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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $191M across outcomes, with $9M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Abiy Ahmed" at 97.3%, with top volume on "Gedion Timothewos" at 1.9% and $6M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in July?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 96.0% and $488K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos
$6M
Highest implied
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $100M
98.0%
Top priced
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $100M
98.0%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos leads the desk at 1.9% with $6M traded.
Lead stories
Ethiopia : PM Abiy Calls On Natl Dialogue Conference Participants to Embrace Responsibility , Safeguard Sovereignty. Ethiopia : European Union Committed to Deepening Cooperation With Ethiopia in Various Spheres. Ethiopia : PM Abiy , EU Foreign Policy Chief Discuss Partnership , Regional Cooperation.
Sources: allafrica.com, allafrica.com, allafrica.com
US - Iran war news LIVE : Trump threatens Iran will no longer exist ; air raid sirens in Bahrain , Kuwait.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in July? - No change leads the desk at 96.0% with $488K traded.
Lead stories
A case for less talk ? Making sense of Fed flip - flops over past one year
A case for less talk ? Making sense of Fed flip - flops over past one year. US Fed official supports higher rates to curb inflation. Inflation , AI and more : Key takeaways from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh testimony.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, freemalaysiatoday.com, hindustantimes.com
B4
Lead market: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$1.75T leads the desk at 53.0% with $31K traded.
Lead stories
Grok Build Open - Sourced After Covert Upload : Code to Exfiltrate Repos Stays In
Grok Build Open - Sourced After Covert Upload : Code to Exfiltrate Repos Stays In. Apple plans to buy chip startups to catch up in the AI race : Report. Microsoft CEO says Anthropic Fable request policy doesnt make sense.
Sources: techtimes.com, digit.in, cnbc.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 4.2% with $87K traded.
Lead stories
Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass Wins Prestigious Award Amid Strong Competition
Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass Wins Prestigious Award Amid Strong Competition. Sofia Coppola New Movie Makes a Stylish Entrance on HBO Max Today. Gatta Kusthi 2 box office collections day 13 : Vishnu Vishal - Aishwarya Lekshmi wrestle their way to Rs 38 . 50 cror....
Sources: aceshowbiz.com, comingsoon.net, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,500 leads the desk at 52.8% with $56K traded.
Lead stories
Current price of Ethereum for July 14 , 2026
Current price of Ethereum for July 14 , 2026. Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : ETH Slips Towards $1 , 746 as Bulls Eye $1 , 800 Breakout and OBV Confirmation. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Wednesday , July 15 , 2026 : Prices surge after softer inflation report.
Sources: fortune.com, bravenewcoin.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina leads the desk at 41.5% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
From $42M to $50M : How the 2026 World Cup Created the Biggest Champion Prize Money in Football History. World Cup : Rio Ferdinand makes claim on Messi after Argentina beat England. World Cup Betting Promos ( July 2026 ): Best Promos for the World Cup.
Sources: jagranjosh.com, dailypost.ng, rotowire.com
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.1% with $94K traded.
Lead stories
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: ktbb.com
Utah measles outbreak has slowed , but the fall season may see another surge
Utah measles outbreak has slowed , but the fall season may see another surge.
Sources: fortune.com
Met Office forecast as experts say when it will be less hot
Met Office forecast as experts say when it will be less hot.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Sources: hindustantimes.com
What Lindsey Graham career reveals about US foreign policy
What Lindsey Graham career reveals about US foreign policy. Can Cong Stop BJP Constitutional Push ?. Tillis Has One Foot Out the Door and Both Hands on the Senate Brakes.
Sources: dailysabah.com, rediff.com, pjmedia.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos at 1.9% with $6M traded.
Top volume remains in Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos.
Event leaders
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Top volume: Gedion Timothewos | 1.9% | $6M
Top odds: Abiy Ahmed | 97.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 23.0% | $679K
Top volume & odds: Mojtaba Khamenei | 80.7% | $182K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Top volume: September 30 | 23.0% | $103K
Top odds: December 31 | 31.0%
Popular events
14.5%
+0.1pp
$14M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $676M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $662M0%
Oil pipelines bypassing Strait of Hormuz would not end threat to Middle East crude exports. Oil Prices Rise as U . S . Strikes on Iran Raise Strait of Hormuz Supply Fears. Oil prices rise for 4th day as US strikes on Iran raise fears of wider conflict.
