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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "December 31, 2026" at 2.6% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 68.0% and $607K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k
$0
Highest implied
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner - United Russia (ER)
98.8%
Top priced
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner - United Russia (ER)
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: NATO x Russia military clash by...? - August 31 leads the desk at 6.5% with $384K traded.
Lead stories
Norway Boosts Defense Footprint with Expansion of Arctic Brigade
Norway Boosts Defense Footprint with Expansion of Arctic Brigade. Russia escalating strikes in Ukraine increasingly spilling into NATO , Romania says. Putin has repeatedly threatened the united kingdom and Nato over Ukraine – but he is too weak to follow through.
Sources: gcaptain.com, abcnews.com, independent.co.uk
The Charge of the Trump Brigade
The Charge of the Trump Brigade. US high - balling Hormuz energy flows | Latest Market News. U . S . military aided passage of 660 million barrels of oil through Hormuz since May.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - No change leads the desk at 68.0% with $607K traded.
Lead stories
These are early day : US Fed officials cautious over impact of Treasury bond market intervention
These are early day : US Fed officials cautious over impact of Treasury bond market intervention. Several Fed officials wanted to raise rates last month . If inflation doesnt come down , more of them see hikes .. Gold could top Goldman $4 , 900 forecast as options demand fuels rally.
Sources: businesstimes.com.sg, finance.yahoo.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B4
Lead market: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T leads the desk at 29.0% with $39K traded.
Lead stories
Grok 4 . 6 Matches the Frontier Models at a 60 % Discount . Now SpaceX Has the Developers to Use It .. Cognition CEO denies report that SpaceX tried to acquire the startup. Anthropic Is Coming for SpaceX $86 Billion IPO Record.
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 3.9% with $35K traded.
Lead stories
Expectations High as Funke Akindele Sets Another December Film Release Titled The Four – THISDAYLIVE
Expectations High as Funke Akindele Sets Another December Film Release Titled The Four – THISDAYLIVE. Julien Auctions launches inaugural Celebrity & Culture Week in Abu Dhabi. Avi Nesher Our Love to open Haifa International Film Festival.
Sources: thisdaylive.com, artdaily.com, jpost.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↑ 80,000 leads the desk at 57.7% with $323K traded.
Lead stories
With Bitcoin Rallying , Strategy ( MSTR ) Just Flipped From a $13 Billion Loss to a $1 . 4 Billion Gain . Should Inve.... Bitcoin Is A Trillion - Dollar Asset . But What Kind Of Trillion Is It ?. Bitcoin surpasses $77 , 000 for 1st time since May.
Sources: fool.com, forbes.com, aa.com.tr
B7
Lead market: Vitality leads the desk at 10.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
MLS Plots More Format Tweaks To Maximize Postseason TV Revenues
MLS Plots More Format Tweaks To Maximize Postseason TV Revenues. MLS reportedly planning drastic playoff overhaul. Patriots training camp : Fans share high expectations despite pricy tickets at Gillette Stadium.
Sources: forbes.com, awfulannouncing.com, bostonherald.com
Fils reaches third Masters 1000 SF of 2026 in Cincinnati
Fils reaches third Masters 1000 SF of 2026 in Cincinnati.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.5% with $9K traded.
Lead stories
B . C . provincial health officer to hold news conference amid wildfire smoke warnings – Winnipeg Free Press.
Sources: winnipegfreepress.com
Codan Reports 1 , 603 Tonnes of Scope 1 and 2 GHG Emissions as DTC united kingdom Targets Net Zero by 2040. Codan Sustainability Report 2025 : Targets Net Zero by 2045 as Scope 3 Drives 95 % of 54 , 357 tCO2e Emissions. Dexus Sustainability Report 2025 : Renewable Energy Share Hits 83 % as GHG Emissions Reach 108 , 246 Tonnes CO2 - e.
Sources:
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Sources: dailykos.com, argusmedia.com, cnbc.com
US - Iran secret coordination ? Emails reveal Tehran role in deportation flights
US - Iran secret coordination ? Emails reveal Tehran role in deportation flights. Iranian oil offers to Chinese buyers fall as US blockade bites , sources say. Iranian Oil Supply to China Is Rapidly Drying Up.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, finance.yahoo.com, oilprice.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by NATO x Russia military clash by...? - August 31 at 6.5% with $384K traded.
Top volume remains in NATO x Russia military clash by...? - August 31.
