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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "December 31, 2026" at 2.8% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 53.0%, with top volume on "25 bps increase" at 47.0% and $252K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...? - December 31, 2026
$0
Highest implied
Clacton by-election Winner - Nigel Farage
98.9%
Top priced
Clacton by-election Winner - Nigel Farage
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? - August 7 leads the desk at 32.9% with $592K traded.
Lead stories
Iran , Oman near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz : Report
Iran , Oman near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz : Report. Live updates : Trump calls off Iran strikes , warns of last chance to sign a deal. Live updates : Trump calls off Iran strikes , warns of last chance to sign a deal.
Sources: aa.com.tr, us.cnn.com, edition.cnn.com
Michigan Senate Democratic primary is latest test of the progressive movement power
Michigan Senate Democratic primary is latest test of the progressive movement power. South Carolina Senate GOP debate splits on filibuster and Iran war. Michigan holds primaries including high - profile Democratic Senate contest.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps increase leads the desk at 47.0% with $252K traded.
Lead stories
How is Kevin Warsh changing the Federal Reserve ?
How is Kevin Warsh changing the Federal Reserve ?. Markets see all hat , no cattle in Fed inflation credibility : Chart of the Day. Mortgage rates dip to 6 . 92 % as purchase and refi demand falls.
Sources: theweek.com, finance.yahoo.com, housingwire.com
Will Iran - Oman deal end the Strait of Hormuz crisis ? What we know
Will Iran - Oman deal end the Strait of Hormuz crisis ? What we know. Middle East crisis live : US and Iran signal hope for Hormuz deal but terms unclear. Southern route through Strait of Hormuz remains free and open for commercial vessels despite Iranian aggression : US....
B4
Lead market: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T leads the desk at 16.0% with $63K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic Signs $10 Bn AI Infrastructure Deal to Power Claude Future
Anthropic Signs $10 Bn AI Infrastructure Deal to Power Claude Future. Rockets , Starlink , AI : SpaceX faces its first Wall Street grilling. Anthropic inks US$10 billion computing deal with new cloud startup.
Sources: techstory.in, digitaljournal.com, businesstimes.com.sg
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 2.8% with $90K traded.
Lead stories
Everything We Know About New K - Pop Festival Fanomenon
Everything We Know About New K - Pop Festival Fanomenon. Mirzapur : The Movie : Dhanda Nyoliwala Bollywood debut Do Numbari to be the first song from the Ali Fazal and Divyen.... Mandela Bay creative sector champion Dewavrin scoops top award.
Sources: rollingstoneindia.com, bollywoodhungama.com, theherald.co.za
B6
Lead market: Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 17.0% with $934K traded.
Lead stories
New guidance on single - sex spaces comes into force
New guidance on single - sex spaces comes into force. CLARITY Act Failure Could Send Crypto Valuations Lower : Bernstein. Anthony Scaramucci Slams Banking Lobby for Last Minute Effort to Stall Thing as Crypto Act Comes Und.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, zerohedge.com, benzinga.com
Got $100 ? This Is the Best Crypto ETF to Buy Right Now
Got $100 ? This Is the Best Crypto ETF to Buy Right Now. Trump Family American Bitcoin Tops 8 , 000 BTC After Record Mining Quarter. Michael Saylor Cant Stop Selling Bitcoin as Strategy Unloads Another 1 , 638 Coins.
B7
Lead market: EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City leads the desk at 29.0% with $911K traded.
Lead stories
CCEP ( CCEP ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
CCEP ( CCEP ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript.
Sources: fool.com
BoSox Look To Continue Late - Season Assault
BoSox Look To Continue Late - Season Assault. BoSox Look To Continue Late - Season Assault. BoSox Look To Continue Late - Season Assault | News Radio 1400 WRAK.
Sources: real923la.iheart.com, 969thegame.iheart.com,
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 4.0% with $55K traded.
Lead stories
Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading
Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading. Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading. Online antisemites blame Jews for Europe wildfires – San Diego Jewish World.
Sources: jpost.com, jpost.com, sdjewishworld.com
Concentrix Cuts GHG Emissions 25 . 7 %, Reaches 42 . 75 % Renewable Power and Targets Net Zero by 2050. IPC Achieves 50 % Scope 1 Emissions Intensity Reduction , Targets 20 kg CO₂e / boe Through 2028 with $820 mn Low - Ca.... ICICI Bank Sustainable Finance Portfolio Reaches ₹993 . 85 bn as Renewable Power Supports FY2032 Carbon - Neutral Target.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$51K
Sources: thegazette.com, foxnews.com, wsbradio.com
Will Iran - Oman deal end the Strait of Hormuz crisis ? What we know
Will Iran - Oman deal end the Strait of Hormuz crisis ? What we know. Middle East crisis live : US and Iran signal hope for Hormuz deal but terms unclear. Southern route through Strait of Hormuz remains free and open for commercial vessels despite Iranian aggression : US....
