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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "December 31, 2026" at 3.1% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in July?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 94.6% and $150K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...? - December 31, 2026
$0
Highest implied
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
98.1%
Top priced
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
98.1%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 31.0% with $478K traded.
Lead stories
US - Iran news LIVE : Iran claims 2 tankers exploded in Hormuz , US denies ; sirens go off in Bahrain. US - Iran War Live : US launches fresh strikes on Iran , begins blockade of Iranian ports.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in July? - No change leads the desk at 94.6% with $150K traded.
Lead stories
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh , Welcome to Your No - Win Scenario , Courtesy of President Donald Trump
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh , Welcome to Your No - Win Scenario , Courtesy of President Donald Trump. Inflation Isnt Just a Trumpflation Problem Any Longer -- There a New Culprit , and It Has Potentially Dire Implicatio.... Sonam Wangchuk Protest : Law On Hunger Strikes & Judicial Approach.
Sources: fool.com, fool.com, livelaw.in
B4
Lead market: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - Anthropic leads the desk at 14.9% with $21K traded.
Lead stories
Big bank record Wall Street profits are increasingly tied to AI
Big bank record Wall Street profits are increasingly tied to AI. AI Price War Erupts as OpenAI , Anthropic Monopoly Crumbles. Over $200 million in contracts now depend on the forum posts ordinary people type for free , and the reason AI compan....
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, radioseoul1650.com, gcn.com
Taiwan Semiconductor Commits To Investing Another $100 Billion In The United States
Taiwan Semiconductor Commits To Investing Another $100 Billion In The United States.
Sources:
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 2.2% with $35K traded.
Lead stories
72nd National Film Awards 2026 Winners List : Full List of Winners , Best Actor , Best Actress , Complete Awards. EWA AT 5 : Entertainment Week Africa Unveils Expanded Pan - African Edition for 2026. Movie starring WWE SmackDown wrestler selected for film festival.
Sources: indianexpress.com, bellanaija.com, f4wonline.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Ethereum hit in July? - ↑ 2,200 leads the desk at 6.6% with $72K traded.
Lead stories
Solana RWA Ecosystem Leads All Chains With 300 , 000+ Holders
Solana RWA Ecosystem Leads All Chains With 300 , 000+ Holders. Unibase Price Hits $0 . 0918 on Major Exchanges ( UB ). GameStop ( gamestop - coin . vip ) ( GME ) Price Down 9 . 3 % Over Last 7 Days.
Sources: memeburn.com, themarketsdaily.com, themarketsdaily.com
Bitcoin ( BTC ) Price Prediction : Dormant Whale Activity Sparks Volatility Alert as BTC Hovers Near $64K. Pi Network shows grit as Bitcoin nears $64K. $2 . 5 billion in BTC call spreads target $72 , 000 by the month end when the Fed meets.
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina leads the desk at 41.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Who Is Performing at the World Cup Final Halftime and Closing Ceremony ? BTS , Shakira , Madonna and More. FIFA WC : Spain road to final driven by balance , belief and brilliant defending. ICC rewards qualifier winner with direct ODI WC entry.
Sources: today.com, prokerala.com, theshillongtimes.com
How to watch Spain vs Argentina – watch World Cup Final 2026 for free
How to watch Spain vs Argentina – watch World Cup Final 2026 for free. Spain vs . Argentina Livestream : How to Watch the FIFA World Cup Final Live Online for Free.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.0% with $9K traded.
Lead stories
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: ktbb.com
From beetle hunts in Mussoorie to Goa monsoon forests : Stephen Alter stories of rain | Eye News
From beetle hunts in Mussoorie to Goa monsoon forests : Stephen Alter stories of rain | Eye News.
Sources: indianexpress.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$10K
Iran hardliners warn of a coup as US truce comes under pressure. Iran hardliners warn of a coup as US truce comes under pressure. Iran hardliners warn of a coup as US truce comes under pressure.
Sources: us.cnn.com, edition.cnn.com, cnn.com
Shapiro launches Rise Up campaign in Harrisburg
Shapiro launches Rise Up campaign in Harrisburg. US Democrats divided over support for Israel ahead of midterm elections. Republicans in control of Congress are quietly sabotaging Trump signature bill.