Event leaders
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Top volume: August 31 | 6.5% | $384K
Top odds: December 31 | 26.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?) | 6.0% | $106K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: September 30 | 27.0% | $96K
Top odds: December 31 | 68.4%
Top volume: Renan Santos | 4.2% | $92K
Top odds: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 64.0%
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Top volume & odds: United Russia (ER) | 71.0% | $85K
14.2%
—
$13M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $689M
Presidential election
Event volume $691M
Oil prices track for second weekly gain as U . S .- Iran war stifles supply
Oil prices track for second weekly gain as U . S .- Iran war stifles supply. Oil set for second weekly gain as US ramps up pressure on Iran. Soft dollar overseas supports good gains in INR ; elevated oil prices cap upside.
Sources: femalefirst.co.uk, tribune.com.pk, business-standard.com
The Charge of the Trump Brigade
The Charge of the Trump Brigade. US high - balling Hormuz energy flows | Latest Market News. U . S . military aided passage of 660 million barrels of oil through Hormuz since May.
Sources: dailykos.com, argusmedia.com, cnbc.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - No change at 68.0% with $607K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 68.0% | $607K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $95 | 29.0% | $105K
Top odds: ↑ $90 | 62.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 31.0% | $101K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
Top volume: ↑ $6,000 | 13.0% | $55K
Top odds: ↑ $5,000 | 66.0%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 85.5% | $55K
Popular events
Salesforce stock gets a boost as J . P . Morgan says AI fears are overblown.
Sources: morningstar.com
Speed Sells : Cerebras Cracks the Silicon Ceiling
Speed Sells : Cerebras Cracks the Silicon Ceiling. Broadcom reportedly seeking up to $100B in debt financing for AI chip deal. What Happens If OpenAI Dies ? Here Why Ed Zitron Thinks OpenAI Is Running Out Of Time.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, siliconangle.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T at 29.0% with $39K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T.
Lead event
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T
Trading at 29.0% with $39K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 29.0% | $39K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 98.3%
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 97.8% | $15K
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 53.0% | $4K
Popular events
Spider - Man : Brand New Day Box Office : Tom Holland starrer crosses Rs . 500 crore in India on Day 22 ; continues t.... Spider - Man Costume Designer Reveals the Change Tom Holland Most Wanted ( And the Villain That Was Totally Redesigne.... 8 Reasons Why 2026 Is Marvel Best Year In Decades.
Sources: bollywoodhungama.com, comicbook.com, screenrant.com
Christopher Nolan The Odyssey BEATS Deadpool & Wolverine to become highest - grossing R - rated film of all time ; Ry.... Toy Story 5 Worldwide Box Office : On Track To Beat The Highest - Grossing Despicable Me Universe Movie $1 . 1B+ Glob.... The Odyssey Sails To R - Rated Record | Newstalk 1400 , 104 . 5 , and 105 . 9 WJMX.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, koimoi.com, newstalk1400online.iheart.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 3.9% with $35K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 3.9% with $35K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.9% | $35K
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
Top volume: 900m+ | 43.0% | $13K
Top odds: 800 - 900m | 59.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 7.0% | $10K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 93.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $5K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 67.0% | $988
Aligned Launches $ALIGN , the Native Token of Its Full Ethereum Stack. Bitcoin jumps 9 % in a single day to cross $79K as institutional flows , regulatory optimism fuel crypto rally. XRP Explodes 40 % in a Week . Can It Hit a New High by September 15 ?.
Strategy Rallies 8 %, MARA Holdings Climbs 6 %, Coinbase Jumps 5 % as Bitcoin Breaks Out of Its 2026 Range. Wall Street financier who rightly predicted the Bitcoin crash has a new warning. Bitcoin Rally Tops $79K . Crypto Shorts , ETF Flows Soar . CFTC Explores Crypto Rules ..
Sources: 247wallst.com, finance.yahoo.com, investors.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↑ 80,000 at 57.7% with $323K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↑ 80,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 80,000 | 57.7% | $323K
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 28.0% | $58K
Popular events
Sources: ianslive.in
TRENDING : You cannot call me Tony - Tony Elumelu tells staff - Latest News In Nigeria , Nigeria News Today , Your On.... Reggie Bannister :.
Sources: nigerianeye.com, nuvo.net
Event leaders
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Top volume: Vitality | 10.0% | $2M
Top odds: Spirit | 91.0%
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima
Top volume: Taylor Fritz | 46.0% | $1M
Top odds: Over 2.5 | 76.0%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Top volume: KT Rolster | 20.0% | $117K
Top odds: T1 | 81.0%
Popular events
Rain set to bring temporary relief to scorched Britain - but Met Office warns sixth heatwave could hit in September.
Sources: lbc.co.uk
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.5% with $9K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.5% | $9K
Popular events
+$13,448
+$10,192
+$6,885
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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