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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US x Iran ceasefire by...?" Event volume totals $39M across outcomes, with $5M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 78.0%, with top volume on "March 31" at 20.0% and $4M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in April?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 94.8%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 1.3% and $694K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31
$4M
Highest implied
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner - Freedom Movement (GS)
98.4%
Top priced
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner - Freedom Movement (GS)
98.4%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 20.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
Pakistan mediator role in Iran war puts Modi in hot seat
Pakistan mediator role in Iran war puts Modi in hot seat. Govt May Seek Parliament Break for Assembly Elections. How to End the War in Iran.
Sources: dw.com, newkerala.com, theamericanconservative.com
After attempts to rebuild : IDF strikes major Iranian explosives pant
After attempts to rebuild : IDF strikes major Iranian explosives pant. Read the desperate messages from terrified Iranians who say Trump latest decision is the worst thing that could happe.... Who is Mohammad Bagher Zolqadr : Iran supreme national security council secretary after Larijani death.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $908M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in April? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 1.3% with $694K traded.
Lead stories
Bread and bakery snacks prices up Rs . 10 across the board
Bread and bakery snacks prices up Rs . 10 across the board. The Fed Just Paused Rates . Here How Retirees on Social Security May Be Impacted. The Fed Just Paused Rates . Here How Retirees on Social Security May Be Impacted.
Sources: ft.lk, 247wallst.com, finance.yahoo.com
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics leads the desk at 26.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Elon Musk makes fun of Nvidia after GTC 2026 conference ; says : While others go to …
Elon Musk makes fun of Nvidia after GTC 2026 conference ; says : While others go to …. Elon Musk Confirms SpaceX , xAI , and Tesla Will Continue Large - Scale Nvidia Chip Orders. Autonomous AI adoption is on the rise , but it risky.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, econotimes.com, csoonline.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $366K traded.
Lead stories
Judas and Peter - A Tale of Two Betrayals of Jesus
Judas and Peter - A Tale of Two Betrayals of Jesus. BCE / CE for them , not me. Former Idaho Pocatello Missionary killed in car crash on local highway.
Sources: biblestudytools.com, americanthinker.com, idahostatejournal.com
Top 5 Highest - Grossing Sean Penn Movies : From One Battle After Another To The Game
Top 5 Highest - Grossing Sean Penn Movies : From One Battle After Another To The Game. Dhurandhar 2 pushed India release of Ryan Gosling Project Hail Mary by a week ; directors of Hollywood film say How d.... Dwayne Johnson Jumanji 3 release date shifted to Christmas.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 80,000 leads the desk at 9.0% with $381K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin Has Likely Bottomed as Strategy Shows Resilience Amid Plunge : Bernstein
Bitcoin Has Likely Bottomed as Strategy Shows Resilience Amid Plunge : Bernstein. Bitcoin PMI Cycle Is The Only Signal That Matters , Analyst Explains Why. Bernstein : 45 % Bitcoin Crash Is The Weakest Bear Case In History , $150 , 000 Remains The Target.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com, benzinga.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting leads the desk at 1.4% with $359K traded.
Lead stories
42 World Cup questions that will be answered during this international window
42 World Cup questions that will be answered during this international window. Former Man Utd striker stunned by stupid Gary Neville and Roy Keane take | Football. Monaco Rallies to Beat Lyon 2 - 1 as Ligue 1 Race Tightens.
Sources: nytimes.com, metro.co.uk, dailypioneer.com
Cavaliers vs . Magic Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 24
Cavaliers vs . Magic Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 24. Cavaliers vs . Magic Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 24. Cavaliers vs . Magic Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 24.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k leads the desk at 72.0% with $4K traded.
Lead stories
Measles outbreak in Michigan County as cases spread like wildfire
Measles outbreak in Michigan County as cases spread like wildfire.
Sources: fox2detroit.com
Hurricanes vs . Canadiens Time , TV & Live Stream – 3 / 24 / 2026
Hurricanes vs . Canadiens Time , TV & Live Stream – 3 / 24 / 2026. Hurricanes – Canadiens projected lineups : Canadiens hard at work ahead of duel. Jesperi Kotkaniemi Scratched as Hurricanes at Canadiens Projected Lineups Are Set.
Sources: 1049foxsports.iheart.com, el-balad.com,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$57K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
97.7%
$104
Sources: israelnationalnews.com, dailymail.co.uk, ibtimes.co.in
2027 : Labour Party zones presidential ticket to south
2027 : Labour Party zones presidential ticket to south . 2027 Polls : Labour Party Zones Presidential Ticket To South. Trump has destroyed Venezuela socialist ideology : opposition leader.
