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Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Sweden". Event volume totals $2M across outcomes, with $10K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Magdalena Andersson" at 74.0% and $1K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?)" at 18.0% and $637K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina
$12M
Highest implied
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages - USA
98.6%
Top priced
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages - USA
98.6%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? - Yes leads the desk at 67.0% with $655K traded.
Lead stories
U . S . Seeks Detailed Information on Iran Enriched Uranium Through IAEA Board Report – NaturalNews . com.
Sources: naturalnews.com
US wont pay $300 billion to rebuild Iran , says Donald Trump ahead of peace deal signing
US wont pay $300 billion to rebuild Iran , says Donald Trump ahead of peace deal signing.
Sources: businesstoday.in
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes leads the desk at 18.0% with $637K traded.
Lead stories
After US - Iran peace deal , what is the status of ships waiting at Hormuz ?
After US - Iran peace deal , what is the status of ships waiting at Hormuz ?. How will the Strait of Hormuz be demined ? Trump to address strategy at G7 summit. Iran Has More Control Over Strait Of Hormuz Than Before War , U . S . Intel Finds.
Sources: indianexpress.com, fox4news.com, forbes.com
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic leads the desk at 91.5% with $51K traded.
Lead stories
HCL Tech shares jump 3 % after buying stake in Sarvam AI for Rs 1 , 427 crore
HCL Tech shares jump 3 % after buying stake in Sarvam AI for Rs 1 , 427 crore. HCL Tech stock jumps over 2 % as Nomura bullish after Sarvam AI investment ; check target price , upside. HCL Tech share price : 43 % upside target for IT stock ! Sarvam AI investment explained.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, moneycontrol.com, businesstoday.in
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 5.0% with $109K traded.
Lead stories
Governor Box Office Collection Day 4 : Manoj Bajpayee Movie Crosses Rs 3 Crore , Continues Steady Run. Peddi Box Office Collection Day 13 : Ram Charan Starrer Crosses Rs 393 Crore Mark In 2 Weeks. Haunted 3D Echoes Of The Past Box Office Collection Day 4 : Vikram Bhatt Horror Sequel Making It Big Crosses Rs 11 Crore.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500 leads the desk at 10.8% with $145K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , June 15 , 2026 : Prices rising after U . S ., Iran agree to ceasefire deal. Bitcoin Price Nears Structural Bottom : CryptoQuant Research. Bitcoin Price Will Fall to $44 , 488 : Here Why Experts Are Convinced.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina leads the desk at 10.5% with $12M traded.
Lead stories
Kalshi World Cup Giveaway : Win a Share of $1M and Two World Cup Tickets
Kalshi World Cup Giveaway : Win a Share of $1M and Two World Cup Tickets. Pele winner medal among auction World Cup items expected to fetch £2m. FIFA World Cup 2026 Betting Guide : Odds , favorites , key players , underdogs and is it legal ?.
Sources: rotowire.com, aol.co.uk, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.8% with $132K traded.
Lead stories
US puts up $750K to evacuate an American who was aboard hantavirus cruise ship from remote island - Boston News , Wea....
Sources: whdh.com
Oman accelerates energy transition with major renewable and emissions - cut projects
Oman accelerates energy transition with major renewable and emissions - cut projects. NextEra Energy Sustainability Report 2025 : 98 % Zero - Emissions Power , $325 bn Clean Energy Investment Plan , and.... UT to launch scientific audit to measure Chandigarh environmental burden | Chandigarh News.
Sources: ,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.4%
$101K
Trump - Iran News : Iran brought psychologists into talks with Trump to assess psychopathic behavior pattern : Report. Iran World Cup match opens in Los Angeles amid regional peace accord skepticism. Iran Used Senior Psychologists To Appeal To Trump During Negotiations.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, fox10phoenix.com, dailykos.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? - Yes at 67.0% with $655K traded.
Top volume remains in Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? - Yes.
Lead event
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? - Yes
Trading at 67.0% with $655K in volume.
Event leaders
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?) | 67.0% | $655K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Top volume: June 30 | 13.9% | $358K
Top odds: July 31 | 25.0%
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Top volume: Enrichment of Uranium | 19.4% | $331K
Top odds: Unfreeze Iranian Assets | 90.0%
Top volume: Rebecca Shepherd | 1.1% | $300K
Top odds: Andy Burnham | 82.0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
Top volume: June 30 | 18.9% | $295K
Top odds: July 31 | 34.0%
8.4%
+0.2pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $659M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $630M0%
Trump Ignores Israel to Let Iran Immediately Restart Oil Exports. Oil prices fall 5 % to 3 - month low on hopes Strait of Hormuz will open. Nigerian Fuel Price Outlook as Brent , WTI Fall Below $80.
