Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?" Event volume totals $7M across outcomes, with $6K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "3.75%" at 40.1%, with top volume on "2.5%" at 1.5% and $2K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 98.7% and $437K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$4M
Highest implied
Fed Decision in June? - No change
98.7%
Top priced
Fed Decision in June? - No change
98.7%
Volume leaders
$4M
23.0%
$4M
78.0%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? - ≥ 4.5%
$0
3.4%
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Hunter Biden leads the desk at 1.4% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Maine Senate hopeful Platner faces ex - girlfriend allegations , party weighs response
Maine Senate hopeful Platner faces ex - girlfriend allegations , party weighs response. Maine Senate hopeful Platner faces ex - girlfriend allegations , party weighs response. Maine Senate hopeful Platner faces ex - girlfriend allegations , party weighs response.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in June? - No change leads the desk at 98.7% with $437K traded.
Lead stories
HELOCs dip , home equity loan rates tick higher
HELOCs dip , home equity loan rates tick higher. Strong US job growth beats expectations in May , firming recent gains. U . S . added 172K jobs in May despite inflation for consumers – NBC Los Angeles.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, digitaljournal.com, nbclosangeles.com
B4
Lead market: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T leads the desk at 6.0% with $150K traded.
Lead stories
SpaceX IPO : Is This Space and AI Stock Really Only Worth $780 Billion ?
SpaceX IPO : Is This Space and AI Stock Really Only Worth $780 Billion ?. Goldman SpaceX Forecast Looks Wild : A 9 , 900 % Jump In AI Revenue By 2030. Google to pay SpaceX $920m per month for cloud computing.
Sources: fool.com, ibtimes.co.uk, rte.ie
AI Could Soon Train and Improve Itself Anthropic Says
AI Could Soon Train and Improve Itself Anthropic Says. Anthropic Employee Quote Crystallizes State of AI Confusion at Work. ZEC Falls After Disclosure of Patched Zcash Orchard Vulnerability.
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 15.0% with $50K traded.
Lead stories
The Korean Film of the Year arrives on Netflix less than a year after its theatrical release
The Korean Film of the Year arrives on Netflix less than a year after its theatrical release. Wild Sing opens strong at No . 2 with 160 , 000 moviegoers on day one as Colony surpasses 4 Million admissions. Not Just Music S . r . l .: PAPmusic announces new song BREAKING PAPnews , further expanding the brand universe throu....
Sources: allkpop.com, allkpop.com, finanznachrichten.de
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 55,000 leads the desk at 75.0% with $156K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Friday , June 5 , 2026 : Prices continue their descent
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Friday , June 5 , 2026 : Prices continue their descent. Bitcoin Price Back At $63 , 000 Despite 1 . 2 Million BTC Absorption. Has The Bitcoin Crash Ended After Falling Below $70 , 000 ?.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com, newsbtc.com
B7
Lead market: Knicks leads the desk at 23.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs LIVE Score Updates in NBA Finals Game 2 | 06 / 05 / 2026
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs LIVE Score Updates in NBA Finals Game 2 | 06 / 05 / 2026. Knicks rally to beat Spurs in Game 1 thriller. Knicks rally to beat Spurs in Game 1 thriller.
Sources: vavel.com, africa.chinadaily.com.cn, europe.chinadaily.com.cn
The 50 greatest players in World Cup history
The 50 greatest players in World Cup history. Where Person Fit Bet Online for World Cup 26 ? - Latest News In Nigeria , Nigeria News Today , Your Online Nigerian N.... Which City Hosted the 1998 World Cup Final ?.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 6.1% with $40K traded.
Lead stories
Global Norovirus Outbreaks , Ebola Emergency and Rising Disease Threats Highlight Growing Need for TOMI Environmental.... Santa Rosa Island.
Sources: manilatimes.net, laist.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
98.6%
$757
IRAN WAR WEEK 14 , day 2 : no good options while Trump dithers.
Sources: dailykos.com
HCLTech Climate Action Grant in the Americas awards $1 million to advance scalable climate solutions in its third edi.... Fujimori vs Sanchez : What to know about Peru presidential run - off election - Dominican Republic Post – Caribbean N.... Fujimori and Sánchez close campaigns in Lima before Peru tight Sunday runoff.
Sources: prnewswire.com, dominicanrepublicpost.com, en.mercopress.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Hunter Biden at 1.4% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Hunter Biden.
Event leaders
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Hunter Biden | 1.4% | $2M
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 25.2%
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Top volume & odds: Keiko Fujimori | 59.0% | $396K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 2.2% | $262K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Alberta join the US?) | 4.8% | $217K
Popular events
7.7%
-0.1pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $651M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $617M0%
US shoots down Iranian drones launched toward Strait of Hormuz after Trump said were straightening out a little unfin.... Pakistan buys costliest LNG cargo since 2022 as Hormuz crisis chokes Qatar supplies. US can secure Hormuz alone ; were most powerful military in the world : Trump.
