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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $64M across outcomes, with $5M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Abiy Ahmed" at 97.6%, with top volume on "Adanech Abiebie" at 1.9% and $3M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?)" at 5.7% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Adanech Abiebie
$3M
Highest implied
Peru Presidential Election Winner - Keiko Fujimori
98.9%
Top priced
Peru Presidential Election Winner - Keiko Fujimori
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Adanech Abiebie leads the desk at 1.9% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Ethiopia Economic Reform Delivering Tangible Results Across Sectors , Says PM Abiy
Ethiopia Economic Reform Delivering Tangible Results Across Sectors , Says PM Abiy. Look forward to building on our Strategic Partnership : Ethiopian PM thanks PM Modi for wishes. Amir congratulates prime minister of Ethiopia.
Sources: allafrica.com, ianslive.in, qatar-tribune.com
11 Turkish - owned vessels exit Gulf via Hormuz
11 Turkish - owned vessels exit Gulf via Hormuz. Donald Trump insists Iran has agreed to nuclear inspections. Strait of Hormuz latest news : Iran - U . S war ends but Strait of Hormuz disruptions could continue for months ahead....
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes leads the desk at 5.7% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
11 Turkish - owned vessels exit Gulf via Hormuz
11 Turkish - owned vessels exit Gulf via Hormuz. Donald Trump insists Iran has agreed to nuclear inspections. Strait of Hormuz latest news : Iran - U . S war ends but Strait of Hormuz disruptions could continue for months ahead....
Sources: hurriyetdailynews.com, jpost.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B4
Lead market: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? - June 26 leads the desk at 23.0% with $129K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic wants Claude to be your new Slack coworker
Anthropic wants Claude to be your new Slack coworker. Was Trump right to ban the most advanced AI ?. Anthropic debuts Claude Tag in Slack , aims for broader rollout.
Sources: thestar.com.my, abc.net.au, tech.yahoo.com
Inside the lab where Amazon is taking on Nvidia : Jon Erlichman
Inside the lab where Amazon is taking on Nvidia : Jon Erlichman. SpaceX Is Quietly Becoming One of the Most Important Data Center Companies in AI . Here What That Means for Investors. OpenAI Unveils Jalapeño Inference Chip.
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 5.6% with $162K traded.
Lead stories
The Devil Wears Prada 2 Set to Stream on Disney+ and Hulu July 29 With Major New Viewing Update
The Devil Wears Prada 2 Set to Stream on Disney+ and Hulu July 29 With Major New Viewing Update. Will Smith and Jada Pinkett Smith Step Out Together in Paris as Jaden Smith Joins Family Night Out. Missy Elliott to Receive Amazon Music Visionary Icon Award.
Sources: fingerlakes1.com, fingerlakes1.com, vibe.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500 leads the desk at 33.5% with $309K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Wednesday , June 24 , 2026 : Opened at lowest levels in about two weeks. Bitcoin Compressed at $62 , 000 as a Four - Year Adoption Trend Stays Intact. PYMNTS | Bitcoin Drops Below $60 , 000 as Retail Traders Flee to AI Stocks.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, cointelegraph.com, pymnts.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Colombia leads the desk at 1.8% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Donald Trump to attend World Cup final and present trophy , Infantino says
Donald Trump to attend World Cup final and present trophy , Infantino says. FIFA President Divulges Who Will Present the World Cup Trophy - Prepare for the Leftist Meltdown. Deschamps Returns to France After Death of His Mother – THISDAYLIVE.
Sources: sbs.com.au, redstate.com, thisdaylive.com
Türkiye vs United States Predictions , Picks & Odds
Türkiye vs United States Predictions , Picks & Odds. Can Team united states ACTUALLY Win the World Cup ?. President Ilham Aliyev receives delegation led by Speaker of Grand National Assembly of Türkiye ( PHOTO ).
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 4.1% with $37K traded.
Lead stories
Colorado public health officials investigating hantavirus death not linked to cruise ship cluster – KTBB News , Weath....
Sources: ktbb.com
Utah measles outbreak has slowed , but the fall season may see another surge
Utah measles outbreak has slowed , but the fall season may see another surge.
Sources: fortune.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
98.5%
$49K
Taiwan President urges China to stop military expansion in South and East China Seas , Taiwan Strait
Taiwan President urges China to stop military expansion in South and East China Seas , Taiwan Strait. Taiwan Coast Guard warns off Chinese research vessel from its restricted waters. Taiwan Lai says defending democracy is not a provocation against China.
Sources: prokerala.com, prokerala.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Adanech Abiebie at 1.9% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Adanech Abiebie.