Sources: seekingalpha.com, econotimes.com, geo.tv
Blasts reported in Iran as US launches new wave of strikes
Blasts reported in Iran as US launches new wave of strikes. Sailors skeptical of US promise for safe passage in the Strait of Hormuz : F off. Gulf States Signal Openness to Strait of Hormuz Fees , Reject Iranian Control – NaturalNews . com.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, nypost.com, naturalnews.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in July? - No change at 96.0% with $488K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in July? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 96.0% | $488K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $90 | 22.7% | $152K
Top odds: ↑ $85 | 45.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 53.0% | $101K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 84.0% | $82K
Popular events
Robotics company sets up shop in Fremont for cutting - edge tech hub. Robotics company sets up shop in Fremont for cutting - edge tech hub.
Sources: mercurynews.com, eastbaytimes.com
Eyeing valuation jump , investors prep bids for chip giant CXMT $8 . 6 billion IPO
Eyeing valuation jump , investors prep bids for chip giant CXMT $8 . 6 billion IPO. A . I . IPOs , SpaceX and the Next Liquidity Wave Explained. If Youre Not a Billionaire in San Francisco , Youre Poor.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, observer.com, businessinsider.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$1.75T at 53.0% with $31K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$1.75T.
Lead event
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$1.75T
Trading at 53.0% with $31K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$1.75T | 53.0% | $31K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 90.0%
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Top volume: Google | 1.9% | $20K
Top odds: Anthropic | 97.6%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: PayPal | 62.0% | $1K
Top odds: MGM Resorts | 70.0%
Robert Irwin Offers Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce to Honeymoon at His Zoo. They say you should never scratch and itch .. but I think we all have been waiting to scratch the itch of this comeback. Taylor Swift lavender marriage theory explained : Why fans think Travis Kelce romance is a cover - up and how Karlie....
Sources: radaronline.com, 937kcountry.com, indiatimes.com
Salt Lake Temple ready for seismic activity
Salt Lake Temple ready for seismic activity. How to get Manchester tickets for £16 for Jesus Christ Superstar starring Sam Ryder. Huge West End musical confirms tour starting in Manchester with Sam Ryder starring.
Sources: eastidahonews.com, manchestereveningnews.co.uk, manchestereveningnews.co.uk
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 4.2% with $87K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 4.2% with $87K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 4.2% | $87K
Top odds: December 31 | 8.0%
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
Top volume & odds: Max Martin | 39.3% | $22K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $8K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Odyssey | 6.5% | $3K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 73.0%
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 26.0% | $3K
Top odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 71.0%
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Thursday , July 16 , 2026 : Prices rise , ethereum becomes increasingly compelling. Prediction : Bitcoin Will Double in Value by the End of 2027 -- Here How. Cryptocurrencies : Bitcoin Sits Just Below $65K.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, etftrends.com
Larry Fink Says Bitcoin Has More Stability at Current Levels : BlackRock CEO Very Bullish on the Markets. Bitcoin Holds $64 , 000 as Analyst Says Market Low Is Months , Not Week Away. Bitcoin price today 16 July – Check selling , buying latest trends in percentage.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, benzinga.com, pakobserver.net
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,500 at 52.8% with $56K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,500.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 35.0% | $41K
Popular events
England vs France Correct Score Prediction & Odds World Cup Third Place Game. France vs . England Bronze Final preview : Will stars play in third - place game ?. France vs . England Bronze Final preview : Will stars play in third - place game ?.
Sources: covers.com, fox4news.com, fox10phoenix.com
Harry Kane addresses England World Cup retirement after Argentina exit
Harry Kane addresses England World Cup retirement after Argentina exit. FIFA World Cup : England coach Thomas Tuchel has no regret over strategy. Lionel Messi new favourite to win Ballon dOr after Argentina beat England.
Sources: fourfourtwo.com, tribuneindia.com, mirror.co.uk
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina at 41.5% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: France | 50.0% | $584K
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume & odds: Lionel Messi | 60.4% | $548K
Top volume & odds: Lionel Messi | 90.0% | $181K
Popular events
Vol $584K
Sources: liverpoolecho.co.uk
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.1% with $94K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.1% | $94K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑3k | 89.0% | $964
Popular events
+$47,014
+$32,003
+$30,563
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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