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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US strikes Iran by...?" Event volume totals $78M across outcomes, with $7M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "June 30" at 69.0%, with top volume on "February 28" at 18.0% and $3M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 96.3% and $504K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US strikes Iran by...? - February 28
$3M
Highest implied
Who will attend the State of the Union address? - Nick Shirley
98.9%
Top priced
Who will attend the State of the Union address? - Nick Shirley
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 leads the desk at 18.0% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
A look at the long , fraught timeline of Iran nuclear tensions as talks with US loom
A look at the long , fraught timeline of Iran nuclear tensions as talks with US loom. A look at the long , fraught timeline of Iran nuclear tensions as talks with US loom. Iran nears deal to buy supersonic anti - ship missiles from China : report.
Sources: wral.com, mynorthwest.com, geo.tv
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $709M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 96.3% with $504K traded.
Lead stories
Fed considers skipping rate cut | The Arkansas Democrat - Gazette - Arkansa Best News Source
Fed considers skipping rate cut | The Arkansas Democrat - Gazette - Arkansa Best News Source. Below zero : Fed governor wouldnt be surprised at negative job growth number. Chicago Fed Goolsbee watching for progress on inflation before cutting rates further.
Sources: arkansasonline.com, fortune.com, finance.yahoo.com
Aussie Gold Hunters. gold rate today : Gold price today : Gold rate crashes , Silver down too . Details here. Woodside and these ASX 200 stocks just hit new 52 - week highs.
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic leads the desk at 93.4% with $90K traded.
Lead stories
Musk Grok of xAI signs deal with Pentagon , becomes militarys new partner in classified systems
Musk Grok of xAI signs deal with Pentagon , becomes militarys new partner in classified systems. CrowdStrike , Datadog and other cybersecurity stocks slide after Anthropic AI tool launch. Who is Dario Amodei ? Did you know Anthropic CEO was a former OpenAI employee ?.
Sources: presstv.ir, finance.yahoo.com, livemint.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 17.0% with $994K traded.
Lead stories
Dracula North America Box Office : Vertical Lands Its Highest - Grosser As Luc Besson Film Almost Triples The Exorcis.... Spring Festival film box office hits 5 . 75B yuan. Inside Kate Middleton Show - Stopping Return to BAFTAs Red Carpet Style 2026.
Sources: koimoi.com, china.org.cn, fashiontimes.com
B6
Lead market: Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? - Axiom leads the desk at 13.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Polymarket Users Favor Meteora in Bets over ZachXBT Crypto Takedown
Polymarket Users Favor Meteora in Bets over ZachXBT Crypto Takedown.
Sources: cointelegraph.com
Bitcoin Trades Near Fair - Value As Buyer Interest Weakens At $64K
Bitcoin Trades Near Fair - Value As Buyer Interest Weakens At $64K. Bitcoin Bull Market Was a Bubble , Peter Schiff Claims , Says Gold Rise Reflects De - Dollarization. Bitcoin Price Sinks to New Weekly Low , Bulls Lose Key Support.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, finance.yahoo.com,
B7
Lead market: Thunder leads the desk at 83.0% with $447K traded.
Lead stories
Top 25 NBA transactions of the 21st century : Free agents , big trades , lucky drafts
Top 25 NBA transactions of the 21st century : Free agents , big trades , lucky drafts. Most significant on - court NBA moments of the 21st century : Epic 3s and major milestones. Top 25 NBA players of the 21st century : Where do LeBron , Kobe and Steph rank ?.
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, nytimes.com
Who is Dejounte , really ? How a breakdown led a former NBA All - Star to face himself
Who is Dejounte , really ? How a breakdown led a former NBA All - Star to face himself. Dejounte Murray Has Great Reason for Return to Lowly Pelicans After 13 - Month Absence. Injured Warriors Face Off Against Pelicans and Former Teammate Poole.
B8
Lead market: How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (February 21 - 23) - 20+ inches leads the desk at 1.3% with $70K traded.
Lead stories
More NYC snow next week ? What the models are saying now – NBC New York
More NYC snow next week ? What the models are saying now – NBC New York. Northeast US scrambles to clear piles of snow as new storm descends on the region. Northeast US scrambles to clear piles of snow as new storm descends on the region.
Sources: nbcnewyork.com, wral.com, orlandosentinel.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Sharp elbows have been deployed in Iowa Democrat Senate race. Texas Republican Sounds Alarm On Democrats Cracking Red Wall. Democrats hold Maine House seat in Tuesday special election.
Sources: thegazette.com, newsweek.com, bangordailynews.com
She might : Kamala Harris says she considering another run for president
She might : Kamala Harris says she considering another run for president. Four Black Republicans Challenge Democrat Rep . Cleo Fields | WJBO Newsradio 1150 AM & 98 . 7 FM. Kamala Harris says she might run for president again in 2028.
Sources: baltimoresun.com, wjbo.iheart.com, local12.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 at 18.0% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in US strikes Iran by...? - February 28.
