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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $173M across outcomes, with $2M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Abiy Ahmed" at 93.6% and $2K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?)" at 8.0% and $28K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Berhanu Nega
$0
Highest implied
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) - Starmer - UK PM
98.5%
Top priced
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) - Starmer - UK PM
98.5%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 6.8% with $26K traded.
Lead stories
Taiwan President urges China to stop military expansion in South and East China Seas , Taiwan Strait
Taiwan President urges China to stop military expansion in South and East China Seas , Taiwan Strait. Taiwan Coast Guard warns off Chinese research vessel from its restricted waters. Taiwan Lai says defending democracy is not a provocation against China.
Sources: prokerala.com, prokerala.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
US Senate rebukes Trump on Iran war powers
US Senate rebukes Trump on Iran war powers. US Senate Rebukes Trump Over Iran War Powers in Bipartisan Vote. After Trump Iran deal announcement , US Democrats demand transparency.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? - Yes leads the desk at 8.0% with $28K traded.
Lead stories
Trump agrees to talks with Iran after latest strikes but says ceasefire over
Trump agrees to talks with Iran after latest strikes but says ceasefire over. Trump agrees to talks with Iran after latest strikes but says ceasefire over. Trump agrees to talks with Iran after latest strikes but says ceasefire over.
Sources: echo-news.co.uk, salisburyjournal.co.uk, lancashiretelegraph.co.uk
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic leads the desk at 93.0% with $9K traded.
Lead stories
Microsoft Reports a Massive 25 Percent Jump in Emissions
Microsoft Reports a Massive 25 Percent Jump in Emissions.
Sources: wired.com
Musk urges Tesla staff to use Grok
Musk urges Tesla staff to use Grok. Grok 4 . 5 Launches With Budget Pricing and Cursor Integration. AI model mania and the new chip gold rush.
Sources: news.az, memeburn.com, siliconangle.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 1.9% with $20K traded.
Lead stories
Producer Michael Harrison discusses a packed 2027 with Andrew Lloyd Webber – and taking Sam Ryder across the nation. A reflection on clerical attire , colour psychology , ministry of the gospel ( 3 ), by Lilian Mabeek. Faith , Lifestyle and Stories Come Together in New Gospel Gateway.
Sources: whatsonstage.com, theeagleonline.com.ng, prnewswire.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 80,000 leads the desk at 1.8% with $57K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin tests $50K - $67K critical zone as market cycle mirrors late 2022 prices ; what it means for investors. Bitcoin Whales Due Credit for $64 , 000 BTC Price Rebound , Says CryptoQuant. Strategy Bitcoin Sales Will Boost Price , Says DWF Labs , as CryptoQuant Founder Predicts Parabolic Rally.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, cointelegraph.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Switzerland leads the desk at 1.7% with $640K traded.
Lead stories
Mbappe World Cup Records : Full List After Morocco Win
Mbappe World Cup Records : Full List After Morocco Win. Merino late winner sends Spain past Belgium into World Cup semifinals. Merino late winner sends Spain past Belgium into World Cup semifinals.
Sources: punchng.com, usa.chinadaily.com.cn, global.chinadaily.com.cn
Norway vs England mega - preview : Predictions , form guide , key players and more
Norway vs England mega - preview : Predictions , form guide , key players and more. Norwegian wife and English husband look ahead to World Cup battle. Norway vs . England Prediction , Odds , Best Prop Bet for World Cup Quarterfinals.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.1% with $199 traded.
Lead stories
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: ktbb.com
Utah measles outbreak has slowed , but the fall season may see another surge
Utah measles outbreak has slowed , but the fall season may see another surge.
Sources: fortune.com
Brits warned to stock up fridges before 1pm today as heatwave continues
Brits warned to stock up fridges before 1pm today as heatwave continues.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$401
Sources: dailytimes.com.pk, oneindia.com, prokerala.com
10 injured in overnight Russian missile and drone strikes on Kyiv
10 injured in overnight Russian missile and drone strikes on Kyiv. 10 injured in overnight Russian missile and drone strikes on Kyiv. 10 injured in overnight Russian missile and drone strikes on Kyiv.
Sources: yahoo.com, news4jax.com, clickorlando.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? - Yes at 6.8% with $26K traded.
