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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Presidential Election Winner 2028". Event volume totals $674M across outcomes, with $153K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "JD Vance" at 20.1%, with top volume on "Donald Trump" at 3.3% and $78K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "25 bps increase" at 53.0%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 2.7% and $561K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Presidential Election Winner 2028 - Andy Beshear
$0
Highest implied
Clacton by-election Winner - Nigel Farage
97.9%
Top priced
Clacton by-election Winner - Nigel Farage
97.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: August 31 leads the desk at 8.0% with $348K traded.
Lead stories
Pakistan gets LNG boost as Qatar Tanker clears Hormuz amid Tensions
Pakistan gets LNG boost as Qatar Tanker clears Hormuz amid Tensions. Iran Says Two Oil Tankers Ditched Attempt to Transit Hormuz. Oil Price Today ( July 30 ): Crude oil dips below $90 after 8 % surge on Wednesday . Here why.
Sources: en.dailypakistan.com.pk, oilprice.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 2.7% with $561K traded.
Lead stories
Kevin Warsh Tough Talk Aside , He Done Nothing Different , Says Peter Schiff , Other Economists Criti. 5 Things to Know Before the Stock Market Opens on Wednesday. US Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged.
Sources: benzinga.com, finance.yahoo.com, usa.chinadaily.com.cn
B4
Lead market: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - SpaceX leads the desk at 90.0% with $24K traded.
Lead stories
Tesla weighs separating China business ahead of potential SpaceX merger : Report
Tesla weighs separating China business ahead of potential SpaceX merger : Report. OpenAI Slashes GPT - 5 . 6 Luna Price By 80 % As China Cheaper Models Close In. There a 74 % Chance SpaceX and Tesla Will Merge by May 2027 , According to Kalshi -- but 2 Negatives Dont Make a Posi....
Sources: moneycontrol.com, zerohedge.com, fool.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 1.7% with $19K traded.
Lead stories
Spike Lee , Clara Wu Tsai and BAM present a new arts festival
Spike Lee , Clara Wu Tsai and BAM present a new arts festival. Things to Do in Washington State in August , 2025. Conversation with filmmaker Vincent Fremont about his time working with Andy Warhol.
Sources: brooklyneagle.com, seattlemet.com, wlrh.org
The Thomas Crown Affair Box Office : Here How Much Michael B . Jordan Remake Needs To Beat Pierce Brosnan Version Of.... Dammy Twitch Call Of My Life Sets 2026 Box Office Record. Toy Story 5 Worldwide Box Office : Set To Beat This Pirates Of The Caribbean Movie & Achieve A Notable Global Feat.
B6
Lead market: What price will Ethereum hit in July? - ↑ 2,000 leads the desk at 3.2% with $105K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Friday , July 31 , 2026 : Crypto prices back off this morning
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Friday , July 31 , 2026 : Crypto prices back off this morning. Bitcoin And Ethereum Edge Higher As Traders Watch Altcoin Rotation. Crypto Market Today , July 31 : Bitcoin Slides Below $63 , 000 and Coinbase Tumbles 10 %.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com, fool.com
B7
Lead market: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lionel Messi leads the desk at 4.6% with $42K traded.
Lead stories
Real Madrid : Man City reach transfer decision on Rodri joining Jose Mourinho side
Real Madrid : Man City reach transfer decision on Rodri joining Jose Mourinho side. Love Island Gemma Owen and her career now after huge post villa success. Where is Love Island Gemma Owen now as star returns to TV screens ?.
Sources: teamtalk.com, bristolpost.co.uk, dailystar.co.uk
LeBron James breaks a Shohei Ohtani record
LeBron James breaks a Shohei Ohtani record. LeBron James invited to be the official title holder for TNA Wrestling event in Philadelphia. The 76ers have muscled their way into the Contenders Tier.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.5% with $2K traded.
Lead stories
After Fauci Senate hearing , experts worry about chilling effect on public health
After Fauci Senate hearing , experts worry about chilling effect on public health.
Sources: wfae.org
Montana Measles Cases Non - Existent This Summer
Montana Measles Cases Non - Existent This Summer. Montana Measles Cases Non - Existent This Summer. Montana Measles Cases Non - Existent This Summer.
Sources: kyssfm.com, 963theblaze.com,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
97.9%
$75
Trump : Add Iran tariffs to sanctions bill despite little U . S . trade.
Sources: cnbc.com
Take it with a grain of salt : The missing parts of Trump historic Hamas deal
Take it with a grain of salt : The missing parts of Trump historic Hamas deal. Hamas agrees to deal with Israel : what we know. Hamas ties disarming to Israeli withdrawal from Gaza.