Sources: wgal.com, modernghana.com, alternet.org
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes at 31.0% with $478K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 31.0% | $478K
Top volume & odds: Mojtaba Khamenei | 73.8% | $246K
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
Top volume: July 31 | 16.0% | $232K
Top odds: August 15 | 33.0%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Wes Moore | 1.2% | $113K
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 19.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?) | 11.0% | $96K
Popular events
14.0%
-0.7pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $677M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $664M0%
Why the Strait of Hormuz has become Iran biggest bargaining chip. South Korea Bets on Red Sea Route as Hormuz Disruptions Persist. US firms sign $60 billion Iraq deals to expand oil exports beyond Strait of Hormuz.
Dollar Little Changed as Crude Prices Soar and T - note Yields Fall
Dollar Little Changed as Crude Prices Soar and T - note Yields Fall. Brent crude nears $88 as US - Iran tensions rattle oil markets. Current price of oil as of July 17 , 2026.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, samaa.tv, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in July? - No change at 94.6% with $150K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in July? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 94.6% | $150K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 1.2% | $145K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $90 | 55.2% | $136K
Top odds: ↑ $85 | 82.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 52.0% | $38K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 84.9% | $33K
Popular events
BofA extends loan to OpenAI ahead of IPO , Reuters source says
BofA extends loan to OpenAI ahead of IPO , Reuters source says. Sam Altman Called Any OpenAI IPO Valuation Below $1 Trillion a Nonstarter . Should Investors Prefer OpenAI or SpaceX ?. How to Get Exposure to OpenAI Before Its IPO.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, fool.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - Anthropic at 14.9% with $21K traded.
Top volume remains in Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - Anthropic.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 98.1% | $10K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Human moon landing in 2026?) | 2.4% | $2K
Popular events
72nd National Film Awards 2026 : Article 370 Named Best Film ; Kartik Aaryan , Yami Gautam and Mammootty Win Top Acti.... Sweet Pea pre - sale wristbands available now. The Odyssey Box Office Collection Day 1 : Christopher Nolan Epic Beats Oppenheimer , Opens To A Massive Rs 16 Crore I....
Sources: pragativadi.com, bozone.com, newsx.com
Anya Taylor - Joy unlocks a different kind of leading lady in Lucky
Anya Taylor - Joy unlocks a different kind of leading lady in Lucky. Anya Taylor - Joy unlocks a different kind of leading lady in Lucky. ReVive Thrift aims to give new life to donated goods and a local school.
Sources: torontosun.com, edmontonsun.com, hometownsource.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 2.2% with $35K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 2.2% with $35K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 2.2% | $35K
Top odds: December 31 | 6.0%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 1 | 40.0% | $9K
Top odds: 2 | 59.0%
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
Top volume & odds: Max Martin | 61.0% | $7K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Odyssey | 9.0% | $3K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 75.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $3K
Sources: bravenewcoin.com, arynews.tv, coindesk.com
German politician resigns over surrogacy child controversy
German politician resigns over surrogacy child controversy. Why Is XRP Not Going Up ?. Why the CLARITY Act Faces Steep Odds.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, finance.yahoo.com, techstory.in
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Ethereum hit in July? - ↑ 2,200 at 6.6% with $72K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Ethereum hit in July? - ↑ 2,200.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 38.0% | $49K
What price will Bitcoin hit July 13-19?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 66,000 | 11.8% | $28K
Popular events
World Cup 2026 : Life after Harry Kane - are England facing a false nine future ?
World Cup 2026 : Life after Harry Kane - are England facing a false nine future ?. Kylian Mbappe becomes World Cup record scorer as England beat France 6 - 4 in crazy Bronze Final. BREAKING : England beat France in ten - goal thriller , get best World Cup finish since 1966.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, nytimes.com, thenationonlineng.net
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina at 41.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina.
Event leaders
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume: Lionel Messi | 7.3% | $2M
Top odds: Kylian Mbappe | 94.0%
Popular events
Utah measles outbreak has slowed , but the fall season may see another surge.
Sources: fortune.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.0% with $9K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.0% | $9K
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑3k | 87.0% | $299
Popular events
+$47,014
+$32,003
+$30,563
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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