Event leaders
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Top volume: Adanech Abiebie | 1.9% | $3M
Top odds: Abiy Ahmed | 97.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?) | 30.0% | $482K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?) | 5.9% | $325K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?) | 1.3% | $216K
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
Top volume & odds: September 30 | 8.4% | $213K
Popular events
9.2%
—
$12M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $664M
Presidential election
Event volume $638M
UN Initiates Major Evacuation of 11 , 000 Stranded Sailors in Strait of Hormuz Amid US - Iran Tensions | World News. JOINT STATEMENT BY THE SULTANATE OF OMAN AND THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN. Oman unveils temporary Hormuz Strait shipping lane.
All Banks Pass Fed Stress Test , Unleashing Latest Wave Of Dividends And Buybacks
All Banks Pass Fed Stress Test , Unleashing Latest Wave Of Dividends And Buybacks. US Flash PMIs Forecast to Confirm Steady Expansion in June. We are DONE : Marjorie Taylor Greene breaks off from Republican Party.
Sources: zerohedge.com, finance.yahoo.com, foxcarolina.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes at 5.7% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes
Trading at 5.7% with $1M in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 5.7% | $1M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 48.0% | $437K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 56.0% | $110K
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, fool.com, bankinfosecurity.com
AI chatbots show left - wing bias , bombshell report finds ; ChatGPT gives lefty answers 80 % of time. OpenAI has revealed its first custom chip , and Nvidia should be worried. OpenAI First Custom Chip Is As Hot As A Jalapeño For AI , As The Firm Calls It The Best Inference Platform for LLMs.
Sources: nypost.com, howtogeek.com, wccftech.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? - June 26 at 23.0% with $129K traded.
Top volume remains in Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? - June 26.
Lead event
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? - June 26
Trading at 23.0% with $129K in volume.
Event leaders
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
Top volume: June 26 | 23.0% | $129K
Top odds: December 31 | 96.6%
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 98.5% | $50K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$1.75T | 57.0% | $10K
Top odds: ↑$1.1T | 97.6%
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 77.0% | $10K
Huge West End musical confirms tour starting in Manchester with Sam Ryder starring. Passion play – Winnipeg Free Press. Vatican says No to German bishop request for lay homilies.
James Bond Officially Starts A New Era On Netflix
James Bond Officially Starts A New Era On Netflix. I Just Found Out Disney Wanted James Bond , And There One Reason Im Relieved It Didnt Happen. Daniel Craig Best James Bond Replacement Returns This Week.
Sources: screenrant.com, cinemablend.com, screenrant.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 5.6% with $162K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 5.6% with $162K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 5.6% | $162K
Top odds: December 31 | 10.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.9% | $58K
Top volume & odds: No Bond chosen | 98.1% | $22K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 3.6% | $6K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 67.0%
Top volume & odds: Kevin McGonigle | 67.0% | $4K
Popular events
Bitmine , SharpLink and Joe Lubin Back Ethlabs. Ethereum Staking Tax May Already Be Obsolete Due To EthLabs. Ether Rocked By $170M Liquidation : Are New Lows On The Cards ?.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, cointelegraph.com, cointelegraph.com
Reader Favorite Publishes Review of Political Thriller The Day Satoshi Returned by Taimour Alneimat | Press Releases.
Sources: ktbs.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500 at 33.5% with $309K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in June?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 57,500 | 33.5% | $309K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 7.1% | $71K
Popular events
Sources: toffeeweb.com, mynorthwest.com, trend.az
World Cup 26 freebies and deals roll out ahead of tournament
World Cup 26 freebies and deals roll out ahead of tournament. Pick your perfect World Cup 2026 look with FourFourTwo kit picker. World Cup 26 freebies and deals roll out ahead of tournament.
Sources: fox4news.com, fourfourtwo.com, fox10phoenix.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Colombia at 1.8% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Colombia.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: United States | 52.0% | $412K
Which continent will win the World Cup?
Top volume: Asia (AFC) | 2.1% | $156K
Top odds: Europe (UEFA) | 70.0%
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume: Cristiano Ronaldo | 2.3% | $147K
Top odds: Lionel Messi | 36.7%
Top volume & odds: Mexico | 54.0% | $116K
Popular events
Sakuranesia brings UI , UGM researchers to Japan AI Climate Forum. Fossil Fuels at the Root of Crisis and Climate Havoc. Manila Bulletin - PAGASA expects 9 to 13 tropical cyclones until December amid El Niño.
Sources: en.antaranews.com, pressenza.com, mb.com.ph
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 4.1% with $37K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 4.1% | $37K
Popular events
+$275,971
+$201,666
+$41,497
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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