Sources: sbs.com.au, manilatimes.net, perthnow.com.au
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Top volume & odds: August 31 | 8.0% | $348K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 25.0% | $134K
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 96.0% | $129K
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
Top volume: August 31 | 9.0% | $36K
Top odds: December 31 | 24.0%
Popular events
Vol $348K
12.7%
0.0pp
$14M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $682M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $674M0%
Commonwealth Fusion Systems Raises Another $1 Billion , Bringing Total Capital Raised to $4 Billion. Jersey Mike IPO : ( JMKE ) starts trading on the New York Stock Exchange. China AI supplier Zhongji Innolight Hong Kong debut.
Sources: prnewswire.com, cnbc.com, cnbc.com
Oil prices falling amid signs of crude being extracted in Persian Gulf region continues being supplied to global mark.... Oil prices fall as supply concerns ease amid increased shipping flows. Oil falls more than $1 on greater flows despite US - Iran war.
Sources: news.am, sana.sy, tribune.com.pk
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease at 2.7% with $561K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Top volume: 25 bps decrease | 2.7% | $561K
Top odds: 25 bps increase | 53.0%
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of July? | 88.7% | $218K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $90 | 2.4% | $134K
Top odds: ↓ $80 | 35.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 67.0% | $17K
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of December 2026? | 58.0% | $13K
Popular events
OpenAI Says July Annualized Revenue Topped All of Q2. A few VC firms are poised to win the future. How AI Wealth Is Reshaping The Global Property Market.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, forbes.com
Samsung reports record operating profit
Samsung reports record operating profit. Tech Tonic | Big AI keeps making the same mistake about Chinese AI companies. The AI Industry Keeps Breaking the Internet.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, hindustantimes.com, theatlantic.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - SpaceX at 90.0% with $24K traded.
Top volume remains in Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - SpaceX.
Event leaders
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 90.0% | $24K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 18.0% | $1K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↓$600B | 5.0% | $1K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 86.0%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 19.0% | $481
Popular events
Sources: koimoi.com, promptnewsonline.com, koimoi.com
Why BC Place is showing a Pixar film on its gigantic screen next month | Daily Hive
Why BC Place is showing a Pixar film on its gigantic screen next month | Daily Hive. Ray Gunn Brad Bird Reveals How the Film Evolved From Its 90s Roots ( EXCLUSIVE ). Christian Bale Sequel To Robert De Niro Classic 31 - Year - Old Crime Thriller On Track For Record - Setting Budget.
Sources: dailyhive.com, comicbook.com, screenrant.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 1.7% with $19K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 1.7% with $19K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 1.7% | $19K
Top odds: December 31 | 7.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Toy Story 5 | 1.3% | $11K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 86.0%
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 62.0% | $5K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $988
Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis Slams Democrat Lawmakers For Dragging Their Feet Over Clarity Act. The CLARITY Act Is Moving Again in the Senate . Here What Passage Would Change for Coinbase and Robinhood .. The CLARITY Act Is Moving Again in the Senate . Here What Passage Would Change for Coinbase and Robinhood ..
Sources: zerohedge.com, finance.yahoo.com, fool.com
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Thursday , July 30 , 2026 : Prices rise after Fed leaves rates unchanged. Prediction : Bitcoin Will Be Worth $2 . 5 Trillion in 3 Years. After Outflows , Advisors Could Fuel Bitcoin Next Move.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Ethereum hit in July? - ↑ 2,000 at 3.2% with $105K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Ethereum hit in July? - ↑ 2,000.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 29.0% | $84K
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 62,500 | 8.2% | $32K
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $200M | 92.9% | $19K
Popular events
Sources: thebiglead.com, hitc.com, yardbarker.com
Damar Hamlin , Rookie Safety Could Force Bill Bargain Free Agent Addition Off Roster
Damar Hamlin , Rookie Safety Could Force Bill Bargain Free Agent Addition Off Roster. Rangers vs . Astros MLB prediction : Odds , picks , best bets Friday. God be givin hella motion : Marshawn Lynch embraces unexpected career behind the camera.
Sources: si.com, nypost.com, thegrio.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lionel Messi at 4.6% with $42K traded.
Top volume remains in Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lionel Messi.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Kimi Antonelli | 75.1% | $3K
Top volume & odds: Mercedes | 85.0% | $2K
Popular events
Friday and Saturday will likely be our hottest days ; a cooling trend by Sunday
Friday and Saturday will likely be our hottest days ; a cooling trend by Sunday.
Sources: ksby.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.5% with $2K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.5% | $2K
Popular events
+$61,062
+$47,014
+$44,498
Kalshi via Jupiter
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