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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $74M across outcomes, with $4M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Abiy Ahmed" at 97.6%, with top volume on "Adanech Abiebie" at 2.0% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?)" at 2.0% and $796K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Volume leaders
B1
Lead market: Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Adanech Abiebie leads the desk at 2.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Ethiopia Economic Reform Delivering Tangible Results Across Sectors , Says PM Abiy
Ethiopia Economic Reform Delivering Tangible Results Across Sectors , Says PM Abiy. Decisive victory : PM Modi congratulates Ethiopian counterpart Abiy Ahmed Ali on poll win. Ethiopia Digital Revolution - From Connectivity to Competitiveness.
Sources: allafrica.com, aninews.in, allafrica.com
Sergei Ivanov , once seen as Putin potential successor , dies at 73
Sergei Ivanov , once seen as Putin potential successor , dies at 73. Russia Lavrov Admits That Anchorage Only Bought Time For Ukraine To Rearm. The end of Putin regime will spring from war spending chaos , former central bank advisor says.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes leads the desk at 2.0% with $796K traded.
Lead stories
Iran reasserts control over Strait of Hormuz after ship hit near Oman , warns Gulf states against backing US. Iran Foreign Ministry Says Strait of Hormuz Open After IRGC Warning Sparks Confusion – NaturalNews . com. US Strikes Iran in Response to Attack on Cargo Ship.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, naturalnews.com, theepochtimes.com
B4
Lead market: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? - July 1 leads the desk at 34.0% with $128K traded.
Lead stories
OpenAI introduces GPT - 5 . 6 to challenge Claude Mythos 5
OpenAI introduces GPT - 5 . 6 to challenge Claude Mythos 5. The Sneaky Way SpaceX , Anthropic , and OpenAI Can Destroy the Trump Bull Market. OpenAI Unveils Jalapeño , Its First Custom AI Chip With Broadcom.
Sources: siliconangle.com, fool.com, memeburn.com
AI Crypto Tokens Like Venice , Worldcoin , and Near Protocol Sink After Major Negative News
AI Crypto Tokens Like Venice , Worldcoin , and Near Protocol Sink After Major Negative News. OpenAI Limits GPT - 5 . 6 Rollout at US Government Request. OpenAI First Custom AI Chip Is Here And It Called Jalapeño.
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 10.0% with $106K traded.
Lead stories
Mirzapur : The Movie actor Divyenndu talks about the film : The scale , the characters , the actions , the dialogues.... Welcome To The Jungle Full Movie Collection : Welcome to the Jungle box office collection day 2 : Akshay Kumar and Su.... Maa Inti Bangaaram Full Movie Collection : Maa Inti Bangaaram box office collection day 9 : Samantha Ruth Prabhu film....
Sources: bollywoodhungama.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com,
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500 leads the desk at 27.7% with $90K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , June 22 , 2026 : Prices moving higher this morning
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , June 22 , 2026 : Prices moving higher this morning. Should You Buy Bitcoin While It Under $70 , 000 ? The Answer Might Surprise You .. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Thursday , June 25 , 2026 : Bitcoin tumbles further below $60 , 000.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina leads the desk at 19.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
Kalshi World Cup Giveaway : Win a Share of $1M and Two World Cup Tickets
Kalshi World Cup Giveaway : Win a Share of $1M and Two World Cup Tickets. Where Person Fit Bet Online for World Cup 26 ? - Latest News In Nigeria , Nigeria News Today , Your Online Nigerian N.... Ranking the best World Cup kits for 2026 – NBC Los Angeles.
Sources: rotowire.com, nigerianeye.com, nbclosangeles.com
Does Ecuador shock knock Germany down ? Re - ranking the 48 World Cup teams after day 15
Does Ecuador shock knock Germany down ? Re - ranking the 48 World Cup teams after day 15. Are favourites France getting stronger still ? Re - ranking the 48 World Cup teams after day 16. SBS travel to FIFA World Cup scrutinised.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 4.1% with $13K traded.
Lead stories
MIND ID targets 15 . 5 percent emissions cut by 2030
MIND ID targets 15 . 5 percent emissions cut by 2030. Rooftop solar can provide five hours of free air conditioning a day . But is it green ?. Climate Alarm by Bloomberg Flops , As Food Production Hits New Highs.
Sources: en.antaranews.com, euronews.com, redstate.com
4 Ways How Can The Use of Solar Energy Reduce Earth Pollution ?
4 Ways How Can The Use of Solar Energy Reduce Earth Pollution ?. Carbon Cycles and Greenhouse Gases. India Inc green transition triggers hiring surge.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$2K
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, zerohedge.com, fortune.com
Russia says Trump - Putin understanding incomplete
Russia says Trump - Putin understanding incomplete. Russia says Trump - Putin understanding incomplete. Russia says Trump - Putin understanding incomplete.
Sources: edenmagnet.com.au, crookwellgazette.com.au, yasstribune.com.au
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Adanech Abiebie at 2.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Adanech Abiebie.