Sources: nypost.com, moneycontrol.com, prokerala.com
Iran to Charge Ships for Service Provided During Transit Through Hormuz
Iran to Charge Ships for Service Provided During Transit Through Hormuz. Oil Price Today ( June 5 ): Crude oil holds ground as Iran peace deal uncertainty lingers . Where are prices headed ?. Pakistan Lng Purchase : Pakistan buys costliest LNG cargo in four years as Hormuz disruption triggers energy crunch.
Sources: globalsecurity.org, economictimes.indiatimes.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in June? - No change at 98.7% with $437K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in June? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 98.7% | $437K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 17.0% | $299K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?) | 2.1% | $227K
Top volume & odds: No change | 95.0% | $105K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 35.0% | $97K
Popular events
Mynd . ai Receives NYSE American Non - Compliance Notice
Mynd . ai Receives NYSE American Non - Compliance Notice. Google lays off Cloud , cybersecurity staff as Big Tech doubles down on AI investments.
Sources: prnewswire.com, indianexpress.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T at 6.0% with $150K traded.
Top volume remains in SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? - >$3T.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: OpenAI | 3.7% | $21K
Top odds: Anthropic | 82.7%
Top volume & odds: 1.5T+ | 25.0% | $3K
Popular events
US Bishops Urge Reflection as Nation Prepares for Sacred Heart Consecration
US Bishops Urge Reflection as Nation Prepares for Sacred Heart Consecration. Why the resurrection matters for both Christians and non - believer. Air1 Verse of the Day | Air1 Worship Music.
Sources: ncregister.com, christianpost.com, air1.com
Deadline. Hugh Jackman Top 5 Highest - Grossing Films : Which Movie Earned The Biggest Box Office Profit ?. Michael creeps closer to highest - grossing film ?.
Sources: deadline.com, koimoi.com, thenews.com.pk
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 15.0% with $50K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 15.0% with $50K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 15.0% | $50K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $20K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 4.6% | $8K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 57.0%
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 89.0% | $5K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 6 or lower | 3.8% | $4K
Top odds: 2 | 60.0%
Current price of Ethereum for May 22 , 2026. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , June 2 , 2026 : Bitcoin slides below $70 , 000. Current price of Ethereum for June 1 , 2026.
Sources: fortune.com, finance.yahoo.com, fortune.com
Bitcoin ( BTC ) Price Prediction : BTC on the Brink of Losing $60K Support as Crypto Spot Trading Volume Hits Lowest.... Bitcoin Price Pain Isnt Over Yet As Selling Pressure Persists. Michael Saylor Sells 32 Bitcoin : What Is Going On ?.
Sources: bravenewcoin.com, newsbtc.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 55,000 at 75.0% with $156K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 55,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 55,000 | 75.0% | $156K
What price will Bitcoin hit June 1-7?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 58,000 | 31.5% | $60K
Top volume: September 30, 2026 | 2.9% | $15K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 10.0%
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $400M | 67.0% | $9K
Top odds: $50M | 94.4%
Popular events
Sources: aol.co.uk, nigerianeye.com, jagranjosh.com
Perkins rips Thunder star Chet Holmgren after Game 7 failure
Perkins rips Thunder star Chet Holmgren after Game 7 failure. Spurs will have to buck historical trend to win NBA Finals – NBC New York. Spurs will have to buck historical trend to win NBA Finals – NBC Bay Area.
Sources: thebiglead.com, nbcnewyork.com, nbcbayarea.com
Event leaders
Top volume: Vegas Golden Knights | 44.9% | $140K
Top odds: Carolina Hurricanes | 56.0%
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume: Cristiano Ronaldo | 4.1% | $23K
Top odds: Kylian Mbappe | 17.0%
Popular events
Vol $4M
No known exposure after measles detected in Brookings county child , health department says - Mitchell Republic | New.... Telephone town hall connects families with measles experts amid outbreak - PembinaValleyOnline . com - Local news , W.... Chromium - 6 worries.
Sources: mitchellrepublic.com, pembinavalleyonline.com, laist.com
Golden Knights and Hurricanes both bring a hyper - defensive focus into the Stanley Cup Final
Golden Knights and Hurricanes both bring a hyper - defensive focus into the Stanley Cup Final. What to know about the Stanley Cup Final between the Vegas Golden Knights and Carolina Hurricanes.
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 6.1% with $40K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 6.1% | $40K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑3k | 80.0% | $1K
Popular events
+$6,646
+$4,638
+$3,499
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
#1
Awaiting data
n/a
#2
Awaiting data
n/a
#3
Awaiting data
n/a
#4
Awaiting data
n/a
#5
Awaiting data
n/a