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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $284M across outcomes, with $2M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Abiy Ahmed" at 98.0%, with top volume on "Gedion Timothewos" at 1.2% and $474K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 69.0%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 1.5% and $140K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos
$474K
Highest implied
Largest Company end of August?
98.7%
Top priced
Largest Company end of August?
98.7%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
Largest Company end of August?
98.7%
$15K
B1
Lead market: Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos leads the desk at 1.2% with $474K traded.
Lead stories
BRICS Sports Ministers agree to strengthen cooperation at Visakhapatnam meeting
BRICS Sports Ministers agree to strengthen cooperation at Visakhapatnam meeting. BRICS sports ministers adopt joint declaration at Visakhapatnam meeting. Insurance reform : Opening a new market | Capital Newspaper.
Sources: prokerala.com, prokerala.com, capitalethiopia.com
Strait of Hormuz Crisis and Tougher US Sanctions : How Rising US – Iran Tensions Are Impacting UAE Travel , Oil Trade.... Tinubu Demands Victory in 2027 , Yari , Uzodimma Lead Campaign. Battle to stop Tinubu is battle of no retreat , no surrender - Melaye.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 1.5% with $140K traded.
Lead stories
The Fed Owns Over 50 % Of All Bonds Maturing Between 10 And 15 Years From Now
The Fed Owns Over 50 % Of All Bonds Maturing Between 10 And 15 Years From Now. Transcript : Neel Kashkari , Minneapolis Fed president and CEO , on Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan , Aug . 23.... Week Ahead for FX , Bonds : Warsh Speech at Jackson Hole , U . S . PCE Data in Focus.
Sources: zerohedge.com, finance.yahoo.com, morningstar.com
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group leads the desk at 3.8% with $29K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic Taps Google Chip Veteran as Part of Push Into Hardware
Anthropic Taps Google Chip Veteran as Part of Push Into Hardware. Anthropic market debut could beat recent IPO record set by SpaceX. Nvidia says it raising some prices more than 15 %.
Sources: deccanchronicle.com, dailysabah.com, finance.yahoo.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 2.0% with $240K traded.
Lead stories
[ Catholic Caucus Devotional ] My Catholic Life ! Catholic Daily Reflections : Overcoming the Gates of hell. Pope Leo XIV Remembers Victims of Ebola and Mining Disaster in Central Africa. Catholic Caucus : Daily Mass Readings 23 - August - 2026.
Sources: freerepublic.com, ncregister.com, freerepublic.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↑ 90,000 leads the desk at 8.3% with $88K traded.
Lead stories
How bitcoin and gold went from a slump to an MVP week in just a few days
How bitcoin and gold went from a slump to an MVP week in just a few days. How bitcoin and gold went from a slump to an MVP week in just a few days. Michael Saylor explains Bitcoin digital energy concept.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, thegazette.com, thenews.com.pk
B7
Lead market: EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City leads the desk at 20.0% with $34K traded.
Lead stories
Uganda : NBS Sport Unveils Dedicated Premier League Platform Ahead of New Season
Uganda : NBS Sport Unveils Dedicated Premier League Platform Ahead of New Season. Venues prepare for thrilling EPL season. Premier League to Publish Referee , VAR Explanations.
Sources: allafrica.com, theshout.com.au, punchng.com
McLaren Norris wins Dutch GP after Verstappen crash
McLaren Norris wins Dutch GP after Verstappen crash. Lewis Hamilton calls out Ferrari for wasting time in fiery F1 Zandvoort radio messages. Sixty pit stops in Norris winning farewell at Zandvoort.
Sources: ,
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.8% with $161K traded.
Lead stories
B . C . provincial health officer to hold news conference amid wildfire smoke warnings – Winnipeg Free Press.
Sources: winnipegfreepress.com
Were building a New York - sized city every month . That worrying for our climate - 24 - Aug - 2026
Were building a New York - sized city every month . That worrying for our climate - 24 - Aug - 2026. A New York - sized city is built monthly , raising climate fears. Trump ordered to release billions in climate grants meant for Black communities.
Sources: home.nzcity.co.nz,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
#1 Awaiting data
n/a
#2 Awaiting data
n/a
#3 Awaiting data
n/a
Kalshi via Jupiter
+$18,838
98.7%
$73K
Sources: gulfnews.com, punchng.com, dailypost.ng
Trump says Greenland will be under US control by the time he leaves office
Trump says Greenland will be under US control by the time he leaves office. Oil Firm regrets Trump - Greenland row overshadowing drilling project. Why Does Donald Trump Want Greenland ? National Security Claims and Treaty Realities.
Sources: independent.co.uk, newsweek.com, ibtimes.co.uk
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos at 1.2% with $474K traded.
Top volume remains in Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos.
Event leaders
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Top volume: Gedion Timothewos | 1.2% | $474K
Top odds: Abiy Ahmed | 98.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 17.0% | $204K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?) | 3.7% | $145K
US ceasefire against Iran continues through...?
