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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?" Event volume totals $20M across outcomes, with $3M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 98.2%, with top volume on "March 31" at 96.8% and $3M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 98.7%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 1.2% and $5M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease
$5M
Highest implied
Fed decision in March? - No change
98.7%
Top priced
Fed decision in March? - No change
98.7%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 96.8% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Israel bombards Beirut and Tehran as US says strikes on Iran to surge dramatically
Israel bombards Beirut and Tehran as US says strikes on Iran to surge dramatically. India Looks Beyond Gulf For Energy Supplies As Hormuz Route Blocked Amid Iran - Israel - US War. Iran says Strait of Hormuz not closed , no plans to shut it until further notice.
Sources: bbc.com, news18.com, indiatvnews.com
50 Israeli fighter jets dismantled Ali Khamenei underground bunker : IDF
50 Israeli fighter jets dismantled Ali Khamenei underground bunker : IDF. IDF launches 15th wave of strikes on Iranian regime , targets infrastructure in Tehran and Isfahan. In the heart of Tehran : 50 fighter planes destroy Khamenei bunker.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $775M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 1.2% with $5M traded.
Lead stories
Banking Groups Slam Crypto Bank Kraken Fed Approval as Improper , Dangerous
Banking Groups Slam Crypto Bank Kraken Fed Approval as Improper , Dangerous. Banks Respond to Kraken Federal Reserve Access as Trump Sides with Crypto. Fed faced with hard choice on weak jobs , high inflation.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, channelnewsasia.com
When will mortgage rates go down ? Mideast conflict clouds the outlook .
When will mortgage rates go down ? Mideast conflict clouds the outlook .. The 4 ETFs To Buy Before The Fed Lowers Rates And Shoots Them Higher. The U . S . Economy Lost 92 , 000 Jobs In February.
B4
Lead market: IPOs before 2027? - Celonis leads the desk at 13.0% with $188K traded.
Lead stories
Oracle and OpenAI drop Texas data centre expansion plan : Bloomberg
Oracle and OpenAI drop Texas data centre expansion plan : Bloomberg. India made major progress toward its goal of training 85 , 000 semiconductor engineers. AI firm Fractal expects strong growth on increased AI adoption.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 17.9% with $774K traded.
Lead stories
Timothée Chalamet on Ballet and Opera : No One Cares │ Exclaim !
Timothée Chalamet on Ballet and Opera : No One Cares │ Exclaim !. Timothee Chalamet No One Care Remark and the Opera - Ballet Backlash It Ignited. 25th Annual South Beach Wine & Food Festival.
Sources: exclaim.ca, el-balad.com, hauteliving.com
Spiritual Abandonment : 7 Last Words of Jesus ( part 4 ) – The Inner Life – March 6 , 2026
Spiritual Abandonment : 7 Last Words of Jesus ( part 4 ) – The Inner Life – March 6 , 2026. America250 : Tabernacle Choir at Temple Square featured in America Soundtrack. St . Longinus : The Centurion Who Pierced Christ Side| National Catholic Register.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 60,000 leads the desk at 37.0% with $201K traded.
Lead stories
Prediction Markets Are Pricing in Pennies for a $150 , 000 Bitcoin by March -- Here Why I Still Wouldnt Bet Against T.... How Buying Bitcoin Today Could 10x Your Net Worth. Prediction Markets Are Pricing in Pennies for a $150 , 000 Bitcoin by March -- Here Why I Still Wouldnt Bet Against T....
Sources: fool.com, fool.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: Knicks leads the desk at 74.0% with $357K traded.
Lead stories
Knicks vs Nuggets Same Game Parlay for Friday , March 6
Knicks vs Nuggets Same Game Parlay for Friday , March 6. bet365 bonus code NYPBET : Bet $5 , get $150 in bonus bets for Knicks vs . Nuggets. LeBron James breaks the NBA career field goals record in the Laker 120 - 113 loss to the Nuggets.
Sources: covers.com, nypost.com, abc7.com
Wolves vs Liverpool : FA Cup prediction , kick - off time , team news , TV , live stream , h2h results , odds today. How Arsenal can win the Premier League title this season. International Womens Day and the Barbie Dream Team : Chloe Kelly So Special Honor Meets a Bigger Marketing Machine.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k leads the desk at 52.0% with $7K traded.
Lead stories
Climate Change Solutions : Practical Actions We Can Take
Climate Change Solutions : Practical Actions We Can Take. Environmental Sustainability : Why It Matters for Our Future. China sets 17 per cent carbon intensity cut in new five - year climate plan.