Top volume remains in China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?) | 6.8% | $26K
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Top volume: Qatar | 17.0% | $26K
Top odds: Switzerland | 28.0%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 11.0% | $22K
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 10.0% | $18K
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
Top volume & odds: July 31 | 54.0% | $13K
12.0%
-0.1pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $671M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $654M0%
SK Hynix Marks Record - Setting U . S . Debut Today. SK Hynix Surges 17 % In Record - Setting U . S . Debut : Here What Regular Investors Should Know. Prashant Jain , other top investors pick Rs 1 , 655 crore stake in SBI Funds Management pre - IPO deals.
Custodia asks Supreme Court to rule on Fed master account
Custodia asks Supreme Court to rule on Fed master account. Fed officials fret over inflation risk , weigh rate hikes. Supreme Court Reshapes Presidential Control of Federal Agencies : What Employers Need to Know | FordHarrison.
Sources: americanbanker.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, jdsupra.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? - Yes at 8.0% with $28K traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? - Yes
Trading at 8.0% with $28K in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 8.0% | $28K
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of July? | 93.0% | $15K
Top volume & odds: No change | 78.0% | $9K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume: ↓ $65 | 29.0% | $6K
Top odds: ↑ $80 | 30.0%
Popular events
Fidji Simo Steps Back From OpenAI AGI Role to Focus on Health. Sam Altman OpenAI right - hand woman Fidji Simo steps down. OpenAI Browser Isnt Dead , It Just Moved To The ChatGPT App.
Sources: adweek.com, nypost.com, engadget.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic at 93.0% with $9K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
Trading at 93.0% with $9K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 93.0% | $9K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 18.4% | $2K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume & odds: MGM Resorts | 83.0% | $100
Popular events
Zendaya Most Iconic Looks Over the Years. Michael On Verge Of Hitting $1 Billion At Worldwide Box Office. Charli xcx Throws a Phone - Free Music , Fashion , Film Playback at New York City Metrograph.
Sources: blackamericaweb.com, forbes.com, gq.com
WEATHER : Severe thunderstorms with heavy downpours expected to hit SA
WEATHER : Severe thunderstorms with heavy downpours expected to hit SA. Lee Sung - min and Rain Consider Solo Leveling. UDF allies upset over delay in power - sharing talks.
Sources: thesouthafrican.com, hancinema.net, keralakaumudi.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 1.9% with $20K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.9% | $20K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 3.8% | $12K
Top odds: December 31 | 8.0%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 1 | 30.0% | $4K
Top odds: 2 | 64.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 74.0% | $126
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 6.0% | $125
Navigating Crypto Tokenomics : FDV vs Market Cap Explained. Market Cap vs . Fully Diluted Valuation. CAP Token Debuts With Nearly $900M in 10 - Day Volume , Closing at a $325M FDV In First 24 - Hours.
Sources: techstory.in, techstory.in, manilatimes.net
If you invested $10 , 000 in Trump mining company last year , youd have only this much today
If you invested $10 , 000 in Trump mining company last year , youd have only this much today. Prediction : Bitcoin Next Move Could Make or Break MicroStrategy Stock. Eric Trump bitcoin bet erases $600 million from family fortune.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, staradvertiser.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 80,000 at 1.8% with $57K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 80,000.
Event leaders
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 6.5% | $3K
Popular events
Sources: nytimes.com, bbc.co.uk, si.com
BetMGM bonus code NYPMAX1550 : Get up to $1 , 550 in bonuses for Switzerland vs . Argentina
BetMGM bonus code NYPMAX1550 : Get up to $1 , 550 in bonuses for Switzerland vs . Argentina. Argentina vs Switzerland prediction : Can Lionel Messi set up an England or Norway semi - final showdown ?. Switzerland dares to dream against Argentina.
Sources: nypost.com, fourfourtwo.com, china.org.cn
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Switzerland at 1.7% with $640K traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Switzerland.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: England | 51.5% | $547K
Top volume & odds: Argentina | 58.0% | $316K
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Top volume & odds: Max Holloway | 70.0% | $164K
2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Top volume: England | 38.0% | $30K
Top odds: France | 59.0%
Popular events
Sources: express.co.uk
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.1% with $199 traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.1% | $199
Popular events
+$47,014
+$32,003
+$22,084
Kalshi via Jupiter
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