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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US strikes Iran by...?" Event volume totals $51M across outcomes, with $11M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 80.0%, with top volume on "March 1" at 26.0% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 97.4% and $741K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US strikes Iran by...? - March 1
$2M
Highest implied
Will Opinion launch a token by ___? - March 31, 2026
98.8%
Top priced
Will Opinion launch a token by ___? - March 31, 2026
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US strikes Iran by...? - March 1 leads the desk at 26.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
US Iran tensions live : Geneva talks end with signs of progress , but US strikes threat looms over Iran. US allows staff to leave Israel as Iran tensions soar. UN nuclear watchdog says it unable to verify whether Iran has suspended all uranium enrichment.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, dw.com, wwaytv3.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $728M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 97.4% with $741K traded.
Lead stories
Modest shifts leave home equity rates largely steady
Modest shifts leave home equity rates largely steady. Block layoffs : Tech company slashes staff by 40 %. Block layoffs : Tech company slashes staff by 40 %.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fox10phoenix.com, fox29.com
Section 101 Screens Out Claims of Using Biomarkers to Identify Drugs That May Cause Rare Disorder | Holland & Knight LLP. Baked in : Why markets dont always react to big news. Deputy chief of army warns ADF has become detached from violent nature of war.
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of March? - Anthropic leads the desk at 56.6% with $199K traded.
Lead stories
Fintech company Block lays off 4 , 000 employees as CEO says AI does it better
Fintech company Block lays off 4 , 000 employees as CEO says AI does it better. Jack Dorsey fires nearly half the staff at Block as he goes fully in on AI.
Sources: mirror.co.uk, aol.co.uk
OpenAI raises $110 billion funding round with $840B valuation
OpenAI raises $110 billion funding round with $840B valuation. OpenAI $110b funding round draws Amazon , Nvidia , SoftBank. OpenAI US$110 billion funding round draws investment from Amazon , Nvidia , SoftBank.
Sources: foxbusiness.com,
B5
Lead market: GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 1.4% with $503K traded.
Lead stories
The BAFTA British Flair Made Awards Season Fashion Fun Again
The BAFTA British Flair Made Awards Season Fashion Fun Again. Camila Mendes and Anna Baryshnikov Bring Reality TV Realness to Idiotka. How The NAACP Honors Black Excellence With The 57th Image Awards And Events Showcasing Achievement.
Sources: thewrap.com, thewrap.com, forbes.com
The Deity Of Christ Is The Heart Of The Gospel
The Deity Of Christ Is The Heart Of The Gospel. Catching a glimpse of the divine. Your Daily Verse - Philippians 4 : 16 - Inspirations.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↓ 60,000 leads the desk at 2.2% with $737K traded.
Lead stories
Why The Bitcoin Price May Have Hit Rock Bottom Already At $63 , 000
Why The Bitcoin Price May Have Hit Rock Bottom Already At $63 , 000. Bitcoin BTC USD worst month since 2022 explained : BTC USD price today drops to $65 , 000 level : Why is Bitcoin on t.... Bitcoin 5TH Wave Is Not Over Yet , And Price Could Still Crash To $52 , 000 ; Analyst Warns.
Sources: newsbtc.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, newsbtc.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting leads the desk at 1.5% with $351K traded.
Lead stories
Champions League Draw 2026 Schedule of Dates for Round of 16 Bracket Fixtures
Champions League Draw 2026 Schedule of Dates for Round of 16 Bracket Fixtures. Arsenal land dream Champions League draw as Chelsea , Man City and Newcastle face heavyweights. Liverpool handed Champions League nightmare path.
Sources: bleacherreport.com, aol.co.uk, empireofthekop.com
Thunder vs . Nuggets Predictions , Odds & Stats – Feb . 27
Thunder vs . Nuggets Predictions , Odds & Stats – Feb . 27. Thunder vs . Nuggets Time , TV & Stream – Feb . 27. Thunder vs . Nuggets Injury Report – Feb . 27.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. by February 28? - 1150 leads the desk at 3.0% with $8K traded.
Lead stories
How To Choose The Right US Visa For Your Renewable Energy Investment
How To Choose The Right US Visa For Your Renewable Energy Investment. How extreme weather is leaving thousands of homes uninsurable. Green byelection win | US carbon - levy bullying | Italy attacks EUETS.
Sources: mondaq.com, theguardian.com, carbonbrief.org
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.4%
$8K
Former Israeli prime minister argues Iran is trying to buy time with Geneva talks. Iraqi armed group readies for conflict as US increases military pressure on Iran. Iraq Kataib Hezbollah Tells Fighters to Prepare for Long Iran - US War.