Sources: emagazine.com, emagazine.com, eco-business.com
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.6%
$45K
Sources: prokerala.com, yahoo.com, israelnationalnews.com
Pakistani Shiites rally to denounce US - Israeli strikes on Iran
Pakistani Shiites rally to denounce US - Israeli strikes on Iran. Moment IDF obliterate Khamenei underground bunker. Delhi Shia Muslim community holds protest in Jor Bagh after Khamenei death.
Sources: sun-sentinel.com, dailymail.co.uk, aninews.in
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 at 96.8% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31.
Lead event
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31
Trading at 96.8% with $3M in volume.
Event leaders
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Top volume: March 31 | 96.8% | $3M
Top odds: December 31 | 98.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 11.1% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Mojtaba Khamenei | 37.9% | $1M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 34.9% | $913K
5.3%
0.0pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $361M+2%
Presidential election
Event volume $369M+1%
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, 247wallst.com, investopedia.com
US Stock Market | Central bank independence critical in inflation fight , says Fed Goolsbee
US Stock Market | Central bank independence critical in inflation fight , says Fed Goolsbee. Jack Dorsey shouldnt scare people : Every employer neednt deploy AI to lay human workers off. San Francisco Fed Daly says jobs report complicates interest rate call.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, livemint.com, cnbc.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease at 1.2% with $5M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Popular events
OpenAI seeks new Dublin headquarters with space for over 400 workers.
Sources: irishtimes.com
AI firm Fractal Analytics shares soar over 5 % after Q3 profit of Rs 100 crore . Check details
AI firm Fractal Analytics shares soar over 5 % after Q3 profit of Rs 100 crore . Check details.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by IPOs before 2027? - Celonis at 13.0% with $188K traded.
Top volume remains in IPOs before 2027? - Celonis.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: OpenAI | 2.1% | $49K
Top odds: Anthropic | 76.2%
Popular events
Sources: relevantradio.com, yahoo.com, ncregister.com
Sweden : Felicia wins Melodifestivalen 2026 and will fly to Vienna !
Sweden : Felicia wins Melodifestivalen 2026 and will fly to Vienna !. Tonight : Festival da Cançao 2026 Grand Final in Portugal. 🇸🇲 San Marino : Senhit ( feat . Boy George ) to Eurovision 2026.
Sources: esctoday.com, esctoday.com, eurovoix.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes at 17.9% with $774K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes
Trading at 17.9% with $774K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 17.9% | $774K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $554K
Top volume & odds: Finland | 34.5% | $109K
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume & odds: One Battle After Another | 74.0% | $68K
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Top volume & odds: Timothée Chalamet | 47.0% | $54K
Popular events
Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : Can $1 , 965 Hold ? Bulls Defend Key Fibonacci Level After $2K Breakdown. Ethereum Price Brutal Bull Trap ? Or Last Cheap Buying Opportunity ?. Vitalik Buterin Says Ethereum Should Be Bolder , Here Why.
Sources: bravenewcoin.com, finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com
Why bitcoin quantum fears will pass just like the climate panic
Why bitcoin quantum fears will pass just like the climate panic.
Sources: coindesk.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 60,000 at 37.0% with $201K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 60,000.
Event leaders
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $500M | 62.9% | $117K
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Top volume: June 30, 2026 | 11.0% | $114K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 49.0%
Popular events
Sources: aol.co.uk, punchng.com, el-balad.com
Suns vs . Pelicans Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 6
Suns vs . Pelicans Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 6. Suns vs . Pelicans Time , TV & Stream – March 6. Suns vs . Pelicans Injury Report – March 6.
Sources: foxsports1450.iheart.com, foxsports1450.iheart.com, foxsports1450.iheart.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Knicks | 74.0% | $357K
Top volume & odds: Suns | 95.0% | $201K
Top volume & odds: Lakers | 94.0% | $150K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 72.0% | $887
Popular events
Sources: yahoo.com
Open Forum : Administration climate policies jeopardize future
Open Forum : Administration climate policies jeopardize future. Renewable Energy Fake Alchemy. Pennsylvania power load buckling under neighboring renewable energy goals.
Sources: winchesterstar.com, americanthinker.com, justthenews.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k at 52.0% with $7K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k.
Event leaders
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 11–13 | 29.0% | $5K
Popular events
+$7,692
+$3,141
+$1,992
Kalshi via Jupiter
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