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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?" Event volume totals $20M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?)" at 8.7% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Kevin Warsh" at 94.1% and $590K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? - Yes
$0
Highest implied
98.3%
Top priced
98.3%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
98.3%
$35K
B1
Lead market: Peru Presidential Election Winner - Roberto Sánchez Palomino leads the desk at 1.6% with $894K traded.
Lead stories
Paulina García , Steven Bauer Front Films at Panama Primera Mirada
Paulina García , Steven Bauer Front Films at Panama Primera Mirada. Peru Presidential Election 2025 : Lopez Aliaga Leads Early Results.
Sources: variety.com, econotimes.com
Iranians issue chilling warning to U . S . as they celebrate deportation of regime offspring
Iranians issue chilling warning to U . S . as they celebrate deportation of regime offspring. UN Nominates Iran to Anti - Terror , Women Rights Committee – PJ Media. Iran regime is obsessed with Jeffrey Epstein.
Sources:
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Kevin Warsh leads the desk at 94.1% with $590K traded.
Lead stories
Couple killed in fiery , single - engine plane crash at Arizona airport
Couple killed in fiery , single - engine plane crash at Arizona airport. Sapele LG Chairman abducted , sparking tension in Delta. Couple killed in fiery , single - engine plane crash at Arizona airport.
Sources: witn.com, punchng.com, weau.com
B4
Lead market: IPOs before 2027? - Brex leads the desk at 5.9% with $31K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic Locks Down Claude Mythos Over Hack Risk What It Means For CRWD , PANW
Anthropic Locks Down Claude Mythos Over Hack Risk What It Means For CRWD , PANW. Is This Sector the Hidden Bottleneck of the AI Boom ? ( Hint : It Not Semiconductors .).
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com
Meta bets $21 billion on AI infrastructure in CoreWeave deal
Meta bets $21 billion on AI infrastructure in CoreWeave deal.
Sources: thenews.com.pk
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $223K traded.
Lead stories
The Apostle For the Rest Of Us : Sunday Reflection
The Apostle For the Rest Of Us : Sunday Reflection. The Historical Foundation Of Catholicism | The Historical Foundation Of Catholicism. Gain new faith through your doubts.
Sources: hotair.com, patheos.com, royalgazette.com
She was one of jewels of India : Piyush Goyal on demise of legendary singer Asha Bhosle
She was one of jewels of India : Piyush Goyal on demise of legendary singer Asha Bhosle. She was one of jewels of India : Piyush Goyal on demise of legendary singer Asha Bhosle. 10 Forgotten Animated Blockbusters , Ranked By Box Office.
B6
Lead market: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - December 31, 2026 leads the desk at 13.0% with $28K traded.
Lead stories
Michael Saylor Says Just 2 % Bitcoin Growth Covers MicroStrategy Dividends Forever
Michael Saylor Says Just 2 % Bitcoin Growth Covers MicroStrategy Dividends Forever. Michael Saylor Hints Strategy is Buying More Bitcoin. Is Strategy Bitcoin Bet Brilliant , or Reckless ?.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, cointelegraph.com, fool.com
Bitcoin Is Down 42 % and Losing Steam . Here What the Next 2 Years Could Realistically Look Like .
Bitcoin Is Down 42 % and Losing Steam . Here What the Next 2 Years Could Realistically Look Like .. Scaramucci Cautions Against Bitcoin Anxiety : The Asset Didnt Change . The Price Did. Bitcoin Price Suddenly Braced For Critical Week As U . S . Treasury Secretary Fuels Huge $1 . 5 Quadrillion Crypto Pr....
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Atletico Madrid leads the desk at 7.2% with $479K traded.
Lead stories
How seven Premier League teams could qualify for the Champions League after clinching fifth spot
How seven Premier League teams could qualify for the Champions League after clinching fifth spot. AFC Champions League Elite Jeddah 2026 begins tomorrow Destination KSA. Why Barcelona must keep hold of Jules Koundé.
Sources: aol.co.uk, destinationksa.com, barcablaugranes.com
Avik Anwar wins UAE touring car title after final - round victory
Avik Anwar wins UAE touring car title after final - round victory. F1 2026 driver numbers : Who runs which number and why ?. Ty Gibbs earns first NASCAR Cup victory at Bristol , beating Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k leads the desk at 60.0% with $9K traded.
Lead stories
NESREA Launches Carbon Capture Technology Platform To Drive Nigeria Climate Goals • Channels Television. US , China contrast sharply on climate. Křetínský EPH corporation hides over half its carbon emissions . Here how.
Sources: channelstv.com, usa.chinadaily.com.cn, denikreferendum.cz
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?
