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Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?)" at 13.0% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?" Highest implied odds are for "Kevin Warsh" at 95.4%, with top volume on "Michelle Bowman" at 1.2% and $611K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$3M
Highest implied
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.2%
Top priced
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.2%
Volume leaders
$3M
80.0%
$3M
22.0%
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026? - Yes
$0
13.0%
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 1.8% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Bulgaria caretaker government refers Parliament vote on Board of Peace to Constitutional Court – The Sofia Globe. Pakistan mediator role in Iran war puts Modi in hot seat. Govt May Seek Parliament Break for Assembly Elections.
Sources: sofiaglobe.com, dw.com, newkerala.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $929M
B3
Lead market: Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Michelle Bowman leads the desk at 1.2% with $611K traded.
Lead stories
Vance Holds First Meeting Of New Anti - Fraud Task Force Targeting Benefit Programs
Vance Holds First Meeting Of New Anti - Fraud Task Force Targeting Benefit Programs. Vance holds first meeting of a new anti - fraud task force targeting benefit programs.
Sources: theyeshivaworld.com, timesfreepress.com
Social Security retirees : Pause now , pain later ? Fed move raises new fears for Social Security retirees. The Fed Just Paused Rates . Here How Retirees on Social Security May Be Impacted. Tenth Circuit declines en banc review of Fed power to deny master accounts | Orrick , Herrington & Sutcliffe LLP.
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - GitLab leads the desk at 23.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto. Elon Musk makes fun of Nvidia after GTC 2026 conference ; says : While others go to …. Artificial Intelligence : Elon Musk unveils joint Tesla - xAI project Macrohard , eyes software disruption.
Sources: auto.economictimes.indiatimes.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com, thehindu.com
B5
Lead market: Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner - Denmark leads the desk at 1.1% with $616K traded.
Lead stories
Delta Goodrem Eurovision 2026 : Australian singer kicks off campaign with rave reviews in Norway
Delta Goodrem Eurovision 2026 : Australian singer kicks off campaign with rave reviews in Norway. Eurovision oddsmakers predict Israel will win televoting again this year. More Russian snooping allegations.
Sources: brisbanetimes.com.au, jpost.com, politico.eu
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 60,000 leads the desk at 6.9% with $552K traded.
Lead stories
Goldman Sachs Just Quietly Called The Bitcoin Price Bottom But There A Nasty Catch
Goldman Sachs Just Quietly Called The Bitcoin Price Bottom But There A Nasty Catch. Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin ? | The Motley Fool. Bitcoin Recovery Time Extends If Selloff Deepens Below $60K.
Sources: forbes.com, fool.com, cointelegraph.com
B7
Lead market: Arizona Wildcats leads the desk at 80.0% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Men March Madness 2026 takeaways : Purdue , Iowa , Illinois , Arizona advance to Elite Eight
Men March Madness 2026 takeaways : Purdue , Iowa , Illinois , Arizona advance to Elite Eight. Elite Eight breakdown : What makes each men NCAA Tournament matchup so exciting. March Madness Predictions : Survivor Pool Picks for the Sweet 16.
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, covers.com
Farewell Mohamed Salah , a player who meant more
Farewell Mohamed Salah , a player who meant more. Pacific . scoop . co . nz » Draw Confirmed For OFC Women Champions League 2026. Draw Confirmed For OFC Women Champions League 2026.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k leads the desk at 67.0% with $737 traded.
Lead stories
Discover Effective Solutions Towards Climate Change Now
Discover Effective Solutions Towards Climate Change Now. Climate Change Solutions : Practical Actions We Can Take. AI Impact on Big Tech Climate Commitments : A Growing Fossil Fuel Dependency , ETTelecom.
Sources: emagazine.com, emagazine.com, telecom.economictimes.indiatimes.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.2%
$27K
Netanyahu to set date for elections | The Arkansas Democrat - Gazette - Arkansa Best News Source. Vance chided Netanyahu in call over overly optimistic Iran war predictions : Report. Netanyahu spokesperson resigns after leaked audio reveals scathing criticism.
2027 : Labour Party zones presidential ticket to south
2027 : Labour Party zones presidential ticket to south . Opposition leader Bobi Wine flees Uganda. 2027 Polls : Labour Party Zones Presidential Ticket To South.
Sources: dailypost.ng, yahoo.com, channelstv.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 at 1.8% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31.
Event leaders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Top volume: ≥ 4.5% | 3.2% | $588K
Top odds: 3.75% | 35.4%
Popular events
5.8%
—
$6M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $485M
Presidential election
Event volume $465M
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, 247wallst.com, jdsupra.com
Trump Strait of Hormuz renaming controversy explained : Trump bold move : Rename Strait of Hormuz after America or hi.... India among friendly nation listed by Iran for big Strait of Hormuz reprieve. Iran says non - hostile ships can pass through Strait of Hormuz as Trump teases major prize.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, hindustantimes.com, nypost.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Michelle Bowman at 1.2% with $611K traded.
