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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?" Event volume totals $41M across outcomes, with $4M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 46.0%, with top volume on "March 31" at 3.0% and $4M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in April?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 95.0%, with top volume on "25+ bps increase" at 1.8% and $302K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? - March 31
$4M
Highest implied
98.7%
Top priced
98.7%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
98.7%
$60K
B1
Lead market: Netanyahu out by end of 2026? - March 31 leads the desk at 3.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
End Times & Sharing Power | Armstrong Economics
End Times & Sharing Power | Armstrong Economics. Sirens sound across central Israel after Iranian launches ; Netanyahu says regime fa. No life insurance for Iran new leader Mojtaba Khamenei , Netanyahu says | World News.
Sources: armstrongeconomics.com, ynetnews.com, indianexpress.com
Iranian Intelligence Minister Who Led Assassination Plots Against US Officials Eliminated In Israeli Strike , IDF Says. Strategic importance of Kharg Island oil exports. Ending the regime.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $860M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase leads the desk at 1.8% with $302K traded.
Lead stories
Fed meeting live updates : Federal Reserve expected to hold rates steady , offer updated outlook amid Iran war. Judge blocks DOJ criminal probe of Federal Reserve , blasting it as political. Fed interest rates prediction : Will the US Fed hike or lower key rates on Wednesday ? Here what to expect from Jerom....
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, laist.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B4
Lead market: IPOs before 2027? - Celonis leads the desk at 12.0% with $189K traded.
Lead stories
Hong Kong attracts wave of biotech IPO filings amid AI drug boom
Hong Kong attracts wave of biotech IPO filings amid AI drug boom.
Sources: scmp.com
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto. Elon Musk makes fun of Nvidia after GTC 2026 conference ; says : While others go to …. Artificial Intelligence : Elon Musk unveils joint Tesla - xAI project Macrohard , eyes software disruption.
Sources: auto.economictimes.indiatimes.com,
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $763K traded.
Lead stories
[ Catholic Caucus Devotional ] My Catholic Life ! Catholic Daily Reflections : Doing the Father Work
[ Catholic Caucus Devotional ] My Catholic Life ! Catholic Daily Reflections : Doing the Father Work. Tom Pelphrey takes on Jesus in Holy Week audio drama The Christ. JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR to Play Gateway Playhouse of Somers Point.
Sources: freerepublic.com, christianpost.com, broadwayworld.com
Art of Glam Awards : Red Carpet & Honorees
Art of Glam Awards : Red Carpet & Honorees. Dhurandhar merchandise drops on AJIO ahead of sequel release ; collection features Ranveer Singh , Sara Arjun – signe.... Arjun Das - starrer Rasavathi wins Best Cinematography award at London International Filmmakers Festival.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 65,000 leads the desk at 39.1% with $367K traded.
Lead stories
Bold Prediction : Bitcoin Hits $100 , 000 Once Again by the End of 2026
Bold Prediction : Bitcoin Hits $100 , 000 Once Again by the End of 2026. Current price of Bitcoin for March 12 , 2026. Bold Prediction : Bitcoin Hits $100 , 000 Once Again by the End of 2026.
Sources: fool.com, fortune.com, finance.yahoo.com
As bitcoin recovers from its recent low , how should advisors approach the asset ?
As bitcoin recovers from its recent low , how should advisors approach the asset ?. Nailing The Bitcoin Bottom : This Signal Has Correctly Predicted The Last 3 Cycle Bottoms. Strategy Makes Biggest Bitcoin Buy Yet in 2026 as Preferred Share Demand Surges.
B7
Lead market: Clippers leads the desk at 57.0% with $505K traded.
Lead stories
Wednesday NBA Best Bets March 18 NBA Predictions & Picks
Wednesday NBA Best Bets March 18 NBA Predictions & Picks. New Orleans puts home win streak on the line against Los Angeles. Rockets vs . Pelicans Time , TV & Stream – March 13.
Sources: thespread.com, morningsun.net, am1300thezone.iheart.com
Memphis faces Denver , aims to halt 8 - game skid
Memphis faces Denver , aims to halt 8 - game skid. Playoff - bound Nuggets , jockeying for position , take on undermanned Grizzlies. Playoff - bound Nuggets , jockeying for position , take on undermanned Grizzlies.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k leads the desk at 15.7% with $2K traded.
Lead stories
Climate policies can reduce emissions from economic growth in wealthy nations
Climate policies can reduce emissions from economic growth in wealthy nations. Brunei greenhouse gas emissions fall to 14 . 9 mln tonnes : minister. Renewable energy news : EIB , EDF , Taduff Solar Park , EnBW , Dreekant Offshore Wind Project.
