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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "December 31, 2026" at 3.1% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in July?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 75.2% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...? - December 31, 2026
$0
Highest implied
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
98.6%
Top priced
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
98.6%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 30.0% with $237K traded.
Lead stories
59 India - Bound Vessels Transited Hormuz Since War
59 India - Bound Vessels Transited Hormuz Since War. Second vessel hit near Strait of Hormuz as shipping risks escalate amid US - Iran conflict. US assisted Hormuz transits drop to zero | Latest Market News.
Sources: rediff.com, moneycontrol.com,
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in July? - No change leads the desk at 75.2% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Kevin Warsh has homed in on three key phrases . How Fed watchers interpret them
Kevin Warsh has homed in on three key phrases . How Fed watchers interpret them. Gold Price Surges Above $4 , 100 as Middle East Tensions Boost Safe - Haven Demand. Gold and Silver Rally for a Fourth Straight Session as Iran Conflict Escalation Overpowers a Stronger Dollar and a Ha....
Sources: cnbc.com, econotimes.com, indiainfoline.com
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic leads the desk at 98.6% with $7K traded.
Lead stories
Robotics company sets up shop in Fremont for cutting - edge tech hub
Robotics company sets up shop in Fremont for cutting - edge tech hub. Robotics company sets up shop in Fremont for cutting - edge tech hub.
Sources: mercurynews.com, eastbaytimes.com
AMD Wants A Bigger Piece Of The AI Boom . It Investing Up to $5 Billion in Anthropic
AMD Wants A Bigger Piece Of The AI Boom . It Investing Up to $5 Billion in Anthropic. AMD Enters Major Deal with Anthropic. US accuses Chinas Moonshot of stealing from Anthropics Fable for latest AI model.
Sources:
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 3.0% with $32K traded.
Lead stories
Snoop Dogg R - Rated Biopic Sets Release Date Amid Michael $1B Success
Snoop Dogg R - Rated Biopic Sets Release Date Amid Michael $1B Success. Main Vaapas Aaunga producer opens on the success of Imtiaz Ali film : It has recovered its cost from the theatrical a.... 16 Barz : King of Bawo to screen in the united states.
Sources: comingsoon.net, bollywoodhungama.com, mwnation.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,500 leads the desk at 38.2% with $264K traded.
Lead stories
Crypto News Today : AlphaPepe Nears Tier - 1 CEX Partnership Reveal as Ethereum Price Prediction Eyes $8 , 500. Crypto News Today : AlphaPepe Nears Tier - 1 CEX Partnership Reveal as Ethereum Price Prediction Eyes $8 , 500. How to Use Crypto ETFs as Part of a Diversified Portfolio.
Sources: portal.sina.com.hk, manilatimes.net, fool.com
B7
Lead market: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Fabian Ruiz leads the desk at 1.2% with $128K traded.
Lead stories
How to order the Liverpool ECHO Kevin Keegan tribute edition
How to order the Liverpool ECHO Kevin Keegan tribute edition. France skipper Mbapp denies Messi to win second Golden Boot award. Putellas , Batlle and León are gone : what will be left of Barcelona after latest exodus ?.
Sources: liverpoolecho.co.uk, brazilsun.com, aol.co.uk
F1 : Russell gains valuable championship points with Austria win - Inside Track Motorsport News
F1 : Russell gains valuable championship points with Austria win - Inside Track Motorsport News. How the crossword conquered America and reigns even to this day.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.7% with $11K traded.
Lead stories
Nigeria Climate Action : Bonn Message on Implementation
Nigeria Climate Action : Bonn Message on Implementation. Antofagasta Achieves 100 % Renewable Electricity , Targets Net Zero by 2050 , Invests $3 . 7 Billion in Sustainable M.... New Zealand greenhouse gas emissions fall for 4th straight quarter.
Sources: punchng.com, greentechlead.com, thestar.com.my
Key state falling short on emissions reduction targets
Key state falling short on emissions reduction targets. Key state falling short on emissions reduction targets. Key state falling short on emissions reduction targets.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Iran asks Yemen Houthis to close Bab el - Mandeb if U . S . attacks power plants -- media
Iran asks Yemen Houthis to close Bab el - Mandeb if U . S . attacks power plants -- media. Iran tells Houthis to close Red Sea gateway if US hits power network , sources say. Yemen Houthis declare naval blockade on Saudi Arabia , widening threat to global oil supplies.
