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Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028". Event volume totals $1B across outcomes, with $4M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Gavin Newsom" at 23.9%, with top volume on "Graham Platner" at 2.5% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?)" at 15.0% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Stephen A. Smith
$0
Highest implied
Where will Trump and Putin meet next? - No meeting by June 30
98.8%
Top priced
Where will Trump and Putin meet next? - No meeting by June 30
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Belete Molla leads the desk at 1.8% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Ethiopia : Tale of Two Ethiopias
Ethiopia : Tale of Two Ethiopias. Zimbabwe vote to extend president term underscores the staying power of Africa aging leaders – Winnipeg Free Press. Christians Help Battle Measles Outbreak in Bangladesh.
Sources: allafrica.com, winnipegfreepress.com, christianitytoday.com
Dems crown Senate nominee in solidly red Alabama ahead of steep midterm climb
Dems crown Senate nominee in solidly red Alabama ahead of steep midterm climb. This state could be the final nail in GOP midterms coffin. Mazzei and Drummond to face off in runoff election for Republican nomination for governor.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes leads the desk at 15.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
US filings for unemployment benefits fall to 226 , 000 last week
US filings for unemployment benefits fall to 226 , 000 last week. US filings for unemployment benefits fall to 226 , 000 last week. US filings for unemployment benefits fall to 226 , 000 last week.
Sources: ocregister.com, orlandosentinel.com, sandiegouniontribune.com
Decision Debt : 6 Tips To Break The Epidemic Behind Career Burnout
Decision Debt : 6 Tips To Break The Epidemic Behind Career Burnout.
Sources:
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic leads the desk at 96.2% with $55K traded.
Lead stories
Wall Street needs crash course in tokens ahead OpenAI , Anthropic IPOs
Wall Street needs crash course in tokens ahead OpenAI , Anthropic IPOs. Anthropic tops OpenAI as most valuable AI start - up. Musk defends AI ambitions as IPO reveals trouble.
Sources: cnbc.com, straitstimes.com, freemalaysiatoday.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 2.1% with $34K traded.
Lead stories
Guest commentary : Who is a Christian ?
Guest commentary : Who is a Christian ?. This is one of the oldest depictions of the Sacred Heart. 5 Ways to make Sacred Heart consecration change your family.
Sources: idahopress.com, aleteia.org, aleteia.org
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports on Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 52,500 leads the desk at 6.7% with $147K traded.
Lead stories
Billionaire Mark Cuban Suddenly Flips On Bitcoin As Massive Crash Fear Hits Price
Billionaire Mark Cuban Suddenly Flips On Bitcoin As Massive Crash Fear Hits Price. Bloodbath Bitcoin Price Crash Warning Issued As BlackRock Sell - Off Revealed. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , May 25 , 2026 : Down from last week , but rising this morning.
Sources: forbes.com, forbes.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Mexico leads the desk at 1.4% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
CBP officers in Indianapolis seize counterfeit World Cup jerseys , shirts , beanies , and other items. CBP officers in Indianapolis seize counterfeit World Cup jerseys , shirts , beanies , and other items. Oldham News | Main News | Local Garage Launches FIFA World Cup - Themed Campaign for united kingdom Drivers.
Sources: fox2detroit.com, fox32chicago.com, oldham-chronicle.co.uk
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 4.0% with $27K traded.
Lead stories
Hantavirus Is Spreading - Windermere Sun - For Healthier / Happier / More Sustainable Living
Hantavirus Is Spreading - Windermere Sun - For Healthier / Happier / More Sustainable Living. 2026 June 17 - Windermere Sun - For Healthier / Happier / More Sustainable Living. 2026 June - Windermere Sun - For Healthier / Happier / More Sustainable Living.
Sources: windermeresun.com, windermeresun.com, windermeresun.com
Climate action cannot wait | The Peninsula Qatar
Climate action cannot wait | The Peninsula Qatar. Oman accelerates energy transition with major renewable and emissions - cut projects. Climate Change Weekly # 581 It Hurricane Season , and Nothing Is New.
Sources: ,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Fed Decision in July?
Sources: yahoo.com, dailykos.com, ktul.com
Michelle Obama At The Barack Obama Presidential Center
Michelle Obama At The Barack Obama Presidential Center. Cockroach Janta Party Reveals a Crisis of Political Representation.
Sources: blackamericaweb.com, indianexpress.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Belete Molla at 1.8% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Belete Molla.