Event leaders
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Byron Donalds | 1.1% | $644K
Top odds: J.D. Vance | 41.7%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Barack Obama | 1.3% | $630K
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 27.0%
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 3.3% | $552K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 94.2%
Popular events
6.1%
+0.1pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $325M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $326M+2%
Sources: tvguide.co.uk, economictimes.indiatimes.com, fool.com.au
First Solar , Inc .: First Solar , Oxford PV Enter into Patent Licensing Agreement for US Markets
First Solar , Inc .: First Solar , Oxford PV Enter into Patent Licensing Agreement for US Markets. Indiana Michigan Power plans to file for base rate reduction this summer. Here How a New US - Led Mineral Alliance Could Sideline China.
Sources: finanznachrichten.de, wndu.com, theepochtimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 96.3% with $504K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 96.3% | $504K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $5,500 | 3.3% | $48K
2nd Largest company end of February?
Top volume & odds: Apple | 97.5% | $33K
Popular events
Anthropic digs in heels in dispute with Pentagon , source says. Hegseth , Anthropic CEO to meet as debate grows over military AI use. Hegseth and Anthropic CEO set to meet as debate intensifies over the military use of AI – Winnipeg Free Press.
Trump energy policy : Trump pushes big tech to use own power for AI data centers to keep bills low
Trump energy policy : Trump pushes big tech to use own power for AI data centers to keep bills low. Wall Street legend reveals the AI - proof stocks to protect your 401 ( k ) and IRA ... and the logic is flawless.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, dailymail.co.uk
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic at 93.4% with $90K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic
Trading at 93.4% with $90K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 93.4% | $90K
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: Google | 26.0% | $5K
Top odds: Anthropic | 56.8%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: OpenAI | 11.9% | $4K
Top odds: Viking Therapeutics | 57.0%
Gab Pangilinan , Luke Street , & Javon King to Star in JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR. Wanda Styrsky Newly Released Holding His Hand is a Reflective Devotional Journey That Invites Readers Into Deeper Med.... Why Are Christians Called the Salt and Light of the Earth ? - Explore the Bible.
Sources: broadwayworld.com, pr.com, biblestudytools.com
My Hero Academia : The Top 10 Hero Billboard Chart JP Heroes After Chapter 431 , Ranked From Weakest to Strongest. NHL Player Props & Best Bets for Today , February 25 : Cutter Way. Naruto : Every Hokage Ultimate Jutsu , Ranked.
Sources: gamerant.com, covers.com, gamerant.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes at 17.0% with $994K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes
Trading at 17.0% with $994K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 17.0% | $994K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $545K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 1 | 17.0% | $33K
Top odds: 2 | 43.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Odyssey | 3.9% | $31K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 39.0%
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume: Marty Supreme | 2.6% | $11K
Top odds: One Battle After Another | 76.0%
Popular events
Ethereum Price Slides Deeper , $1 , 800 Emerges as Crucial Battleground
Ethereum Price Slides Deeper , $1 , 800 Emerges as Crucial Battleground. Ethereum Is Growing . So Why Is The ETH Price Collapsing ?. Ethereum Dumps 5 %: Why Is Co - Founder Vitalik Buterin Selling ?.
Sources: newsbtc.com, forbes.com, benzinga.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? - Axiom at 13.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? - Axiom.
Lead event
Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? - Axiom
Trading at 13.0% with $1M in volume.
Event leaders
Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading?
Top volume: Axiom | 13.0% | $1M
Top odds: Meteora | 39.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 60,000 | 12.0% | $682K
What price will Ethereum hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 1,600 | 4.8% | $98K
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 55,000 | 77.0% | $61K
Sources: nytimes.com, si.com, el-balad.com
Super - sub Sesko fires Man United to latest win as interim boss Carrick extends unbeaten start
Super - sub Sesko fires Man United to latest win as interim boss Carrick extends unbeaten start. Real Madrid XI vs Benfica : Confirmed team news , predicted lineup and injury latest for Champions League. Sesko and Lammens Fire Manchester United to Champions League Contention.
Sources: thejournal.ie, aol.co.uk, dailyk2.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Thunder | 83.0% | $447K
Top volume & odds: Pelicans | 70.0% | $392K
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers
Top volume & odds: Timberwolves | 61.0% | $99K
Champions League: Which teams advance to round of 16?
Top volume: Real Madrid | 90.9% | $9K
Top odds: Paris Saint-Germain | 95.0%
Popular events
Hayleys Solar delivers 4 , 036 kW installations across six locations for Pussalla Meat Producers. Nickel Industries integrates climate risks into long - term strategy. South Africa carbon tax should stay : climate scientists explain why.
Sources: ft.lk, en.antaranews.com, theconversation.com
Bomb Cyclone Hits US , 40 Million Americans Under Weather Warnings : The Blizzard Explained
Bomb Cyclone Hits US , 40 Million Americans Under Weather Warnings : The Blizzard Explained. Labor climate disclosure shakes up corporate reporting | Stock Journal. Agroecology : rethinking global policy efficiency and funding priorities to overcome the blind spot in climate action.
Sources: news18.com, stockjournal.com.au, theconversation.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (February 21 - 23) - 20+ inches at 1.3% with $70K traded.
Top volume remains in How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (February 21 - 23) - 20+ inches.
Lead event
How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (February 21 - 23) - 20+ inches
Trading at 1.3% with $70K in volume.
Event leaders
How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (February 21 - 23)
Top volume & odds: 20+ inches | 1.3% | $70K
+$3,480
+$3,370
+$3,361
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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