Sources: psu.edu, bruneinews.net, greentechlead.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.7%
$20K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.3%
$323
Sources: freebeacon.com, jpost.com, americanthinker.com
Paxton Cornyn stay in GOP runoff after deadline passes – NBC 5 Dallas - Fort Worth
Paxton Cornyn stay in GOP runoff after deadline passes – NBC 5 Dallas - Fort Worth. Send the candidate with the most energy to the Senate. La Shawn Ford declares victory in Illinois 7th District primary.
Sources: nbcdfw.com, pressherald.com, yahoo.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Netanyahu out by end of 2026? - March 31 at 3.0% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in Netanyahu out by end of 2026? - March 31.
Event leaders
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 2.8% | $2M
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: LeBron James | 1.1% | $2M
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 24.9%
Popular events
5.9%
+0.3pp
$5M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $435M+2%
Presidential election
Event volume $426M+2%
Dave the Diver is coming physically to consoles in Q3 2026
Dave the Diver is coming physically to consoles in Q3 2026. Biggest Bubble Bust : Robert Kiyosaki predicts gold at $35 , 000 , silver at $200 , and Bitcoin at $750 , 000. Silver Endgame : Almost Too Obvious.
Sources: n4g.com, livemint.com, zerohedge.com
Senegal calls for international investigation into CAF corruption over AFCON final verdict
Senegal calls for international investigation into CAF corruption over AFCON final verdict. Senegal CAF Appeal : Federation Rejects AFCON 2025 Verdict.
Sources: thecable.ng, punchng.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase at 1.8% with $302K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 85.0% | $91K
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 98.7% | $60K
Popular events
Elon Musk Unmasks Joint Project Between Tesla ( TSLA ) and xAI , Reuters Reports
Elon Musk Unmasks Joint Project Between Tesla ( TSLA ) and xAI , Reuters Reports. Elon Musk Unmasks Joint Project Between Tesla ( TSLA ) and xAI , Reuters Reports. Anthropic vs . OpenAI , the Pre IPO Days.
Sources: insidermonkey.com, finance.yahoo.com, ieyenews.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by IPOs before 2027? - Celonis at 12.0% with $189K traded.
Top volume remains in IPOs before 2027? - Celonis.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: xAI | 7.2% | $105K
Top odds: Anthropic | 55.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 93.5% | $47K
Popular events
Sources: eurweb.com, bollywoodhungama.com, prokerala.com
Behind The Scene emerges highest grossing Nollywood film in united kingdom – P . M . News
Behind The Scene emerges highest grossing Nollywood film in united kingdom – P . M . News. Spider - Man Trailer May Drive Sony Stock Gains : Prediction Market Bets On 2026 Top - Grossing Film - Walt Disney (.... New Lilo & Stitch Funko Pops Include Mood Chart , View Exclusive First Look.
Sources: pmnewsnigeria.com, benzinga.com, comingsoon.net
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $763K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $763K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 19.0% | $589K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Odyssey | 4.2% | $140K
Top odds: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 36.0%
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 3.1% | $86K
Popular events
Sources: theglobeandmail.com, newsbtc.com, finance.yahoo.com
Family and domestic violence offenders rise by 8 per cent
Family and domestic violence offenders rise by 8 per cent. Morgans names 3 ASX shares to buy now. Australia Sees 8 % Rise in Domestic Violence Offenders.
Sources: abs.gov.au, fool.com.au, miragenews.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 65,000 at 39.1% with $367K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 65,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 65,000 | 39.1% | $367K
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $600M | 22.0% | $118K
Top odds: $50M | 94.0%
Popular events
Champions League 2025 - 26 Updated Bracket and Info for Quarterfinals
Champions League 2025 - 26 Updated Bracket and Info for Quarterfinals. CL : PSG thrash Chelsea 8 - 2 on aggregate for quarter - finals. Danny Murphy names Champions League favourite after Arsenal beat Bayer Leverkusen | Football.
Sources: bleacherreport.com, theeagleonline.com.ng, metro.co.uk
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Clippers | 57.0% | $505K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 78.0% | $459K
Top volume & odds: Rockets | 55.0% | $240K
Top volume & odds: Hawks | 89.0% | $237K
Popular events
NREB Sarawak trains officers to strengthen carbon emission reporting. Everglades restoration also helps save the planet from climate change , study finds. Renewable energy news : Spiorad na Mara , Vestas , Airengy.
Sources: theborneopost.com, wlrn.org, greentechlead.com
Newcastle Airport accused of smoke and mirror by climate campaigners over expansion plans
Newcastle Airport accused of smoke and mirror by climate campaigners over expansion plans. Climate change drives dengue outbreaks through extreme weather events. Climate change boosts efforts to achieve net - zero emissions target in Coimbatore | Coimbatore News.
Sources: chroniclelive.co.uk, news-medical.net, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k at 15.7% with $2K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$2,941
+$2,401
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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