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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next French Presidential Election". Event volume totals $118M across outcomes, with $168K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Marine Le Pen" at 29.9%, with top volume on "Sébastien Lecornu" at 1.7% and $6K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 63.0%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 1.8% and $336K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
NFL Champion 2027 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
$0
Highest implied
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner - Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
98.9%
Top priced
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner - Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
98.9%
Volume leaders
B1
Lead market: August 31 leads the desk at 8.0% with $933K traded.
Lead stories
Iran holds firm on Strait of Hormuz as US strikes pause : No change in position
Iran holds firm on Strait of Hormuz as US strikes pause : No change in position. US accuses Iran IRGC of threatening ships in Strait of Hormuz , says waterway remains open. Oman pushes plan to let Iran collect voluntary fees to pass through Strait of Hormuz.
Sources: thenews.com.pk, moneycontrol.com, nypost.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 1.8% with $336K traded.
Lead stories
How Weak Jobs Report Could Offer Unexpected Mortgage Boost For Thousands
How Weak Jobs Report Could Offer Unexpected Mortgage Boost For Thousands. Fed Musalem says central bank should have hiked rates at last meeting. White House renews its attempt to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook.
Sources: newsweek.com, finance.yahoo.com, wcvb.com
Iran holds firm on Strait of Hormuz as US strikes pause : No change in position
Iran holds firm on Strait of Hormuz as US strikes pause : No change in position. US accuses Iran IRGC of threatening ships in Strait of Hormuz , says waterway remains open. Oman pushes plan to let Iran collect voluntary fees to pass through Strait of Hormuz.
B4
Lead market: GPT-6 released by…? - August 14, 2026 leads the desk at 1.5% with $8K traded.
Lead stories
DeepSeek warns of price increase
DeepSeek warns of price increase. Claude Vs ChatGPT : How These AI Assistants Differ. OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, engadget.com, econotimes.com
OpenAI to pause some work on AI model Astra due to security concerns
OpenAI to pause some work on AI model Astra due to security concerns. OpenAI to pause work on AI model Astra due to security concerns. How AI - Powered Business Email Compromise Scams Are Stealing Billions.
Sources:
B5
Lead market: Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday leads the desk at 8.0% with $5K traded.
Lead stories
The Odyssey India Box Office Day 22 : Earns 22 % Higher Than Oppenheimer , Can It Touch The 175 Crore Mark ?. Spider - Man : Brand New Day makes box office history in record time. Spider - Man : Brand New Day China Box Office : Officially Surpasses Jurassic World : Dominion $155M+ As 6th Highest....
Sources: koimoi.com, bamsmackpow.com, koimoi.com
B6
Lead market: Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 21.0% with $253K traded.
Lead stories
US Senate advances landmark crypto bill before heading on August recess
US Senate advances landmark crypto bill before heading on August recess. US Senate advances landmark crypto bill before heading on August recess. The world is writing the rules for digital assets * WorldNetDaily * by Ji Hun Kim , Real Clear Wire.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, wnd.com
B7
Lead market: NBA: 2027 Champion - Portland Trail Blazers leads the desk at 1.1% with $51K traded.
Lead stories
One technicality could save Kawhi Leonard if NBA finds Clippers star guilty of salary cap circumvention. Former LeBron James teammate claims Chris Paul had a better NBA career than Allen Iverson. WWE GUNTHER On Danhausen Curse : Only Works If You Believe In It , I Dont.
Sources: hitc.com, hitc.com, wrestlinginc.com
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 4.1% with $3K traded.
Lead stories
Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading
Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading. Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading. Online antisemites blame Jews for Europe wildfires – San Diego Jewish World.
Sources: jpost.com, jpost.com, sdjewishworld.com
Emerging Water Solutions For Carbon Reduction And Ecosystem Recovery
Emerging Water Solutions For Carbon Reduction And Ecosystem Recovery. WeatherNext Publishes Proof : Cyclone AI Gave NHC Extra Day of Warning on Hurricane Melissa. The alarming charts that reveal a planet in peril.
Sources:
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.9%
$91
Ethiopia : Abiy Leads Ethiopia Drive to Plant 800 Million Trees in a Single Day. Ethiopia : Faydaverse Ushers in New Era of Ethiopia Digital Sovereignty and Inclusive Growth , Says Deputy PM. Ethiopia Plants Over 805 Million Seedlings in Single Day.
Sources: allafrica.com, allafrica.com, allafrica.com
US sanctions Dubai crypto exchange for aiding Iran IRGC , following a Reuters report
US sanctions Dubai crypto exchange for aiding Iran IRGC , following a Reuters report. Report : Iranian Leaders Fear Mojtaba Khamenei Decline Officials Would Not Be Surprised by His Martyrdom. Treasury sanctions Iran - linked crypto network | The Jerusalem Post.
