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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?" Event volume totals $115M across outcomes, with $4M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 71.0%, with top volume on "May 31" at 2.3% and $3M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in June?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 98.1%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 1.1% and $368K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - May 31
$3M
Highest implied
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$1T
98.8%
Top priced
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$1T
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - May 31 leads the desk at 2.3% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Iran latest : Nuclear issues remain unresolved as Trump weighs peace deal
Iran latest : Nuclear issues remain unresolved as Trump weighs peace deal. US says capable of resuming war with Iran as deal remains elusive. Iranian state media reports details of draft informal Iran - US agreement.
Sources: fox29.com, koreatimes.co.kr, aa.com.tr
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in June? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 1.1% with $368K traded.
Lead stories
DOJ asks judge to vacate Federal Reserve subpoena decisions
DOJ asks judge to vacate Federal Reserve subpoena decisions. Recent inflation data was bad news , Fed Goolsbee says. Fed Minutes Provide Details About Unusually Divided Vote.
Sources: yahoo.com, cnbc.com, finanznachrichten.de
IRGC warns against US interference in Strait of Hormuz management
IRGC warns against US interference in Strait of Hormuz management. Iran warns military vessels interfering in Hormuz Strait will be targeted. Iran parliament set to vote on Hormuz Strait management bill.
B4
Lead market: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T leads the desk at 10.0% with $29K traded.
Lead stories
The SpaceX IPO Will Create a $75 Billion Spending Spree -- These 2 AI Stocks Will Win
The SpaceX IPO Will Create a $75 Billion Spending Spree -- These 2 AI Stocks Will Win. Boycotts Hurt Tesla Sales . Now , Activists Are Taking On Elon Musk SpaceX IPO. XAI Will Breakeven by Renting AI Data Center to Anthropic.
Sources: fool.com, wired.com, nextbigfuture.com
Is Huawei new chip scaling law a true breakthrough , or mere hype ?
Is Huawei new chip scaling law a true breakthrough , or mere hype ?. NIT - K to offer online M . Tech in Signal Processing and AI. This Is the Artificial Intelligence ( AI ) Stock Id Buy if the Market Crashed Tomorrow.
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 2.1% with $81K traded.
Lead stories
Jesus Christ Is The Way – Finding Him As The Way At Eden
Jesus Christ Is The Way – Finding Him As The Way At Eden. Arae Burgie Newly Released Me and My Best Friend Jesus Christ is a Powerful Testimony of Faith , Redemption , and a D.... Ready Hearts Await The Return Of Christ.
Sources: patheos.com, pr.com, patheos.com
Buy Monopoly FIFA World Cup Edition Panini Prizm Cards , Deal Game
Buy Monopoly FIFA World Cup Edition Panini Prizm Cards , Deal Game. World Cup 26 freebies and deals roll out ahead of tournament. Pick your perfect World Cup 2026 look with FourFourTwo kit picker.
B6
Lead market: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - May 31, 2026 leads the desk at 15.1% with $968K traded.
Lead stories
Alberta Pension Powerhouse Pivots to Bitcoin : AIMCo Discloses Major MicroStrategy Stake
Alberta Pension Powerhouse Pivots to Bitcoin : AIMCo Discloses Major MicroStrategy Stake. Grok AI is Bullish on MicroStrategy ( MSTR ) Despite Bitcoin Volatility. Weekend Round - Up : Bitcoin Big Players , XRP ETFs , SpaceX BTC Holdings And More.
Sources: econotimes.com, insidermonkey.com, benzinga.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Netherlands leads the desk at 4.3% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
The 50 greatest players in World Cup history
The 50 greatest players in World Cup history. Which City Hosted the 1998 World Cup Final ?. Brazil Must Use World Cup Pressure as Motivation , Says Star.
Sources: aol.co.uk, jagranjosh.com, punchng.com
Jared McCain erupts as Thunder weather Spur fast start , seize 2 – 1 series lead
Jared McCain erupts as Thunder weather Spur fast start , seize 2 – 1 series lead. Thunder - Spurs Western Conference Finals set : Game 1 Monday night. Thunder vs . Spurs Game 3 Predictions , Odds & Stats – May 22.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 6.0% with $90K traded.
Lead stories
Is Hantavirus a threat to Europe ? Climate change and habitat destruction are increasing the risk
Is Hantavirus a threat to Europe ? Climate change and habitat destruction are increasing the risk.
Sources: euronews.com
Climate Change Weekly # 581 It Hurricane Season , and Nothing Is New
Climate Change Weekly # 581 It Hurricane Season , and Nothing Is New. California wildfire prevention funding at risk of drying up. Zimbabwe approves over 190 carbon credit projects.
Sources: wattsupwiththat.com,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.7%
$1K
Hegseth says US more than capable of restarting Iran attacks as Trump weighs 60 - day ceasefire extension. Trump will soon decide on Iran ceasefire extension. Qatar rejects permanent Strait of Hormuz toll but keeps door open to temporary fees.
Heir to Iranian Throne : I Appreciate Ukrainians Who Support Iranians in Their Struggle for Freedom
Heir to Iranian Throne : I Appreciate Ukrainians Who Support Iranians in Their Struggle for Freedom. Iran Regime – No Matter How Hard Any Western Leader Tries to Sell It That Way – Has Not Changed by Majid Rafizadeh. The Deal to Keep the Islamic Republic Alive.