Sources: globalsecurity.org, skynews.com.au, nypost.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes at 30.0% with $237K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 30.0% | $237K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?) | 14.0% | $162K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Top volume: August 31 | 20.0% | $126K
Top odds: December 31 | 38.0%
Popular events
14.4%
0.0pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $678M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $668M0%
What to Expect From ConocoPhillip Q2 2026 Earnings Report. Oil prices touch six week high as Strait of Hormuz is completely closed. Oman Crude surges to $81 . 79.
NOVAGOLD consolidates Donlin Gold ownership , creating one of North America largest pure - play gold developers. ONE Gas 2026 Sustainability Report Highlights Progress on Safety , Environmental Stewardship and Community Commitment. U . S . manufacturing hit $2 . 91T value added , but workforce gap looms.
Sources: kitco.com, prnewswire.com, engineering.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in July? - No change at 75.2% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in July? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 75.2% | $1M
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $95 | 43.0% | $339K
Top odds: ↑ $90 | 81.5%
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of July? | 88.0% | $105K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 51.0% | $92K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 66.0% | $88K
Popular events
Anthropic schedules investor meetings ahead of potential IPO
Anthropic schedules investor meetings ahead of potential IPO. Anthropic Follows SpaceX Playbook , Claude - Parent Reportedly Pursuing Multibillion - Dollar Credit Lines Ahead of IPO. The SpaceX IPO Blueprint For Buying OpenAI And Anthropic.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, forbes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic at 98.6% with $7K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
Trading at 98.6% with $7K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 98.6% | $7K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume & odds: ↑$1.25T | 85.0% | $3K
Top volume & odds: SHEIN | 91.2% | $2K
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Top volume & odds: Paramount | 74.0% | $877
Morgan Wallen Tour Set to Become the Highest - Grossing of 2026. Travis Scott Was Nervou When He Shot His Scenes For The Odyssey. Avengers : Doomsday : Marvel Studios signals comeback.
Sources: popcrush.com, billboard.com, arynews.tv
Mel Gibson warning to Passion sequel writer about Satan
Mel Gibson warning to Passion sequel writer about Satan. Feeling Insecure , But : - Perez Hilton. Churches have shrunk the Gospel.
Sources: christianpost.com, perezhilton.com, christianpost.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 3.0% with $32K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 3.0% with $32K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 3.0% | $32K
Top odds: December 31 | 6.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 83.0% | $23K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $14K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 3 | 2.5% | $3K
Top odds: 2 | 58.0%
US Federal Officials Barred Until 2029 from Issuing or Sponsoring Tokens under CLARITY Proposed Ethics Rules. PYMNTS | Clarity Act Supporters Add Ethics Rules to Save Senate Bill. The Crypto Industry Has Spent Nearly $200 Million to Pass New Pro - Crypto Legislation . Here What Investors Need to....
Sources: cointelegraph.com, pymnts.com, finance.yahoo.com
Bitcoin Dominance Expected to Keep Increasing , Says Strategy CEO Phong Le Amid Stablecoin , Big Bank Ado. Anthony Scaramucci Explains Why He Long Bitcoin and Gold : Imagine an American President ... Sitting in F. Bitcoin Rally May Have Legs ; Bank Income With BTCI.
Sources: benzinga.com, benzinga.com, etftrends.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,500 at 38.2% with $264K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,500.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 38.0% | $161K
Popular events
Sources: insidetracknews.com, sott.net
Hungarian Grand Prix weather : What is the risk of rain in Budapest ?
Hungarian Grand Prix weather : What is the risk of rain in Budapest ?. Lewis Hamilton chasing record ninth Hungary win. Philadelphia seeks its first parallel parking champion.
Sources: planetf1.com, arynews.tv, 6abc.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Fabian Ruiz at 1.2% with $128K traded.
Top volume remains in Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Fabian Ruiz.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Mercedes | 88.0% | $49K
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Top volume & odds: Boston Red Sox | 52.0% | $115
Popular events
Sources: canberratimes.com.au, standard.net.au, examiner.com.au
CMOs struggle with fragmented Frankenstack environments and integration challenges
CMOs struggle with fragmented Frankenstack environments and integration challenges.
Sources: bizcommunity.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.7% with $11K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.7% | $11K
Popular events
+$61,062
+$47,014
+$44,498
Kalshi via Jupiter
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