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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?" Event volume totals $16M across outcomes, with $1M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?)" at 27.0% and $1M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in April?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 92.0%, with top volume on "50+ bps decrease" at 1.4% and $216K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? - Yes
$1M
Highest implied
98.8%
Top priced
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
98.8%
$123K
B1
Lead market: Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? - Yes leads the desk at 27.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
As hopes of regime change in Iran fade , Netanyahu faces political test
As hopes of regime change in Iran fade , Netanyahu faces political test. What the Role of Iranian People to Topple Regime ?. An Achievable Goal in Iran.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, dailysignal.com, theatlantic.com
An Achievable Goal in Iran. Trump warns of Iranian sleeper cell as Canada is accused of harboring regime operatives. Israel pounds Tehran regime forces with unexpected help from Iranians.
Sources: ,
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $818M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in April? - 50+ bps decrease leads the desk at 1.4% with $216K traded.
Lead stories
Judge blocks DOJ criminal probe of Federal Reserve , blasting it as political
Judge blocks DOJ criminal probe of Federal Reserve , blasting it as political. US : Judge quashes subpoenas in DoJ Federal Reserve case. Court closes Custodia fight with Federal Reserve just as Fed opens master - account door.
Sources: kpbs.org, dw.com, coindesk.com
B4
Lead market: OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - 1T–1.25T leads the desk at 6.0% with $162K traded.
Lead stories
2 Artificial Intelligence ( AI ) Stocks With Average Upside of 47 % and 54 %, According to Wall Street. Nvidia Top AI Event Is Here : Will Nvidia Stock Rise During the Week of March 16 ?. Meta Platforms Stock Dips on AI Model Worries . Time to Buy ?.
B5
Lead market: GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.5% with $875K traded.
Lead stories
Arjun Das - starrer Rasavathi wins Best Cinematography award at London International Filmmakers Festival. Rasavathi Wins 7th International Award at London Festival. I Love Boosters Receives Unanimous Rotten Tomatoes Score.
Sources: prokerala.com, newkerala.com, screenrant.com
God is not silent , says Elder Clement M . Matswagothata to BYU – Idaho students
God is not silent , says Elder Clement M . Matswagothata to BYU – Idaho students. Timothy P . Schilling. Michigan police on high alert after third church attack in less than a year.
B6
Lead market: Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $2B leads the desk at 10.0% with $367K traded.
Lead stories
Morgans names 3 ASX shares to buy now
Morgans names 3 ASX shares to buy now. Sioux City Schools to pay Jim Vanderloo $6k stipend for work as acting superintendent.
Sources: fool.com.au, siouxcityjournal.com
Are There Any Bitcoin Mining Stocks Worth Buying Right Now ?
Are There Any Bitcoin Mining Stocks Worth Buying Right Now ?. Bitcoin Recovers $71K as Bitcoin ETF Frenzy Takes Off. Iran warns oil could hit $200 per barrel . Here what that could mean for Bitcoin price.
Sources: fool.com,
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt leads the desk at 3.0% with $268K traded.
Lead stories
Chelsea comeback chance vs PSG looks bleak ( but not dead )
Chelsea comeback chance vs PSG looks bleak ( but not dead ). Mauritania Áttekintés | Goal . com Magyarország. Man United raring to go again.
Sources: theprideoflondon.com, goal.com, tribune.com.pk
Underdog promo code NYPOST : Play $5 , get $75 in fantasy bonus entries for Nuggets vs . Lakers
Underdog promo code NYPOST : Play $5 , get $75 in fantasy bonus entries for Nuggets vs . Lakers. What To Watch On TV And Streaming Saturday , March 14 , 2026. Listings | TheFutonCritic . com.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k leads the desk at 75.0% with $12K traded.
Lead stories
Discover Effective Solutions Towards Climate Change Now
Discover Effective Solutions Towards Climate Change Now. How Climate Change Solutions Boost Business Performance. Thailand Green Initiatives To Curb Climate Change ( 2026 ).
Sources: emagazine.com, emagazine.com, chiangraitimes.com
Washington aims to stabilize carbon market , lower costs with key strategy
Washington aims to stabilize carbon market , lower costs with key strategy. Rising Temperatures , Changing Climate , and the Crisis Facing Agriculture.