Event leaders
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Graham Platner | 2.5% | $2M
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 23.9%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?) | 65.0% | $1M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?) | 6.3% | $544K
9.1%
0.0pp
$13M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $661M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $632M0%
Iran Parliament to vote on Hormuz Strait management plan soon
Iran Parliament to vote on Hormuz Strait management plan soon. Is the Strait of Hormuz Open or Closed on May 31 , 2026 ? Latest Update on Global Shipping Route. Two - thirds of tankers going dark to pass through Strait of Hormuz : analysts.
Sources: globalsecurity.org, newsx.com, nypost.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes at 15.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes
Trading at 15.0% with $1M in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 15.0% | $1M
Top volume & odds: No change | 71.0% | $475K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 56.0% | $247K
Binance Expands Pre - IPO Perpetuals with OpenAI Listing Following Strong Early Market Response. Understanding IPO Investing For Retail Investors - Apple ( NASDAQ : AAPL ), NVIDIA ( NASDAQ : NVDA ). Binance Expands Pre - IPO Perpetuals with OpenAI Listing Following Strong Early Market Response.
Sources: prnewswire.com, benzinga.com, manilatimes.net
US Stock Market : SpaceX , OpenAI IPO excitement revives debate over lofty valuations
US Stock Market : SpaceX , OpenAI IPO excitement revives debate over lofty valuations. Binance Expands Pre - IPO Perpetuals with OpenAI Listing Following Strong Early Market Response.
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic at 96.2% with $55K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic
Trading at 96.2% with $55K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 96.2% | $55K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Human moon landing in 2026?) | 2.9% | $6K
Top volume & odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 46.0% | $5K
Popular events
World Cup Betting Promos ( June 2026 ): Best Promos for the World Cup. World Cup Betting Promos ( June 2026 ): Best Promos for the World Cup. World Cup 2026 : Messi , Ronaldo Eye New Records.
Sources: rotowire.com, rotowire.com, punchng.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 2.1% with $34K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $34K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 10.0% | $30K
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 84.0% | $22K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Toy Story 5 | 17.9% | $12K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 58.0%
Current price of Ethereum for May 22 , 2026. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , June 2 , 2026 : Bitcoin slides below $70 , 000. Current price of Ethereum for June 1 , 2026.
Sources: fortune.com, finance.yahoo.com, fortune.com
Bitcoin Uselessness As Money Well Predates Its Recent Decline
Bitcoin Uselessness As Money Well Predates Its Recent Decline. What happens to Satoshi BTC when Bitcoin quantum problem is fixed ?. Bitcoin Price Up 5 . 7 % Over Last Week ( BTC ).
Sources: forbes.com, coindesk.com, themarketsdaily.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 52,500 at 6.7% with $147K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 52,500.
Event leaders
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 7.3% | $39K
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $50M | 64.0% | $32K
Top volume & odds: 62,000 | 84.7% | $26K
Popular events
Mexico vs . South Korea Prediction , Odds , Best Prop Bet for World Cup Group Stage. Mexico vs Korea Republic Predictions , Picks & Odds. World Cup 2026 : What are the scenarios for Group A ?.
Sources: si.com, toffeeweb.com, sbnation.com
Best World Cup Goal Scorer Bets Today ( Bet on Vinicius Junior to Score vs . Morocco )
Best World Cup Goal Scorer Bets Today ( Bet on Vinicius Junior to Score vs . Morocco ). Best World Cup Goal Scorer Bets Today ( Bet on Koki Ogawa to Score for Japan ). 2026 World Cup : 9 WAGs to Watch.
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Mexico at 1.4% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Mexico.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Mexico | 47.0% | $106K
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume & odds: Kylian Mbappe | 24.0% | $56K
Which continent will win the World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Europe (UEFA) | 71.0% | $38K
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Top volume: Tunisia | 8.0% | $35K
Top odds: USA | 98.0%
Popular events
Vol $106K
Ireland on track to deliver only half the reductions of greenhouse gas emissions needed by 2030
Ireland on track to deliver only half the reductions of greenhouse gas emissions needed by 2030. Global Environmental Shifts and the Future of Sustainable Living. UT to launch scientific audit to measure Chandigarh environmental burden | Chandigarh News.
Sources: thejournal.ie, yourthurrock.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 4.0% with $27K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 4.0% | $27K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑3k | 83.0% | $241
Popular events
+$201,666
+$46,585
+$41,497
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
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