K
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 27.2%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?) | 2.1% | $696K
Popular events
6.0%
—
$7M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $322M
Presidential election
Event volume $321M
Sources: abcnews.com, marketscreener.com, marketscreener.com
9 Smart Reasons To Invest In Gold In 2026
9 Smart Reasons To Invest In Gold In 2026. Gateway snags even more high - grade gold in WA. Gold , Silver ETFs surge up to 17 % as US - Iran tensions and tariff ruling boost safe - haven demand.
Sources: finanznachrichten.de, brisbanetimes.com.au, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 95.9% with $626K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 95.9% | $626K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $5,500 | 6.7% | $59K
2nd Largest company end of February?
Top volume & odds: Apple | 87.0% | $32K
Top volume: Apple | 6.3% | $28K
Top odds: Largest Company end of March? | 90.0%
Popular events
Hegseth and Anthropic CEO to meet over military AI use. Hegseth and Anthropic CEO set to meet as debate intensifies over the military use of AI. Anthropic Is Watching OpenAI Stargate Stumbles and Taking Notes on What Not to Do.
Sources: wdbo.com, yoursourceone.com, webpronews.com
EU investigates Elon Musk Grok chatbot over explicit images
EU investigates Elon Musk Grok chatbot over explicit images.
Sources: independent.co.uk
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic at 93.5% with $217K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic
Trading at 93.5% with $217K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 93.5% | $217K
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: OpenAI | 8.8% | $15K
Top odds: Anthropic | 60.8%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 2.2% | $12K
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Top volume & odds: Super Heavy booster explodes? | 63.0% | $6K
Popular events
The Wildest , Most Awkward And Viral Celebrity Moments At The 2026 BAFTAs. The Wildest , Most Awkward And Viral Celebrity Moments At The 2026 BAFTAs. The Wildest , Most Awkward And Viral Celebrity Moments At The 2026 BAFTAs.
Sources: boredpanda.com, boredpanda.com, boredpanda.com
Lenten Lessons on the Mass 5 : The Crucifix
Lenten Lessons on the Mass 5 : The Crucifix. Elon Musk Jesus Comment Sparks Theories That Something Really Bad Is Coming. Elon Musk Jesus Comment Sparks Theories That Something Really Bad Is Coming.
Sources: relevantradio.com, boredpanda.com, boredpanda.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes at 16.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes
Trading at 16.0% with $1M in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 16.0% | $1M
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 3.1% | $848K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $416K
Who will win the Beast Games: Season 2?
Top volume & odds: 167 | 94.6% | $50K
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Top volume: Stellan Skarsgård | 31.0% | $47K
Top odds: Sean Penn | 52.0%
Popular events
Flying Billboards : How Airlines Are Turning Aircraft Liveries Into Multimillion - Dollar Marketing Machines.
Sources: webpronews.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? - Meteora at 30.0% with $708K traded.
Top volume remains in Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? - Meteora.
Lead event
Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? - Meteora
Trading at 30.0% with $708K in volume.
Event leaders
Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading?
Top volume & odds: Meteora | 30.0% | $708K
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume: ↓ 55,000 | 8.6% | $615K
Top odds: ↓ 60,000 | 35.0%
Flying Tulip FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $2.5B | 1.7% | $384K
Top odds: $1B | 49.0%
What price will Ethereum hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 1,600 | 19.0% | $139K
Will Opinion launch a token by ___?
Top volume & odds: March 31, 2026 | 93.6% | $127K
Ranking Bruno Fernande Manchester United seasons from worst to best
Ranking Bruno Fernande Manchester United seasons from worst to best. No Mourinho and Prestianni for Benfica in Champions League Match Against Real Madrid. UEFA Suspends Prestianni for Racist Abuse Against Vinicius J.
Sources: nytimes.com, english.aawsat.com, punchng.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Inter at 2.0% with $816K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Inter.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 70.0% | $16K
Champions League: Which teams advance to round of 16?
Top volume: Inter Milan | 54.0% | $9K
Top odds: Bayer Leverkusen | 96.6%
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 69.0% | $2K
Popular events
Sources: jhnewsandguide.com, yahoo.com, koreatimes.co.kr
Beyond Commitment : Jackery Shares Measurable Progress Through Its Environmental Partnership with Greenspark. Azerbaijan signs contracts for two new solar power plant projects. Scientists change how El Nino is labeled to keep up with spike in temperature.
Sources: prnewswire.co.uk, trend.az, komonews.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑7.5k at 30.0% with $5K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑7.5k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$3,480
+$3,370
+$3,361
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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