Sources: tribune.com.pk, breitbart.com, jpost.com
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Top volume & odds: August 31 | 8.0% | $933K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: August 9 | 5.0% | $311K
Top odds: December 31 | 92.4%
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Top volume: Yabloko | 1.8% | $207K
Top odds: United Russia (ER) | 70.0%
Popular events
15.1%
—
$14M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $686M
Presidential election
Event volume $680M
Sources: thenews.com.pk, moneycontrol.com, nypost.com
Oil Prices Set for Steep Weekly Losses as Hormuz Deal Stalls
Oil Prices Set for Steep Weekly Losses as Hormuz Deal Stalls. Oil prices rise 1 . 3 % as Brent crude reaches $83 . 55 a barrel. EOG Resources Q2 Earnings Call Highlights.
Sources: econotimes.com, sana.sy, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease at 1.8% with $336K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 57.0% | $95K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $80 | 72.0% | $33K
Top odds: ↓ $75 | 84.0%
Largest Company end of August?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of August? | 91.0% | $14K
Institutional demand for CXMT $8 . 6 billion Shanghai IPO dented by chip stock selloff
Institutional demand for CXMT $8 . 6 billion Shanghai IPO dented by chip stock selloff. Institutional demand for CXMT $8 . 6b IPO in Shanghai dented by chip stock selloff. The US Stock Market Hottest New Offerings Are Having a Rough Go.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, dealstreetasia.com, businessinsider.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by GPT-6 released by…? - August 14, 2026 at 1.5% with $8K traded.
Top volume remains in GPT-6 released by…? - August 14, 2026.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Top volume: OpenAI | 5.3% | $6K
Top odds: Anthropic | 92.0%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$2.5T | 24.0% | $1K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 85.0%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Nebius Group | 7.2% | $875
Top odds: MGM Resorts | 38.0%
Popular events
Red Clay Roots Festival honors World War I Choctaw Code Talkers. From Shah Rukh Khan To Alia Bhatt : 7 Bollywood Stars Who Built Successful Businesses Beyond Films. Jana Nayagan Full Movie Collection : Jana Nayagan box office collection day 17 [ Live ]: Vijay and Pooja Hegde starre....
Sources: news9.com, newsx.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Swiftie celebrity reveals why he skipped Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding
Swiftie celebrity reveals why he skipped Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding.
Sources: thenews.com.pk
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday at 8.0% with $5K traded.
Top volume remains in Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday.
Event leaders
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 8.0% | $5K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 92.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 2.3% | $3K
Top odds: December 31 | 6.0%
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
Top volume & odds: Max Martin | 73.8% | $3K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $1K
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , July 13 , 2026 : Strong price openings backtracking this morning. Prediction : Bitcoin Will Double in Value by the End of 2027 -- Here How. Top Value Investor Bill Miller IV Says Bitcoin Is Undervalued . So How Much Higher Can Bitcoin Go This Year ?.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, fool.com
Michael Saylor : I Never Sold Bitcoin , MicroStrategy Did
Michael Saylor : I Never Sold Bitcoin , MicroStrategy Did. Michael Saylor Defends Never Sell Bitcoin Message : I Have Never Sold Mine , Strategy Is Not My Wallet. Dont be afraid , be aware ..
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, benzinga.com, zerohedge.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes at 21.0% with $253K traded.
Top volume remains in Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 21.0% | $253K
Top volume: September 30, 2026 | 1.6% | $27K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 4.5%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 5.1% | $25K
Popular events
Football Daily - Karel Prince : Lie Detector - Fenners. Jorge Messi : Lionel Messi father dies aged 68 after long illness. 2026 Ballon dOr : 4 former winners that will lose out on award this year.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, bbc.co.uk, dailypost.ng
CCEP ( CCEP ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
CCEP ( CCEP ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript.
Sources: fool.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by NBA: 2027 Champion - Portland Trail Blazers at 1.1% with $51K traded.
Top volume remains in NBA: 2027 Champion - Portland Trail Blazers.
Event leaders
Top volume: Portland Trail Blazers | 1.1% | $51K
Top odds: Oklahoma City Thunder | 22.0%
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume: Atlético Madrid | 2.4% | $9K
Top odds: Barcelona | 15.0%
Popular events
UK heatwave to return next week as wildfire risk climbs
UK heatwave to return next week as wildfire risk climbs.
Sources: channel4.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 4.1% with $3K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 4.1% | $3K
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 14–16 | 51.0% | $22
Popular events
+$5,524
+$3,336
+$2,864
Kalshi via Jupiter
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