Sources:
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.7%
$367
U . S ., Israel wanted quick win , but they failed : Mohammad Marandi
U . S ., Israel wanted quick win , but they failed : Mohammad Marandi.
Sources: thehindu.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? - Yes at 27.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 27.0% | $1M
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 3.7% | $892K
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?) | 20.7% | $397K
Colombia Presidential Election
Top volume: Sergio Fajardo (DC) | 1.3% | $389K
Top odds: Iván Cepeda Castro | 40.0%
Popular events
5.7%
+0.8pp
$8M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $406M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $400M+1%
NMDC becomes India 1st mining company to hit 50 million tonnes of iron ore production. History Says the Nasdaq Could Soar This Year : 2 Monster Growth Stocks to Buy Now. Is Polycab India stock headed towards ₹6 , 000 ?.
Sources: prokerala.com, finance.yahoo.com, livemint.com
Warsh room to move at the Fed may be disappearing in a war - clouded outlook
Warsh room to move at the Fed may be disappearing in a war - clouded outlook. Bugs Were Supposed to be the Future of Food . Now , the Industry is Collapsing . – Mother Jones. Tesla Fleet Of Unsupervised Robotaxis In Texas Appears To Have Been Cut From 8 Cars To Only 4.
Sources: marketscreener.com, motherjones.com, jalopnik.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in April? - 50+ bps decrease at 1.4% with $216K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in April? - 50+ bps decrease.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 98.8% | $123K
Popular events
Not built right the first time -- Musk xAI is starting over again , again. xAI in Internal Crisis : Elon Musk Suggests a Complete Rebuild. META Delays AI Rollout Because It Sucks , May License Gemini ; Musk Reboots xAI From The Foundations Up.
Sources: techcrunch.com, marketscreener.com, zerohedge.com
Is AI sweeping tech ? At least 23 , 000 jobs lost this year and more to come
Is AI sweeping tech ? At least 23 , 000 jobs lost this year and more to come.
Sources: 9news.com.au
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - 1T–1.25T at 6.0% with $162K traded.
Top volume remains in OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - 1T–1.25T.
Event leaders
Top volume: 1T–1.25T | 6.0% | $162K
Top odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 64.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 89.1% | $71K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Viking Therapeutics | 47.0% | $22K
Top odds: Caesars Entertainment | 66.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 1.6% | $7K
Sources: byui.edu, americamagazine.org, katu.com
Sinners Is the Fan - Favorite To Win This Major Oscars Honor
Sinners Is the Fan - Favorite To Win This Major Oscars Honor. Oscars epic mishaps that left Hollywood stunned. Oscar Predictions : One Battle After Another vs . Sinners , by the Numbers.
Sources: comingsoon.net, geo.tv, thewrap.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes at 2.5% with $875K traded.
Top volume remains in GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.5% | $875K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $557K
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Top volume & odds: Michael B. Jordan | 55.9% | $350K
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Top volume: Delroy Lindo | 7.6% | $158K
Top odds: Sean Penn | 77.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 16.0% | $156K
Popular events
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It. The 10 AM Bitcoin Dump Theory : Fact , Fiction , and the Alleged Role of Jane Street. Bitcoin is an endless crisis . All the real reasons for the collapse ( it also Trump fault ).
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, irishdentist.ie
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $2B at 10.0% with $367K traded.
Top volume remains in Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $2B.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 75,000 | 58.0% | $241K
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Top volume & odds: Yes (Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy) | 3.5% | $143K
Popular events
5 coaches the Bucks need to replace Doc Rivers with , like yesterday
5 coaches the Bucks need to replace Doc Rivers with , like yesterday. Trail Blazers vs . Jazz Time , TV & Stream – March 13 | Rip City Radio 620 Portland. Spurs vs . Hornets Time , TV & Stream – March 14.
Sources: fansided.com, ripcityradio.iheart.com, am1300thezone.iheart.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt at 3.0% with $268K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Lakers | 54.0% | $208K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 78.0% | $7K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 68.0% | $1K
Popular events
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports for this desk.
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k at 75.0% with $12K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$2,145
+$1,992
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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