Sources: aol.com, hindustantimes.com, english.aawsat.com
Melania Trump to chair a meeting of the UN Security Council : White House
Melania Trump to chair a meeting of the UN Security Council : White House. Melania Trump Makes History at the United Nations. Gold And Silver Surge As U . S .- Iran Nuclear Deal Lags.
Sources: lbcgroup.tv, pjmedia.com, forbes.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US strikes Iran by...? - March 1 at 26.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in US strikes Iran by...? - March 1.
Event leaders
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?) | 2.5% | $1M
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 4.1% | $971K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 93.4%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?) | 26.0% | $721K
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?) | 16.0% | $624K
Popular events
6.3%
-0.1pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $335M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $340M+1%
Sources: jdsupra.com, marketplace.org, abc.net.au
Peddi Release Date : Peddi Release Date Confirmed : Ram Charan Starrer to Hit Theatres Worldwide on April 30 , 2026 |. Fernando Mendoza : Anything Can Happen in the NFL Draft. Life in the Bridgerton spotlight : Yerin Ha , Luke Thompson enjoy the starry shineThe Shillong Times.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, newyorkjets.com, theshillongtimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 97.4% with $741K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 97.4% | $741K
Top volume: Alphabet | 5.5% | $20K
Top odds: Largest Company end of March? | 88.0%
Popular events
Adrian Weckler : If youre looking for signs of a weird and creepy AI dystopia , youve come to the right place. FTSE 100 Live : London stocks retreat as LSEG , Pearson and Experian hit by AI worries. FTSE 100 Live : London stocks retreat as RELX , LSEG , Experian hit by AI worries.
Sources: independent.ie, proactiveinvestors.co.uk, proactiveinvestors.co.uk
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of March? - Anthropic at 56.6% with $199K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of March? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of March? - Anthropic
Trading at 56.6% with $199K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 56.6% | $199K
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume & odds: Google | 1.4% | $105K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 2.0% | $26K
Popular events
Sources: patheos.com, americamagazine.org, biblestudytools.com
Heart surgeon with 25 years of experience shares the benefits and health risks of carnivore diet : It extreme. The Best Wizard of Oz Adaptation Ever is Headed to Peacock in March ( And It Not Wicked ). Kalidas Jayaram calls Param Sundari the worst movie ever : Seemed like they were making fun of our culture ....
Sources: hindustantimes.com, comicbook.com, moneycontrol.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes at 1.4% with $503K traded.
Top volume remains in GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 1.4% | $503K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $498K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 18.0% | $415K
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume: Marty Supreme | 3.5% | $60K
Top odds: One Battle After Another | 77.0%
Popular events
FxWirePro - Key Crypto Updates - EconoTimes. FxWirePro - Key Crypto Updates - EconoTimes.
Sources: econotimes.com, econotimes.com
Bitcoin Wallets Holding 100 BTC About To Hit 20K : Santiment
Bitcoin Wallets Holding 100 BTC About To Hit 20K : Santiment. Bitcoin Price Consolidates Above Support , Breakout Hopes Strengthen. Eric Trump Says He Believes In BTC Long Term And American Bitcoin Growth Metric Is To Increase Its Stash , Not Chase....
Sources: cointelegraph.com, newsbtc.com, benzinga.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↓ 60,000 at 2.2% with $737K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↓ 60,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 60,000 | 2.2% | $737K
Top volume & odds: June 30, 2026 | 74.1% | $240K
What price will Bitcoin hit February 23-March 1?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 62,000 | 9.0% | $221K
edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $1B | 57.0% | $104K
Popular events
Best NBA Player Props Today for February 27 : Not the Last Straw
Best NBA Player Props Today for February 27 : Not the Last Straw. The Athletic : Anthony Edwards owns crunch time for Wolves : You dont want me to pass the ball.
Sources: covers.com, nba.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting at 1.5% with $351K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Thunder | 70.0% | $331K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 72.0% | $2K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 63.0% | $504
Popular events
Supreme Court to consider climate accountability lawsuit against fossil fuels companies , brought by Colorado communi.... Burnham solar energy farm invites local schools to book fully funded visits. Lawrence climate policy has lacked an action plan for years , sustainability advisers hear | News , Sports , Jobs - L....
Sources: kgnu.org, burnham-on-sea.com, ljworld.com
Declining Aerosol Pollution Linked To Increased Solar Radiation , Study Finds
Declining Aerosol Pollution Linked To Increased Solar Radiation , Study Finds. How does the new electrolyzer cut ethylene carbon footprint ?. County Council scraps its climate change strategy , references to the global issue and net zero no longer part of aims.
Sources: forbes.com, alltoc.com, erewashsound.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. by February 28? - 1150 at 3.0% with $8K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. by February 28? - 1150.
Event leaders
Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?
Top volume & odds: 1150 | 3.0% | $8K
Popular events
+$9,323
+$3,480
+$3,370
Kalshi via Jupiter
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