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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?" Event volume totals $111M across outcomes, with $11M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 76.0%, with top volume on "May 31" at 7.0% and $9M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?)" at 36.0% and $679K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - May 31
$9M
Highest implied
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner - Graham Platner
98.7%
Top priced
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner - Graham Platner
98.7%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - May 31 leads the desk at 7.0% with $9M traded.
Lead stories
Iran Clarifies Deal Not Finalized Amid Lack Of Trust , Warns US - Gulf Of Utter Ruin If War Resumes
Iran Clarifies Deal Not Finalized Amid Lack Of Trust , Warns US - Gulf Of Utter Ruin If War Resumes. Let end Iran negotiation and win the war.
Sources: zerohedge.com, americanthinker.com
US says Iran deal depends on Strait of Hormuz access
US says Iran deal depends on Strait of Hormuz access. Trump to decide imminently on Iran deal , as the US President sets out his Hormuz and nuclear demands. Trump says Iran deal awaits final decision.
Sources:
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes leads the desk at 36.0% with $679K traded.
Lead stories
China Real Choke Point Starts at Hormuz , Not Malacca : Report
China Real Choke Point Starts at Hormuz , Not Malacca : Report. Trump to decide imminently on Iran deal , as the US President sets out his Hormuz and nuclear demands. India stands ready to support efforts to reduce tensions : Ajit Doval calls for uninterrupted flow of trade through H....
Sources: rediff.com, lbc.co.uk, moneycontrol.com
B4
Lead market: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$2T leads the desk at 75.0% with $53K traded.
Lead stories
Tesla & SpaceX Merger Getting Real - CleanTechnica
Tesla & SpaceX Merger Getting Real - CleanTechnica. SpaceX Invests 3X More on AI Than Rockets and Lost $6 . 3 Billion on the Segment Last Year . Should Investors Be Worr.... Tech stocks today : Dell stock soars on AI sales , Anthropic overtakes OpenAI as world most valuable AI startup.
Sources: cleantechnica.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - June 30 leads the desk at 2.5% with $211K traded.
Lead stories
What Is Cannes Film Festival ? Date , History , Awards And Why It Matters
What Is Cannes Film Festival ? Date , History , Awards And Why It Matters. AMVCA celebrates Africa new creative culture. AMVCA 2026 Cultural Night : Stars celebrate African heritage.
Sources: newsx.com, punchng.com, theeagleonline.com.ng
Buy Monopoly FIFA World Cup Edition Panini Prizm Cards , Deal Game
Buy Monopoly FIFA World Cup Edition Panini Prizm Cards , Deal Game. Pick your perfect World Cup 2026 look with FourFourTwo kit picker. England World Cup odds 2026 : Compare odds on England to win World Cup.
B6
Lead market: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - May 31, 2026 leads the desk at 25.4% with $776K traded.
Lead stories
Weekend Round - Up : Bitcoin Big Players , XRP ETFs , SpaceX BTC Holdings And More
Weekend Round - Up : Bitcoin Big Players , XRP ETFs , SpaceX BTC Holdings And More. The 2022 Bitcoin Pattern Is Back and the Second Drop Was Worse Than the First. Michael Saylor moves $30 million in Bitcoin.
Sources: benzinga.com, 247wallst.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Arsenal leads the desk at 44.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Hungary for success : PSG eyes historic win
Hungary for success : PSG eyes historic win. Hungary for success : PSG eyes historic win. Our best Champions League goals under Mikel Arteta.
Sources: africa.chinadaily.com.cn, europe.chinadaily.com.cn, arsenal.com
Thousands of tickets remain available for united states World Cup opener vs . Paraguay ; Will it sell out ?. Coming Soon : World Cup Daily | The 90+. FIFA releases new batch of World Cup tickets.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 6.4% with $240K traded.
Lead stories
Is Hantavirus a threat to Europe ? Climate change and habitat destruction are increasing the risk
Is Hantavirus a threat to Europe ? Climate change and habitat destruction are increasing the risk.
Sources: euronews.com
Rise of Renewables and EVs in Australia Is Trimming Emissions
Rise of Renewables and EVs in Australia Is Trimming Emissions. Ndlovu urges government agencies to tap carbon markets for climate funding - Newsday Zimbabwe. Nigeria : Six Steps Nigeria Must Take to Win the Race for Climate Cash.
Sources: bloomberg.com,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Fed Decision in June?
$7K
98.5%
$982
Read All The Stories Written by Vandita Mishra .
Read All The Stories Written by Vandita Mishra .. Hecklers disrupt Hinson rally ahead of Tuesday primary. Diplomacy funded by illusions : Trump Iran deal must be more than promises.
Sources: indianexpress.com, insurancenewsnet.com, jpost.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - May 31 at 7.0% with $9M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - May 31.