Event leaders
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Top volume: Adanech Abiebie | 2.0% | $2M
Top odds: Abiy Ahmed | 97.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?) | 13.0% | $567K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 14.0% | $133K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?) | 17.0% | $79K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?) | 5.5% | $77K
9.4%
+0.2pp
$13M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $665M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $640M0%
Strait of Hormuz Evacuation Operation Halts After Cargo Ship Attack. IRGC Says Hormuz Transit Requires Tehran - Approved Routes. S . Korea , Iran agree to closely coordinate on Strait of Hormuz vessel transit.
Sources: world.kbs.co.kr, deccanchronicle.com, koreaherald.com
Trump Dismisses Warsh Decision , Cuban Credits Stock Market For Billionaire Wealth , Schiff Criticism A. A quieter Federal Reserve could mean volatile markets , higher rates. Warsh gamble : A quieter Federal Reserve could mean volatile markets , higher rates.
Sources: benzinga.com, hurriyetdailynews.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes at 2.0% with $796K traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes
Trading at 2.0% with $796K in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 2.0% | $796K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 38.0% | $300K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
Top volume: ↓ $65 | 3.5% | $57K
Top odds: ↑ $80 | 8.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 86.0% | $51K
Popular events
Sources: banklesstimes.com, govinfosecurity.com, memeburn.com
SpaceX Is Borrowing $20 Billion to Fund Its AI Ambitions . Is That a Bold Move or a Dangerous One ?
SpaceX Is Borrowing $20 Billion to Fund Its AI Ambitions . Is That a Bold Move or a Dangerous One ?. OpenAI restricts GPT - 5 . 6 Sol release after US government AI security review. OpenAI limits its latest ChatGPT product to Trump - approved customers during cybersecurity review.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, thehindubusinessline.com, smdailyjournal.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? - July 1 at 34.0% with $128K traded.
Top volume remains in Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? - July 1.
Lead event
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? - July 1
Trading at 34.0% with $128K in volume.
Event leaders
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
Top volume: July 1 | 34.0% | $128K
Top odds: December 31 | 97.7%
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 98.8% | $32K
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Top volume: OpenAI | 3.6% | $26K
Top odds: Anthropic | 86.0%
Top volume & odds: July 31 | 89.9% | $24K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Ubisoft | 15.0% | $9K
Top odds: MGM Resorts | 79.0%
The Casting Of The Next James Bond Will Finally End The Most Tedious Era Of The Franchise
The Casting Of The Next James Bond Will Finally End The Most Tedious Era Of The Franchise. Midland police officers drove off opposite way after suicidal man disappeared. Two Staffordshire Police officers accused of gross misconduct.
Sources: screenrant.com, birminghammail.co.uk, stokesentinel.co.uk
Huge West End musical confirms tour starting in Manchester with Sam Ryder starring
Huge West End musical confirms tour starting in Manchester with Sam Ryder starring. Church of Jesus Christ of Latter - day Saints announces groundbreaking date for Tulsa Temple. LDS Church delivers food to all 50 states to celebrate America 250.
Sources: manchestereveningnews.co.uk, ktul.com, eastidahonews.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 10.0% with $106K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 10.0% with $106K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 10.0% | $106K
Top volume & odds: No Bond chosen | 97.6% | $20K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $16K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Odyssey | 2.7% | $5K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 67.0%
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume: Toy Story 5 | 5.1% | $446
Top odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 74.0%
Popular events
1 Company Now Holds Nearly 5 % of All Ethereum . That An Obvious Sell Signal. 1 Company Now Holds Nearly 5 % of All Ethereum . That An Obvious Sell Signal. Ethereum Whale Who Shorted October 2025 Crash Returns With $19 . 7M Short ETH Bet.
Sources: fool.com, fool.com, cointelegraph.com
SharpLink Resumes Ethereum Buying After 8 - Month Pause
SharpLink Resumes Ethereum Buying After 8 - Month Pause. 1 Company Now Holds Nearly 5 % of All Ethereum . That An Obvious Sell Signal. Where Will Solana Be in 3 Years ? | The Motley Fool.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500 at 27.7% with $90K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500.
Event leaders
What price will Solana hit in June?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 60 | 3.3% | $16K
Popular events
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, tvtonight.com.au
Derek James : Norfolk links to World Cup finals | Eastern Daily Press
Derek James : Norfolk links to World Cup finals | Eastern Daily Press. Wayne Rooney reveals fatigue concern for England star after Panama victory. Derek James : Norfolk links to World Cup finals | Norwich Evening News.
Sources: edp24.co.uk, metro.co.uk, eveningnews24.co.uk
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina at 19.0% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina.
Event leaders
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Top volume: South Korea | 4.0% | $596K
Top odds: DR Congo | 91.0%
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume: Cristiano Ronaldo | 3.5% | $165K
Top odds: Lionel Messi | 38.5%
Which continent will win the World Cup?
Top volume: North America (CONCACAF) | 3.3% | $125K
Top odds: Europe (UEFA) | 68.0%
Sweating Out The Infection : How Climate Change Will Affect Population & Emissions
Sweating Out The Infection : How Climate Change Will Affect Population & Emissions. South Dakota drought strains KOTA Territory power grid. Tech is key for climate adaptation , but dont ignore local knowledge : CSTEP Indu Murthy | Technology News.
Sources: emagazine.com, kotatv.com, indianexpress.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 4.1% with $13K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 4.1% | $13K
Popular events
+$201,666
+$196,494
+$49,172
Kalshi via Jupiter
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