Sources: thenews.com.pk, theguardian.com, news.webindia123.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? - August 7 at 32.9% with $592K traded.
Top volume remains in US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? - August 7.
Lead event
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? - August 7
Trading at 32.9% with $592K in volume.
Event leaders
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: August 7 | 32.9% | $592K
Top odds: December 31 | 96.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 16.0% | $450K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Top volume: August 15 | 2.8% | $437K
Top odds: August 31 | 18.0%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Tucker Carlson | 2.2% | $148K
Top odds: J.D. Vance | 46.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?) | 30.0% | $114K
14.5%
+0.1pp
$14M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $685M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $677M0%
Sources: thenews.com.pk, theguardian.com, news.webindia123.com
Jerome Has Top Picks for August 5 , 2026 – BNN Bloomberg
Jerome Has Top Picks for August 5 , 2026 – BNN Bloomberg. Commodity Corner : Oil steadies , gold edges higher as markets await US jobs data. Gas Prices Hold Mostly Steady | 105 . 9 The Brew.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, moneycontrol.com, 1059thebrew.iheart.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps increase at 47.0% with $252K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps increase.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 63.0% | $76K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Top volume: ↓ $60 | 5.5% | $50K
Top odds: ↑ $80 | 63.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 63.0% | $23K
AMD forecasts upbeat revenue on strong AI chip demand , but shares fall on lofty expectations. SpaceX first quarterly results as a public company beat expectations , but AI costs hit stock. Global Market : SoftBank earnings in focus as AI investment push raises funding , debt questions.
Anthropic signs $10 billion computing deal with new cloud startup : Here why
Anthropic signs $10 billion computing deal with new cloud startup : Here why. Anthropic signs $10B deal with AI cloud startup Volta. Open - weight AI models are catching up to the frontier . The safety gap remains ..
Sources: thenews.com.pk, techcrunch.com, techcrunch.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T at 16.0% with $63K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T.
Lead event
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T
Trading at 16.0% with $63K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 16.0% | $63K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 83.0%
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Top volume: None by June 30, 2027 | 27.0% | $3K
Top odds: Paramount | 74.0%
Top volume & odds: SHEIN | 90.5% | $2K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 14.0% | $880
Padres pitcher suddenly leaves rehab start with apparent injury. You love to see it - MLB fans troll Tarik Skubal after Dansby Swanson home run in Los Angeles Dodgers debut. How to live stream Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs : MLB , TV channel.
Sources: thebiglead.com, hitc.com, thebiglead.com
Spider - Man 4 Becomes 2026 Highest - Grossing Movie After Breaking 2 More Huge Records - Comic Book Movies and Super.... Supergirl theatrical run has officially ended , and the new DCU movie made less than Morbius and Joker 2. Box Office : Spider - Man : Brand New Day Has $46M+ Record Monday U . S ..
Sources: superherohype.com, gamesradar.com, deadline.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 2.8% with $90K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 2.8% with $90K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 2.8% | $90K
Top odds: December 31 | 6.0%
Top volume: Patrick Bailey | 1.9% | $7K
Top odds: Pete Crow-Armstrong | 85.9%
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 63.0% | $3K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 8.0% | $2K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 92.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $1K
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
Here the 1 Crypto Id Buy If I Could Pick Only 1
Here the 1 Crypto Id Buy If I Could Pick Only 1. Prediction : Bitcoin Will Double in Value by the End of 2027 -- Here How. Ordinals Advocate Proposes New Bitcoin Client : $DOG Mode.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, cointelegraph.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes at 17.0% with $934K traded.
Top volume remains in Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 17.0% | $934K
Top volume & odds: by December 31, 2026 | 3.9% | $21K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 5.3% | $8K
Popular events
Football Daily - Karel Prince : Lie Detector - Fenners
Football Daily - Karel Prince : Lie Detector - Fenners. Davido Claims Regular Chats With Cristiano Ronaldo. Davido : Im a die - hard Ronaldo fan – Daily Trust.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, punchng.com, dailytrust.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City at 29.0% with $911K traded.
Top volume remains in EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City.
Event leaders
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
Top volume: Chicago White Sox | 4.6% | $179K
Top odds: Boston Red Sox | 95.7%
Top volume & odds: Harry Kane | 54.0% | $82K
Top volume: Philadelphia 76ers | 13.5% | $28K
Top odds: Oklahoma City Thunder | 22.0%
Popular events
EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City
Vol $911K
Vol $179K
Sources: greentechlead.com, greentechlead.com, greentechlead.com
Coupa Cuts Scope 1 and 2 Emissions 54 %, Achieves 100 % Renewable Electricity and Targets Net Zero by FY41. Revealed : major oil firms make $93bn profits amid war and climate crisis. Revealed : major oil firms make $93bn profits amid war and climate crisis.
Sources: greentechlead.com, theguardian.com, aol.co.uk
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 4.0% with $55K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 4.0% | $55K
Popular events
+$4,042
+$3,336
+$2,304
Kalshi via Jupiter
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