Top volume remains in Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Michelle Bowman.
Lead event
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Michelle Bowman
Trading at 1.2% with $611K in volume.
Event leaders
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Michelle Bowman | 1.2% | $611K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 95.4%
Top volume & odds: No change | 96.9% | $467K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?) | 24.0% | $75K
Popular events
All 11 xAI co - founders have now left Elon Musk AI company. Last XAI Cofounder , Ross Nordeen , Leaves As Musk Preps for SpaceX IPO. Elon Musk last xAI cofounder has left ( X . AI : Private ).
Sources: thenextweb.com, businessinsider.com, seekingalpha.com
How To Invest In SpaceX Before The IPO Floodgates Open - Alphabet ( NASDAQ : GOOG ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ : GOOGL ), Ech.... T - Rex files for leveraged SpaceX , Anthropic ETFs ahead of anticipated IPOs. T - Rex files for leveraged SpaceX , Anthropic ETFs ahead of anticipated IPOs.
Sources: benzinga.com, finance.yahoo.com, marketscreener.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - GitLab at 23.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - GitLab.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - GitLab
Trading at 23.0% with $1M in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: GitLab | 23.0% | $1M
Top odds: Caesars Entertainment | 70.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
Top volume: DeepSeek | 1.6% | $384K
Top odds: Anthropic | 86.0%
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: DeepSeek | 1.1% | $23K
Top odds: Anthropic | 67.2%
I Am Jesus Christ Brings a Story of Faith and Miracles to Players Next Week. Judas and Peter - A Tale of Two Betrayals of Jesus. Reflect on two millennia of Christianity.
Sources: cogconnected.com, biblestudytools.com, royalgazette.com
WEATHER : Severe storms to drench SEVEN provinces
WEATHER : Severe storms to drench SEVEN provinces. Dhurandhar The Revenge storms India all - time territory charts ; enters Top 5 in Mumbai , Delhi - UP and East Punjab.... Why is there controversy over the Central Armed Police Forces ( General Administration ) Bill ?.
Sources: thesouthafrican.com, bollywoodhungama.com, thehindu.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner - Denmark at 1.1% with $616K traded.
Top volume remains in Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner - Denmark.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $581K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 3 | 9.5% | $188K
Top odds: 2 | 45.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 17.0% | $182K
Popular events
Need Collateral to Get a Mortgage ? Check Your Crypto Wallet. Crypto Presale 2026 Reinvention : Blazpay Advanced AI Blueprint. Blazpay Ignites Crypto Presale 2026 Momentum as ONDO Price.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, openpr.com, openpr.com
Solana ICOs : Solana Whales Quietly Add IONIX Chain ( $IONX ) as
Solana ICOs : Solana Whales Quietly Add IONIX Chain ( $IONX ) as. Ethereum vs . Solana : Which Crypto Has More Upside ?. Why Is Crypto Crashing ? Bitcoin , XRP , Ethereum , and Solana All Down This Week.
Sources: openpr.com, fool.com, 247wallst.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 60,000 at 6.9% with $552K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 60,000.
Event leaders
What price will Solana hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 80 | 66.5% | $84K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 7.2% | $57K
Popular events
Sources: nytimes.com, pacific.scoop.co.nz, scoop.co.nz
Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings : Game Preview , Injury Report , Starting Lineups for Tonight Matchup. Saturday NBA Best Bets March 28 NBA Predictions & Picks. Multiple events scheduled in Atlanta this weekend could cause traffic issues.
Sources: si.com, thespread.com, wsbradio.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Arizona Wildcats at 80.0% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in Arizona Wildcats.
Event leaders
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats
Top volume & odds: Arizona Wildcats | 80.0% | $3M
Top volume & odds: Hawks | 95.6% | $172K
Top volume & odds: Bulls | 68.0% | $161K
Popular events
AI arrival complicates Big Tech climate goals , and some worry it locking in more fossil fuels. CT experts talk reach of EPA climate ruling . Americans understand. Climate models and extreme weather : Why predictions often fail to match reality – NaturalNews . com.
Sources: ksat.com, courant.com, naturalnews.com
Environmental Sustainability : Why It Matters for Our Future
Environmental Sustainability : Why It Matters for Our Future. AI arrival complicates Big Tech climate goals , and some worry it locking in more fossil fuels. China sets 17 per cent carbon intensity cut in new five - year climate plan.
Sources: emagazine.com, clickorlando.com, eco-business.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k at 67.0% with $737 traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$3,286
+$2,994
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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