Sources: kyivpost.com, ruthfullyyours.com, townhall.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - May 31 at 2.3% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - May 31.
Event leaders
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Top volume: May 31 | 8.0% | $402K
Top odds: June 30 | 65.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 2.5% | $212K
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Stephen A. Smith | 1.1% | $187K
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 24.9%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Top volume: June 30 | 3.9% | $169K
Top odds: December 31 | 21.0%
Popular events
8.1%
-0.1pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $646M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $609M0%
Sources: globaltimes.cn, aa.com.tr, aa.com.tr
Iran Deal With US Not Final as Hormuz Tensions Rise
Iran Deal With US Not Final as Hormuz Tensions Rise. Oil exports through Hormuz might not return to levels before Iran war. U . S . says deals with Iran for safe Hormuz transit are prohibited.
Sources: pakistantoday.com.pk, cnbc.com, fortune.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in June? - 25 bps decrease at 1.1% with $368K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in June? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?) | 7.0% | $362K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 29.0% | $165K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 48.0% | $137K
Top volume: Apple | 5.5% | $73K
Top odds: Largest Company end of June? | 90.0%
Popular events
Sources: scmp.com, thehindu.com, fool.com
Anthropic is making its Claude chatbot more appealing to consumers
Anthropic is making its Claude chatbot more appealing to consumers. Anthropic Code with Claude showed off coding future whether you like it or not. How to try Claude Opus 4 . 8 , the honest Anthropic AI.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, technologyreview.com, mashable.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T at 10.0% with $29K traded.
Top volume remains in SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: OpenAI | 3.4% | $28K
Top odds: Anthropic | 81.4%
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?
Top volume: June 30 | 2.4% | $18K
Top odds: December 31 | 6.0%
Popular events
Sources: variety.com, fox4news.com, fourfourtwo.com
What Is Cannes Film Festival ? Date , History , Awards And Why It Matters
What Is Cannes Film Festival ? Date , History , Awards And Why It Matters. AMVCA celebrates Africa new creative culture. AMVCA 2026 Cultural Night : Stars celebrate African heritage.
Sources: newsx.com, punchng.com, theeagleonline.com.ng
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 2.1% with $81K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $81K
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 89.0% | $73K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: June 30 | 2.1% | $68K
Top odds: December 31 | 15.0%
Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?
Top volume: Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026? | 27.2% | $46K
Top odds: Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026? | 72.8%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 7.0% | $10K
Bitcoin ETFs Just Had The Worst Month Of The Year : Are Investors Rotating to Stocks ? - iShares Bitcoin Tr. Bitcoin Enters Buy Zone That Previously Led To A 660 % And 1 , 700 % Rally. Anthony Scaramucci Heard Hal Finney & Winklevoss Twins , Yet Couldnt Care Les About Bitcoin Until A Wh.
Sources: benzinga.com, newsbtc.com, benzinga.com
SpaceX Holds $1 . 5 Billion in Bitcoin . Does That Make the Coin a Buy ?
SpaceX Holds $1 . 5 Billion in Bitcoin . Does That Make the Coin a Buy ?. Bitcoin brutal 5 . 5 % weekly slide exposes the mechanical heart of a market in crisis – NaturalNews . com. Crypto Market News Signals Fear as Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $2 . 8B While.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, naturalnews.com, openpr.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - May 31, 2026 at 15.1% with $968K traded.
Top volume remains in MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - May 31, 2026.
Lead event
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? - May 31, 2026
Trading at 15.1% with $968K in volume.
Event leaders
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Top volume: May 31, 2026 | 15.1% | $968K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 90.0%
Top volume & odds: by December 31, 2026 | 9.0% | $14K
Popular events
Sources: nytimes.com, newson6.com, buzztulsa.iheart.com
Game 7 awaits : Spurs at Thunder on Saturday night to decide Western Conference crown
Game 7 awaits : Spurs at Thunder on Saturday night to decide Western Conference crown. Game 7 for Spurs - Thunder seems fitting finish to back - and - forth series. Road to the NBA Finals : NBA Playoff Predictions , Picks for Spurs vs . Thunder Western Conference Finals Game 7.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, timesfreepress.com, si.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Netherlands at 4.3% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Netherlands.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Spurs | 51.0% | $1M
NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Champion
Top volume & odds: Oklahoma City Thunder | 51.0% | $260K
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
Top volume & odds: Atlanta Braves | 91.0% | $233K
Popular events
Vol $1M
2026 NBA Champion - New York Knicks
Vol $514K
Canada lengthy Stanley Cup drought continues as Habs fall to Hurricanes – Winnipeg Free Press
Canada lengthy Stanley Cup drought continues as Habs fall to Hurricanes – Winnipeg Free Press. Canada lengthy Stanley Cup drought continues as Habs fall to Hurricanes. Claude Lemieux , a feisty winger and a four - time Stanley Cup champion , dies at 60 – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: winnipegfreepress.com, tsn.ca, ktbb.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 6.0% with $90K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 6.0% | $90K
Popular events
+$77,609
+$23,195
+$15,417
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
#1
Awaiting data
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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