98.2%
$410K
VOTE TRUMP , AND BRING BACK PEACE ! Trump old post resurfaces after Iran talks collapse
VOTE TRUMP , AND BRING BACK PEACE ! Trump old post resurfaces after Iran talks collapse. Trump announces Hormuz blockade after 20 - hour nuclear talks with Iran fail : Any fire will be blown to hell. Op - Ed | Trump Art of the Deal suits Iran just fine.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, livemint.com, amny.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Peru Presidential Election Winner - Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 1.6% with $894K traded.
Top volume remains in Peru Presidential Election Winner - Roberto Sánchez Palomino.
Lead event
Peru Presidential Election Winner - Roberto Sánchez Palomino
Trading at 1.6% with $894K in volume.
Event leaders
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Top volume: Roberto Sánchez Palomino | 1.6% | $894K
Top odds: Rafael López Aliaga | 63.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?) | 3.1% | $688K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
Top volume: April 15 | 3.1% | $663K
Top odds: June 30 | 71.0%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
Top volume: April 15 | 56.0% | $588K
Top odds: December 31 | 93.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 34.0% | $547K
6.5%
0.0pp
$8M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $548M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $519M0%
Strait of Hormuz belongs to all countries , Iran Supreme Leader representative in India , dismisses Trump escalation.... US - Iran war updates : Strait of Hormuz blockade confirmed , Trump commences mine clearing operation. Iran denies US claim of clearing out Strait of Hormuz.
Sources: aninews.in, perthnow.com.au, tribune.com.pk
crude oil update : Why are oil prices nearing $110 , and will Brent and US WTI crude futures continue to rise or fall.... Hyperliquid Traders Face Widespread Liquidations as Oil Prices Collapse. US Oil Premiums Hit Record High As World Scrambles For Crude.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, finance.yahoo.com, zerohedge.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Kevin Warsh at 94.1% with $590K traded.
Top volume remains in Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Kevin Warsh.
Event leaders
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Top volume & odds: Kevin Warsh | 94.1% | $590K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?) | 13.0% | $562K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $110 | 74.0% | $464K
Top volume & odds: No change | 98.2% | $410K
Meta chief AI scientist Yann LeCun dismisses Claude Mythos fears as drama
Meta chief AI scientist Yann LeCun dismisses Claude Mythos fears as drama. The AI code wars are heating up. What did Anthropic Mythos change for security ?.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, theverge.com, alltoc.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by IPOs before 2027? - Brex at 5.9% with $31K traded.
Top volume remains in IPOs before 2027? - Brex.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
Top volume: OpenAI | 7.1% | $18K
Top odds: Anthropic | 89.0%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Viking Therapeutics | 30.0% | $8K
Top odds: Caesars Entertainment | 72.0%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Top volume & odds: April 30 | 5.8% | $4K
Popular events
Sources: news.webindia123.com, aninews.in, screenrant.com
What this EUROVISION legend just said about the iconic song contest speaks volumes as he shares his thoughts on ISRAE.... 🇨🇾 Cyprus : Antigoni Covers My Number One. City Hall Slowly Takes Shape Before the 70th Eurovision Song Contest in Vienna.
Sources: dailymail.co.uk, eurovoix.com, vol.at
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $223K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $223K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 19.0% | $77K
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 1.9% | $35K
Popular events
Sources: fool.com, benzinga.com, forbes.com
Subnautica 2 base building - all changes explained
Subnautica 2 base building - all changes explained. Next SpaceX launch from Vandenberg SFB planned for Tuesday. What next for NASA after Artemis II crew completes historic moon mission.
Sources: pcgamesn.com, ksby.com, abcnews.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - December 31, 2026 at 13.0% with $28K traded.
Top volume remains in MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - December 31, 2026.
Lead event
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - December 31, 2026
Trading at 13.0% with $28K in volume.
Event leaders
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 13.0% | $28K
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 38.0% | $22K
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 33.0% | $21K
Top volume & odds: June 30, 2026 | 46.0% | $20K
Sources: thedailystar.net, motorsport.com, wral.com
Tackling myths about cash pay in construction
Tackling myths about cash pay in construction.
Sources: cantechletter.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Atletico Madrid at 7.2% with $479K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Atletico Madrid.
Event leaders
Top volume: Atletico Madrid | 7.2% | $479K
Top odds: Bayern Munich | 34.0%
Top volume & odds: Mercedes | 77.0% | $2K
Popular events
National solar park accelerating clean energy transition , supplies Phnom Penh , cuts costs. France sustainability innovations on display at Adipec. EU Emissions Trading System Sustains Downward Trend In.
Sources: phnompenhpost.com, tradearabia.com, marinelink.com
Talk of relocation after string of weather disasters , Christopher Luxon says
Talk of relocation after string of weather disasters , Christopher Luxon says. Seven countries now generate 100 % of their electricity from renewable energy. Some rain is expected this week , but it wont be enough to end the drought | What to know.
Sources: rnz.co.nz, the-independent.com, thv11.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k at 60.0% with $9K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$6,545
+$4,019
+$3,178
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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