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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $272M across outcomes, with $981K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Abiy Ahmed" at 95.2% and $350 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 63.0%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 2.0% and $231K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Volume leaders
B1
Lead market: August 31 leads the desk at 4.1% with $907K traded.
Lead stories
Iran : Twin blasts reported near the Strait of Hormuz
Iran : Twin blasts reported near the Strait of Hormuz. Re - opening Strait of Hormuz does not depend on talks with Oman , IRGC says. Will Iran - Oman deal end the Strait of Hormuz crisis ? What we know.
Sources: albawaba.com, jpost.com, thenews.com.pk
IRAN WAR WEEK 24 , day # 2 : new demands as 60 - day ceasefire ends
IRAN WAR WEEK 24 , day # 2 : new demands as 60 - day ceasefire ends. Iran says Hormuz deal with Oman is close , but waterway reopening still uncertain. Iran warns US as Hormuz order declared irreversible.
Sources:
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 2.0% with $231K traded.
Lead stories
Kevin Warsh Tough Talk Aside , He Done Nothing Different , Says Peter Schiff , Other Economists Criti. A case for less talk ? Making sense of Fed flip - flops over past one year.
Sources: benzinga.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Oil Prices Set for Steep Weekly Losses as Hormuz Deal Stalls
Oil Prices Set for Steep Weekly Losses as Hormuz Deal Stalls. Oil prices rise 1 . 3 % as Brent crude reaches $83 . 55 a barrel. EOG Resources Q2 Earnings Call Highlights.
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of August? - OpenAI leads the desk at 5.3% with $6K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic Signs $10 Bn AI Infrastructure Deal to Power Claude Future
Anthropic Signs $10 Bn AI Infrastructure Deal to Power Claude Future. Rockets , Starlink , AI : SpaceX faces its first Wall Street grilling. Are Top AI Talent Leaving Google to Apply AGI and ASI for Giant Leaps in Science – NextBigFuture . com.
Sources: techstory.in, digitaljournal.com, nextbigfuture.com
Meta Launches Muse Code , Its First AI Coding Agent to Take on Claude and Codex
Meta Launches Muse Code , Its First AI Coding Agent to Take on Claude and Codex. Scientists Report : AI Creates Never - Before - Seen Virus – NaturalNews . com. News Analysis : Why U . S . AI models keep.
B5
Lead market: Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads the desk at 92.0% with $5K traded.
Lead stories
Deadline. Toy Story 5 Worldwide Box Office : Surpasses Toy Story 3 To Achieve Two New Milestones In One Weekend. Christopher Nolan The Odyssey Is Now His Highest - Grossing Movie Ever.
Sources: deadline.com, koimoi.com, hollywoodreporter.com
Why doctrinal distortions dont disturb God , by Ugochukwu Ugwuanyi
Why doctrinal distortions dont disturb God , by Ugochukwu Ugwuanyi. Fragility and faith : Leo XIV Sunday Angelus. Biblical Archaeology Confirms the Reality of Jesus , Pontius Pilate , and Caiaphas | The American Spectator.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↓ 52,500 leads the desk at 3.7% with $49K traded.
Lead stories
1 Popular Cryptocurrency Cathie Wood Ark Invest Sees Surging 1 , 823 %
1 Popular Cryptocurrency Cathie Wood Ark Invest Sees Surging 1 , 823 %. 1 Popular Cryptocurrency Cathie Wood Ark Invest Sees Surging 1 , 823 %. Here the 1 Crypto Id Buy If I Could Pick Only One.
Here the 1 Crypto Id Buy If I Could Pick Only One
Here the 1 Crypto Id Buy If I Could Pick Only One. 1 Popular Cryptocurrency Cathie Wood Ark Invest Sees Surging 1 , 823 %. Bitcoin ( BTC ) Price Prediction : BTC Nears Major Supply Zone as Bulls Target a Break Above $65K.
B7
Lead market: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal leads the desk at 17.9% with $28K traded.
Lead stories
Football Daily - Karel Prince : Lie Detector - Fenners
Football Daily - Karel Prince : Lie Detector - Fenners. Jorge Messi : Lionel Messi father dies aged 68 after long illness. Barcelona close in on Rodri after midfielder rejects Real Madrid.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, bbc.co.uk, vanguardngr.com
Wren Sinclair defends Women Speed Title against Women North American Champion Zaria
Wren Sinclair defends Women Speed Title against Women North American Champion Zaria.
Sources: wwe.com
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.8% with $7K traded.
Lead stories
Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading
Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading. Antisemitic theories blaming Jews for European wildfires spreading. Online antisemites blame Jews for Europe wildfires – San Diego Jewish World.