Top volume: August 31 | 90.0% | $120K
Top odds: August 25 | 98.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?) | 6.0% | $102K
Popular events
14.8%
-0.1pp
$13M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $691M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $692M0%
Trump claims Hormuz on Truth Social , Rezaei says shut until US changes. Trump Reposts Map Calling Strait of Hormuz America New Territory. Iranian parliamentary committee approves fees on ships using Strait of Hormuz.
Sources: euronews.com, khaama.com, aa.com.tr
U . S . Fed officials think higher rates needed if inflation stays high
U . S . Fed officials think higher rates needed if inflation stays high. Does housing have an AI problem ?. Fed Minutes Signal Rate Hikes Remain Possible as Inflation Risks Persist.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, housingwire.com, econotimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease at 1.5% with $140K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 33.0% | $86K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 55.0% | $31K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $95 | 17.0% | $28K
Top odds: ↑ $90 | 52.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will GameStop acquire eBay?) | 7.0% | $25K
Popular events
Amazon Free Cash Flow Went Negative by $7 . 6 Billion Even as Operating Cash Flow Rose 33 %. Here the Gap AI Capex Is.... Amazon Free Cash Flow Went Negative by $7 . 6 Billion Even as Operating Cash Flow Rose 33 %. Here the Gap AI Capex Is.... TechCrunch Mobility : The custom chip driving Waymo robotaxi ambitions.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, techcrunch.com
Anthropic market debut could break SpaceX IPO record
Anthropic market debut could break SpaceX IPO record. AMD Is Investing More Than $10 Billion in Taiwan to Build Advanced Chip Packaging With TSMC . Here What Lisa Su Is Ac.... China open - source bout is changing AI.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, finance.yahoo.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group at 3.8% with $29K traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group
Trading at 3.8% with $29K in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Nebius Group | 3.8% | $29K
Top odds: PayPal | 42.0%
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 98.2% | $12K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 29.0% | $9K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 97.9%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 10.9% | $8K
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.3% | $7K
Entertainment Live Updates Today | August 23 Entertainment News | Govinda Legal Notice | ₹100 Crore Lawsuit Warning |.... Z103 . 5 | CHARLI XCX. Looking for a fuss - free pasta recipe ? Try this one - post garlic parmesan spaghetti which is equal parts spicy and....
Sources: filmibeat.com, z1035.com, hindustantimes.com
Spider - Man : Brand New Day Box Office Swings Past Star War Biggest Hit On All - Time Chart
Spider - Man : Brand New Day Box Office Swings Past Star War Biggest Hit On All - Time Chart. Will Avengers : Doomsday Beat Spider - Man : Brand New Day Box Office ?. Marvel star teases MCU return of iconic Spider - Man villain after Brand New Day.
Sources: screenrant.com, screenrant.com, bamsmackpow.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 2.0% with $240K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $240K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 4.0% | $138K
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
Top volume: 900m+ | 30.5% | $26K
Top odds: 800 - 900m | 70.0%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume: December 31, 2026 | 4.4% | $5K
Top odds: March 31, 2027 | 9.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 7.0% | $3K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 93.0%
After Exploding by 18 % in One Day , Is XRP a Buy ?. Lagrange Achieves Self Reported Market Cap of $10 . 79 Million ( LA ). Sign ( SIGN ) Trading 12 . 9 % Higher Over Last Week.
Sources: fool.com, themarketsdaily.com, themarketsdaily.com
Senators Plan a Clarity Act Vote on Sept . 15 . What Happens Next for Crypto ?
Senators Plan a Clarity Act Vote on Sept . 15 . What Happens Next for Crypto ?. Should You Take Profits on XRP After a 50 % Week ? We Asked 2 AI Models. Coinbase CEO : Bitcoin Very Likely to Reach $400 , 000 by 2030 – NaturalNews . com.
Sources: fool.com, 247wallst.com, naturalnews.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↑ 90,000 at 8.3% with $88K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in August? - ↑ 90,000.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 24.0% | $36K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 4.7% | $21K
Popular events
Listings | TheFutonCritic . com
Listings | TheFutonCritic . com. When the NFL Travels , the Soundtrack Has to Travel With It. Buccaneers rookie Jalon Daniels leads 3 scoring drives in comeback win over Chiefs.
Sources: thefutoncritic.com, glidemagazine.com, tsn.ca
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City at 20.0% with $34K traded.
Top volume remains in EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City.
Event leaders
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Top volume: Chicago White Sox | 3.2% | $12K
Top odds: Los Angeles Dodgers | 33.0%
Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?
Top volume: Chicago Bears | 1.1% | $12K
Top odds: Los Angeles Chargers | 6.4%
Popular events
Rain set to bring temporary relief to scorched Britain - but Met Office warns sixth heatwave could hit in September.
Sources: lbc.co.uk
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.8% with $161K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.8% | $161K
Popular events
+$10,859
+$8,334
Kalshi via Jupiter
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