Sources: propakistani.pk, finance.yahoo.com, zalebs.com
Hormuz Update : Iran Claims to Halt Shipping Again , U . S . Says Strait Open for Transit
Hormuz Update : Iran Claims to Halt Shipping Again , U . S . Says Strait Open for Transit. Iran says will target any vessel traffic in Strait of Hormuz. Iran threatens Gulf if US destabilized Strait of Hormuz further.
Sources: breitbart.com, arabnews.com, jpost.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes at 18.0% with $637K traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes
Trading at 18.0% with $637K in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 18.0% | $637K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
Top volume: ↓ $65 | 14.3% | $183K
Top odds: ↓ $75 | 89.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 58.0% | $170K
Robinhood note on 10 % layoffs shows blaming AI isnt cutting it. Stock Market Today , June 16 : Nvidia , Broadcom , and Micron Technology Lead Drop in Nasdaq. Stanford Graduates Walk Out on Google CEO Speech Over Company Ties to Israel.
Sources: techcrunch.com, fool.com, legalinsurrection.com
AI wealth is already sending San Francisco real estate soaring
AI wealth is already sending San Francisco real estate soaring. Bill Ackman Calls Meta And Microsoft Old - Fashioned And He Snapped Up The Mega - Cap Stocks At Double. US asset managers file for first ETFs targeting Wall Street new obsession , AI and the MANGOS.
Sources: marketplace.org, benzinga.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic at 91.5% with $51K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic
Trading at 91.5% with $51K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 91.5% | $51K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 26.0% | $11K
Top odds: ↑$1.1T | 97.0%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 47.0% | $8K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Pizza Hut | 98.3% | $7K
Popular events
England superfan tries Tex - Mex for first time during World Cup trip to North Texas. Tom Holland Attends World Cup Celebration with Spider - Man : Brand New Day In Madrid. From Jungkook to Lisa to Jihyo : K - Pop Growing Legacy at the FIFA World Cup.
Sources: fox4news.com, justjared.com, allkpop.com
I dont need to respond , we are not ...: RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat on Priyank Kharge open letter
I dont need to respond , we are not ...: RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat on Priyank Kharge open letter. Michaels CEO tells young workers to stop daydreaming of success and get moving , take some action , take some risk. Ebbb Share New Song Side On : Listen.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, yahoo.com, stereogum.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 5.0% with $109K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 5.0% with $109K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 5.0% | $109K
Top odds: December 31 | 10.0%
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 87.0% | $73K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume: July 31 | 1.8% | $15K
Top odds: December 31 | 7.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $11K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 13.0% | $5K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 56.0%
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , June 10 , 2026 : BTC , ETH open lower and falling further. Ethereum Price Rebound Gains Traction After Clearing Key Hurdles. Ethereum Price Could Spark A Fresh Upswing While Above $1 , 550.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com, newsbtc.com
It Over Crypto Is Quietly Braced For A Huge BlackRock Bitcoin Price Game - Changer
It Over Crypto Is Quietly Braced For A Huge BlackRock Bitcoin Price Game - Changer. BlackRock Issues Explosive $9 Trillion Prediction As The Bitcoin Price Suddenly Surges. Is Bitcoin the Safest Crypto to Own Right Now ?.
Sources: forbes.com, forbes.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500 at 10.8% with $145K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500.
Event leaders
Popular events
Royals vs . Nationals Series Injured List - June 15 - 17. Federal jury indicts three individuals on drug charges. Buy Tickets for Royals vs . Nationals on June 17.
Sources: buzztulsa.iheart.com, wibw.com, buzztulsa.iheart.com
Guardians - Tigers game postponed by rain
Guardians - Tigers game postponed by rain. Detroit Tigers continue road trip at Houston Astros this week. No Houston homecoming for Justin Verlander as Tigers navigate rotation squeeze.
Sources: mlb.com, blessyouboys.com, macombdaily.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina at 10.5% with $12M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina.
Event leaders
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals
Top volume: Kansas City Royals | 3.9% | $255K
Top odds: Washington Nationals | 97.0%
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
Top volume & odds: Detroit Tigers | 59.0% | $217K
Top volume & odds: Argentina | 64.0% | $182K
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume: Erling Haaland | 12.0% | $117K
Top odds: Kylian Mbappe | 31.0%
Popular events
El Niño has formed . Forecasters expect a global weather powerhouse .
El Niño has formed . Forecasters expect a global weather powerhouse .. El Nino officially arrives with warning - Hawaii Tribune - Herald. Inchcape Sustainability Report 2025 : Emissions Down 43 %, 1 , 500+ Solar Panels Deployed , AI Governance Reaches 100....
Sources: spokesman.com, hawaiitribune-herald.com, greentechlead.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.8% with $132K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.8% | $132K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑3k | 83.0% | $632
Popular events
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes
Vol $132K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes
Vol $132K
+$201,666
+$41,497
+$32,681
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
#1
Awaiting data
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#2
Awaiting data
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#3
Awaiting data
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#4
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#5
Awaiting data
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