Event leaders
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Top volume: May 31 | 22.0% | $2M
Top odds: June 30 | 73.0%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
Top volume & odds: June 30, 2026 | 1.7% | $587K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 2.5% | $417K
8.2%
—
$12M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $645M
Presidential election
Event volume $607M
Mom Keeps Forcing Stepfamily Bonding On Son , Huge Fight Explodes Over His 18th Birthday Dinner. Global bonds take wild ride in May as Iran war shocks market. Patentee that retains exclusionary rights has constitutional standing notwithstanding broad license grant | McDermott....
Sources: boredpanda.com, zawya.com, jdsupra.com
India Must Diversify Trade Routes Beyond Strait of Hormuz , Says EY Report
India Must Diversify Trade Routes Beyond Strait of Hormuz , Says EY Report. Iran to Charge Toll for Strait of Hormuz Navigation Services. Nearly 2 , 000 ships await Gulf transit : US Secretary Bessent.
Sources: dailypioneer.com, newkerala.com, prokerala.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes at 36.0% with $679K traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes
Trading at 36.0% with $679K in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 36.0% | $679K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 61.0% | $159K
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of June? | 87.0% | $23K
Popular events
Meta wants to spend more even after it lost $80 billion on the Metaverse and over 20 million users.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
2 Tech ETFs for Nearly Every Corner of the Digital Economy : From Semiconductors to Robotics
2 Tech ETFs for Nearly Every Corner of the Digital Economy : From Semiconductors to Robotics. Tech in the 2010s was the luckiest s ** t ever : Viral X post sparks debate on AI and layoffs. Another tech company says it will cut hundreds of jobs amid pivot to AI.
Sources: fool.com, moneycontrol.com, latimes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$2T at 75.0% with $53K traded.
Top volume remains in SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$2T.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: OpenAI | 5.1% | $29K
Top odds: Anthropic | 82.7%
Popular events
Sources: variety.com, fourfourtwo.com, aol.co.uk
The ultimate 90s and 00s Hollywood power couple the year you were born - and where their romance is today. Beauty Marks : The Best Beauty Looks of the Week. Karuppu Box Office Collection Day 8 : Suriya and Trisha Krishnan Film Crosses Rs 200 Crore Worldwide , Creates Histor....
Sources: hellomagazine.com, vogue.com, newsx.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - June 30 at 2.5% with $211K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - June 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - June 30
Trading at 2.5% with $211K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: June 30 | 2.5% | $211K
Top odds: December 31 | 15.0%
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 83.0% | $45K
Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
Top volume: Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026? | 14.5% | $17K
Top odds: Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026? | 71.7%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $9K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 18.0% | $3K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 57.0%
Popular events
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Friday , May 29 , 2026 : Prices open lower , despite news of U . S .- Iran truce. Smarter Web Company adds nine Bitcoin to treasury as holdings near 2 , 900. Bitcoin Whales and Dolphins Signal Bear Market.
Wall Street Stablecoin Darling Raises $222 Million to Starve Ethereum
Wall Street Stablecoin Darling Raises $222 Million to Starve Ethereum. 21Shares Debuts First ETF Focused on Canton Network Crypto Token. Here What Will Happen in Crypto If The Clarity Act Passes.
Sources: gizmodo.com, finance.yahoo.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - May 31, 2026 at 25.4% with $776K traded.
Top volume remains in MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - May 31, 2026.
Lead event
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - May 31, 2026
Trading at 25.4% with $776K in volume.
Event leaders
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Top volume: May 31, 2026 | 25.4% | $776K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 89.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 72,500 | 36.0% | $236K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 7.2% | $23K
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 55,000 | 55.0% | $19K
Popular events
The 20 - PPG NBA rookie quiz. Report : Sixers hiring Mike Gansey as lead basketball operations executive. The Youngest 30 - point playoff game quiz.
Sources: yardbarker.com, phillyvoice.com, yardbarker.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Arsenal at 44.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Arsenal.
Event leaders
Top volume: San Antonio Spurs | 27.0% | $532K
Top odds: Oklahoma City Thunder | 43.0%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC
Top volume & odds: Paris Saint-Germain FC | 40.0% | $261K
Popular events
Canadiens vs . Hurricanes Prediction , Odds , Best Prop Bet for NHL Playoffs Game 2
Canadiens vs . Hurricanes Prediction , Odds , Best Prop Bet for NHL Playoffs Game 2. Canadiens vs . Hurricanes Prediction & Picks - Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 1. Canadiens vs . Hurricanes Prediction , Odds , Best Prop Bet for NHL Playoffs Game 1.
Sources: si.com, 1049foxsports.iheart.com, si.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 6.4% with $240K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 6.4% | $240K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑3k | 80.0% | $461
Popular events
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes
Vol $240K
Vol $280K
+$77,609
+$23,195
+$14,186
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
#1
Awaiting data
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#2
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#5
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