Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner". Event volume totals $50M across outcomes, with $5M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Oh Se-hoon" at 98.9% and $3M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Largest Company end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Largest Company end of June?" at 94.0% and $535K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$7M
Highest implied
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner - Oh Se-hoon
98.9%
Top priced
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner - Oh Se-hoon
98.9%
Volume leaders
$7M
29.0%
$7M
72.0%
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner - Oh Se-hoon
$3M
98.9%
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner - Oh Se-hoon leads the desk at 98.9% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Why Seoul firefighters trade fire scenes for fitness stages
Why Seoul firefighters trade fire scenes for fitness stages. Seoul expands hunt for global unicorns with high - stakes startup prize. National Geographic Traveller united kingdom Photography Competition winners revealed.
Sources: koreatimes.co.kr, koreatimes.co.kr, edition.cnn.com
IRAN WAR WEEK 14 , day 2 : no good options while Trump dithers
IRAN WAR WEEK 14 , day 2 : no good options while Trump dithers.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Largest Company end of June? leads the desk at 94.0% with $535K traded.
Lead stories
Fort Morgan largest employer locks out workers
Fort Morgan largest employer locks out workers. Morgan Stanley Increases NextEra Energy ( NEE ) Price Target to $115 amid Dominion Energy Deal. Billionaire media mogul company offers to buy MGM Resorts in $18B deal – Sun Sentinel.
Sources: 9news.com, finance.yahoo.com, sun-sentinel.com
Iran Parliament to vote on Hormuz Strait management plan soon
Iran Parliament to vote on Hormuz Strait management plan soon. Is the Strait of Hormuz Open or Closed on May 31 , 2026 ? Latest Update on Global Shipping Route. 300 ships signed up for safe passage thru Strait of Hormuz : Iran.
B4
Lead market: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T leads the desk at 11.0% with $99K traded.
Lead stories
Understanding IPO Investing For Retail Investors - Apple ( NASDAQ : AAPL ), NVIDIA ( NASDAQ : NVDA )
Understanding IPO Investing For Retail Investors - Apple ( NASDAQ : AAPL ), NVIDIA ( NASDAQ : NVDA ). Anthropic confidentially files for US IPO.
Sources: benzinga.com, freemalaysiatoday.com
NIT Rourkela Launches New B . Tech & M . Tech Programs in AI , Semiconductors , and Quantum Tech for 2026 Session. Retail CIOs Risk Wasted AI Spend Without Data Flow Visibility Across the Technology Stack , Finds Info - Tech Researc.... IIT Kanpur Launches 4 New Online M . Tech Programmes in AI , ML , and Sustainable Energy for 2026 Session.
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - June 30 leads the desk at 2.1% with $323K traded.
Lead stories
Charli XCX Announces New Album Music , Fashion , Film
Charli XCX Announces New Album Music , Fashion , Film. SantaBanta How Main Vaapas Aaunga Early Booking Triggers an. Can Korean cinema sustain its rebound ? - The Korea Times.
Sources: noise11.com, santabanta.com, koreatimes.co.kr
The fulfilment of prophecy - Newsday Zimbabwe
The fulfilment of prophecy - Newsday Zimbabwe. Jesus Christ Superstar – Theatre Royal Drury Lane in London : Theatre tickets , show details , cast , and more. Ex - Atheist Among Hundreds Saying Yes to Jesus as 20 , 000 Hear Gospel in Madrid Bullfighting Ring.
B6
Lead market: Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 7.6% with $99K traded.
Lead stories
From concentration camp to CEO : UConn alum journey through internment
From concentration camp to CEO : UConn alum journey through internment. TEPCO begins removing fuel from risky pool at No . 2 reactor | The Asahi Shimbun : Breaking News , Japan News and Ana.... Dollar in tight range as traders eye Middle East peace talks.
Sources: wfsb.com, asahi.com, livemint.com
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , June 2 , 2026 : Bitcoin slides below $70 , 000
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , June 2 , 2026 : Bitcoin slides below $70 , 000. Current price of Ethereum for June 1 , 2026. Current price of Ethereum for MM - DD - YYYY.
B7
Lead market: Knicks leads the desk at 29.0% with $7M traded.
Lead stories
2026 NBA Finals odds : Spurs open as clear favorites despite Knick win streak
2026 NBA Finals odds : Spurs open as clear favorites despite Knick win streak. Will the Knicks match up better against the Thunder or Spurs in NBA Finals ?. Ranking every possible NBA Finals series.
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, tsn.ca
Thousands of tickets remain available for united states World Cup opener vs . Paraguay ; Will it sell out ?. Coming Soon : World Cup Daily | The 90+. World Cup 26 freebies and deals roll out ahead of tournament.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 6.6% with $93K traded.
Lead stories
Rise of Renewables and EVs in Australia Is Trimming Emissions
Rise of Renewables and EVs in Australia Is Trimming Emissions. Climate action cannot wait | The Peninsula Qatar. Climate Change Weekly # 581 It Hurricane Season , and Nothing Is New.