Sources: dailypost.ng, channelstv.com, digitaljournal.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 at 20.0% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31.
Event leaders
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 1.3% | $1M
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
Top volume: March 31 | 21.0% | $474K
Top odds: June 30 | 78.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?) | 9.0% | $380K
Popular events
6.4%
+0.2pp
$6M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $470M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $451M+2%
Vaisala Group : Resolutions by the Vaisala Corporation Annual General Meeting and the Board of Directors. ActionSA files complaints over alleged DA top - up payments to cabinet members. Future of loved feature at historic Bedworth Almshouses decided.
Crude Oil Prices Sink as President Trump Backs Off Iran Threats
Crude Oil Prices Sink as President Trump Backs Off Iran Threats. How long can India survive a crude shortage ? Minister responds amid Middle East crisis. Petrol , diesel prices today , March 24 : Check fuel rates as crude eases on signs of easing tensions.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com, moneycontrol.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in April? - 25 bps decrease at 1.3% with $694K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in April? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 1.8% | $396K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 94.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?) | 40.0% | $73K
Popular events
Robinhood Sherwood News Asks Why Musk Hasnt Merged Tesla And SpaceX : Prediction Markets Give The Answer. Robinhood Sherwood News Asks Why Musk Hasnt Merged Tesla And SpaceX : Prediction Markets Give The Answer. Robinhood Sherwood News Asks Why Musk Hasnt Merged Tesla And SpaceX : Prediction Markets Give The Answer.
Sources: benzinga.com, benzinga.com, finance.yahoo.com
OpenAI , Anthropic , xAI Ignite Q1 Massive AI Investment Boom - Cisco Systems ( NASDAQ : CSCO ), Microsoft ( NASDAQ :.... OpenAI signs pact to sell AI models to US defence agencies through Amazon cloud arm. Tesla Is Investing in xAI . Is That Good News for Investors ?.
Sources: benzinga.com, livemint.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics at 26.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics
Trading at 26.0% with $2M in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Viking Therapeutics | 26.0% | $2M
Top odds: Caesars Entertainment | 66.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 97.5% | $71K
Popular events
Sources: koimoi.com, indianexpress.com, aninews.in
Vancouver small apartment blocks dont need to look so unattractive
Vancouver small apartment blocks dont need to look so unattractive.
Sources: vancouversun.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $366K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $366K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Odyssey | 4.0% | $287K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 40.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 17.0% | $195K
Popular events
Vol $264K
Family and domestic violence offenders rise by 8 per cent. Australia Sees 8 % Rise in Domestic Violence Offenders. Horrifying moment stalker nearly chokes woman to death after tormenting her for months and trying to contact her 234....
Sources: abs.gov.au, miragenews.com, dailymail.co.uk
Margex Review 2026 : What Traders Should Know Before Using This Crypto Derivatives Exchange
Margex Review 2026 : What Traders Should Know Before Using This Crypto Derivatives Exchange.
Sources: fingerlakes1.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 80,000 at 9.0% with $381K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 80,000.
Event leaders
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
Top volume: September 30 | 24.0% | $81K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 40.0%
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 2,400 | 25.0% | $73K
Popular events
Sources: 957wdae.iheart.com, wone.iheart.com, wncoam.iheart.com
Knicks vs . Pelicans prediction : NBA odds , picks , best bets Tuesday
Knicks vs . Pelicans prediction : NBA odds , picks , best bets Tuesday. bet365 bonus code : Bet $10 , get $365 in bonus bets for Knicks vs . Pelicans. Knicks go for 7th straight win , face improved Pelicans.
Sources: nypost.com, nypost.com, batonrougepost.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting at 1.4% with $359K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Cavaliers | 79.0% | $309K
Top volume & odds: Knicks | 64.0% | $272K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 69.0% | $222K
Top volume & odds: Blue Jackets | 96.0% | $58K
Popular events
US states sue Trump EPA over decision to repeal bedrock climate finding
US states sue Trump EPA over decision to repeal bedrock climate finding. Decoupling energy emissions for a green transition. Earth climate more unbalanced than ever , WMO warns.
Sources: aol.co.uk, businesstimes.com.sg, dw.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k at 72.0% with $4K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k.
Event leaders
Popular events
Vol $37K
+$7,692
+$2,941
+$2,278
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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