Sources: jpost.com, jpost.com, sdjewishworld.com
Emerging Water Solutions For Carbon Reduction And Ecosystem Recovery
Emerging Water Solutions For Carbon Reduction And Ecosystem Recovery. WeatherNext Publishes Proof : Cyclone AI Gave NHC Extra Day of Warning on Hurricane Melissa. The alarming charts that reveal a planet in peril.
Sources:
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
98.9%
$6
No attacks on allies , compensation : Iran lays down six demands to reopen Hormuz
No attacks on allies , compensation : Iran lays down six demands to reopen Hormuz. Iran President Pezeshkian meets Mojtaba Khamenei as reports emerge over Supreme Leader extremely critical health. Mojtaba Khamenei meet Iran President amid critical health rumours ; what was discussed ?.
Sources: businesstoday.in, livemint.com, moneycontrol.com
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Top volume & odds: August 31 | 4.1% | $907K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: August 15 | 14.0% | $254K
Top odds: December 31 | 83.6%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?) | 7.0% | $202K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?) | 18.0% | $178K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Top volume & odds: August 15 | 96.9% | $127K
Popular events
15.1%
0.0pp
$14M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $686M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $680M0%
Sources: econotimes.com, sana.sy, finance.yahoo.com
Iran : Twin blasts reported near the Strait of Hormuz
Iran : Twin blasts reported near the Strait of Hormuz. Re - opening Strait of Hormuz does not depend on talks with Oman , IRGC says. Will Iran - Oman deal end the Strait of Hormuz crisis ? What we know.
Sources: albawaba.com, jpost.com, thenews.com.pk
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease at 2.0% with $231K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $85 | 47.0% | $188K
Top odds: ↑ $80 | 86.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 48.0% | $116K
Largest Company end of August?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of August? | 89.0% | $12K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
Top volume: ↑ $15,000 | 2.0% | $9K
Top odds: ↑ $5,000 | 47.0%
Sources: memeburn.com, naturalnews.com, calcuttanews.net
Institutional demand for CXMT $8 . 6 billion Shanghai IPO dented by chip stock selloff
Institutional demand for CXMT $8 . 6 billion Shanghai IPO dented by chip stock selloff. Institutional demand for CXMT $8 . 6b IPO in Shanghai dented by chip stock selloff. The US Stock Market Hottest New Offerings Are Having a Rough Go.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, dealstreetasia.com, businessinsider.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of August? - OpenAI at 5.3% with $6K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of August? - OpenAI.
Lead event
Which company has best AI model end of August? - OpenAI
Trading at 5.3% with $6K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Top volume: OpenAI | 5.3% | $6K
Top odds: Anthropic | 93.0%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$1.75T | 49.0% | $2K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 84.0%
Popular events
Sources: theeagleonline.com.ng, aleteia.org, spectator.org
Deadline. Matthew McConaughey Net Worth Breakdown. The Odyssey Box Office : Christopher Nolan epic becomes his highest - grossing film ever at $1 . 1 billion.
Sources: deadline.com, gigwise.com, livemint.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 92.0% with $5K traded.
Top volume remains in Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Spider-Man: Brand New Day.
Lead event
Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Trading at 92.0% with $5K in volume.
Event leaders
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 92.0% | $5K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $2K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 6.0% | $1K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 69.0% | $926
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, bravenewcoin.com
Trump Says Crypto Is a Big Deal , People Are Paying With Bitcoin
Trump Says Crypto Is a Big Deal , People Are Paying With Bitcoin. Is Clarity delay a blessing in disguise ?: State of Crypto. Prediction : This Cryptocurrency Could Go Parabolic After the 2026 Midterm Elections.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, coindesk.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↓ 52,500 at 3.7% with $49K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↓ 52,500.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit August 3-9?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 66,000 | 2.4% | $28K
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 21.0% | $21K
Popular events
Don Nelson , Boston Celtics champion and Hall of Fame coach , dies at 86
Don Nelson , Boston Celtics champion and Hall of Fame coach , dies at 86. NBA Legend Don Nelson Dead at 86 , Family Announces. Don Nelson , second - winningest NBA coach , dies at 86.
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal at 17.9% with $28K traded.
Top volume remains in Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal.
Event leaders
Top volume: Golden State Warriors | 1.1% | $25K
Top odds: Oklahoma City Thunder | 22.0%
Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion
Top volume: Cleveland Browns | 2.7% | $5K
Top odds: Baltimore Ravens | 16.0%
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume: Manchester United | 3.2% | $4K
Top odds: Barcelona | 15.0%
Popular events
The Floods of the Future wont come One at a Time
The Floods of the Future wont come One at a Time. Kenya adopting clean climate resilient health interventions. Opinion : Wildfires will only get worse until the US stops ignoring climate change.
Sources: juancole.com, the-star.co.ke, mercurynews.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.8% with $7K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.8% | $7K
Popular events
+$4,447
+$3,336
+$2,864
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