Sources: bloomberg.com, thepeninsulaqatar.com, wattsupwiththat.com
Bangladesh faces further measles risk due to lack of vaccinations , travel
Bangladesh faces further measles risk due to lack of vaccinations , travel.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.9%
$2K
Sources: dailykos.com
Live updates : Race for California governor too close to call – NBC Los Angeles
Live updates : Race for California governor too close to call – NBC Los Angeles. Update in mayoral race shows moves for Karen Bass , Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman. LIVE : Los Angeles mayor election results.
Sources: nbclosangeles.com, nypost.com, foxla.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner - Oh Se-hoon at 98.9% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner - Oh Se-hoon.
Event leaders
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Top volume & odds: Oh Se-hoon | 98.9% | $3M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 2.7% | $519K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?) | 31.0% | $398K
Popular events
8.0%
—
$12M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $650M
Presidential election
Event volume $616M
Sources: globalsecurity.org, newsx.com, nypost.com
Political pressure risks damaging trust in US central bank , Powell warns
Political pressure risks damaging trust in US central bank , Powell warns. Powell uses JFK award speech to defend Fed from political pressure. Opinion : The Stock Market May Have Dodged a Bullet With Jerome Powell Staying at the Fed.
Sources: aa.com.tr, scmp.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Largest Company end of June? at 94.0% with $535K traded.
Top volume remains in Largest Company end of June?.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of June? | 94.0% | $535K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 16.0% | $460K
Top volume & odds: No change | 98.3% | $247K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?) | 3.5% | $152K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 35.0% | $125K
Popular events
Sources: jagranjosh.com, prnewswire.com, jagranjosh.com
Claude AI : What Free In 2026 And What Isnt ?
Claude AI : What Free In 2026 And What Isnt ?. Solita Becomes One of Anthropic First Authorised Resellers in Europe via Amazon Bedrock. Claude Lemieux Death Certificate Released , Body Moved To North Carolina For Burial.
Sources: engadget.com, finanznachrichten.de, tmz.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T at 11.0% with $99K traded.
Top volume remains in SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 80.0% | $66K
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Top volume & odds: Other (incl $SPCX) | 96.6% | $14K
Popular events
Sources: newsday.co.zw, whatsonstage.com, cbn.com
Netflix Stranger Thing 2026 Return With New Episodes Is Officially The Start Of An Era
Netflix Stranger Thing 2026 Return With New Episodes Is Officially The Start Of An Era. Netflix Has 3 Stranger Things Replacements , But Only 2 Are Great. Fan - favourite Stranger Things stars reunite in new Netflix mystery drama , in big cast announcement.
Sources: screenrant.com, screenrant.com, digitalspy.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - June 30 at 2.1% with $323K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - June 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - June 30
Trading at 2.1% with $323K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: June 30 | 2.1% | $323K
Top odds: December 31 | 16.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $23K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume: June 30 | 1.3% | $7K
Top odds: December 31 | 7.0%
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 90.0% | $6K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 3.6% | $5K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 57.0%
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fortune.com, fortune.com
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , May 25 , 2026 : Down from last week , but rising this morning. Should You Buy Bitcoin While It Under $100 , 000 ?. Should You Buy Bitcoin While It Under $100 , 000 ?.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? - Yes at 7.6% with $99K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 7.6% | $99K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 11.0% | $23K
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
Top volume: June 30, 2026 | 1.1% | $17K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 56.5%
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Top volume: June 30, 2026 | 1.1% | $16K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 33.0%
Popular events
Sources: nytimes.com, sbs.com.au, fox4news.com
Perkins rips Thunder star Chet Holmgren after Game 7 failure
Perkins rips Thunder star Chet Holmgren after Game 7 failure. The NBA Playoffs scoring leader quiz. NYT Connections Answers Explained For Friday , May 15 (# 1 , 069 ).
Sources: thebiglead.com, yardbarker.com, forbes.com
Event leaders
Top volume: Carolina Hurricanes | 41.0% | $123K
Top odds: Vegas Golden Knights | 58.8%
Popular events
Vol $7M
2026 NBA Champion - New York Knicks
Vol $946K
Sources: scmp.com
Golden Knights and Hurricanes both bring a hyper - defensive focus into the Stanley Cup Final
Golden Knights and Hurricanes both bring a hyper - defensive focus into the Stanley Cup Final. What to know about the Stanley Cup Final between the Vegas Golden Knights and Carolina Hurricanes. Canada lengthy Stanley Cup drought continues as Habs fall to Hurricanes – Winnipeg Free Press.
Sources: tsn.ca, tsn.ca, winnipegfreepress.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 6.6% with $93K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 6.6% | $93K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑3k | 79.0% | $288
Popular events
+$12,365
+$3,499
+$3,051
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
#1
Awaiting data
n/a
#2
Awaiting data
n/a
#3
Awaiting data
n/a
#4
Awaiting data
n/a
#5
Awaiting data
n/a