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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $286M across outcomes, with $5K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Abiy Ahmed" at 97.5% and $5K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?)" at 21.0% and $318K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos
$0
Highest implied
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $200M
98.6%
Top priced
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $200M
98.6%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 16.0% with $799K traded.
Lead stories
Six months later : Iran war far from settled and in very dangerous period
Six months later : Iran war far from settled and in very dangerous period. Qatar seeks Iran talks as US doubles down on sanctions , Tehran sets terms for strait. Scott Jennings reduced to stammering as he forced to eat his Trump defense.
Sources: wcti12.com, geo.tv, rawstory.com
Iran insists on diplomatic solution after Trump rejects peace plan
Iran insists on diplomatic solution after Trump rejects peace plan. Iran keeps door open to talks as Trump rejects Hormuz proposal. Arab News | Iran insists on diplomatic solution after Trump rejects peace plan.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? - Yes leads the desk at 21.0% with $318K traded.
Lead stories
EU foreign policy chief to Araghchi : Navigation must be free , unimpeded
EU foreign policy chief to Araghchi : Navigation must be free , unimpeded. BREAKING : U . S . AND IRAN EXPLORE PHASED HORMUZ DEAL - Investment Watch Blog. Saudi Arabia Sells 100 Million Barrels of Crude to Asia via Hormuz.
Sources: middleeasteye.net, investmentwatchblog.com, oilprice.com
B4
Lead market: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? - October 31 leads the desk at 67.0% with $6K traded.
Lead stories
TechTonic : AI debate over humanity future
TechTonic : AI debate over humanity future. OpenAI pauses training of latest models after agents probed US government sites in unexpected ways. OpenAI pauses training of latest models after agents probed US government sites in unexpected ways.
Sources: tribuneindia.com, thegazette.com, dailygazette.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 3.6% with $278K traded.
Lead stories
Beauty Marks : The Best Beauty Looks of the Week
Beauty Marks : The Best Beauty Looks of the Week. Donatella Versace starts a new chapter : Designer launches fashion and beauty venture after leaving Versace. The You Got Served Cast - Where Are They Now ?.
Sources: vogue.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com, blackamericaweb.com
Who Is That Water For ? The Soldiers …
Who Is That Water For ? The Soldiers …. Viral Video Comparing Bible Quotes And Socialism Belief. Mission News | Biltmore Church Baptizes Record 458 People at Annual Outdoor Serv.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 50,000 leads the desk at 8.0% with $63K traded.
Lead stories
Michael Saylor Strategy buys Bitcoin again as surprise rally pushes price above $85 , 000
Michael Saylor Strategy buys Bitcoin again as surprise rally pushes price above $85 , 000. Bitcoin Is 11 Days From Its First Winning Quarter in a Year . What Needs to Hold Until September 30 ?. Prediction : Bitcoin Will Be Worth $5 Trillion by 2030.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, 247wallst.com, fool.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Barcelona leads the desk at 24.0% with $78K traded.
Lead stories
EPL : Making those changes can affect Arsenal players mentally - Aguero warns Arteta
EPL : Making those changes can affect Arsenal players mentally - Aguero warns Arteta. I want it more than anything - Mbappe chooses between winning Ballon dOr , Champions League. Joe Cole has predicted the team to win the Champions League trophy this season.
Sources: dailypost.ng, dailypost.ng, dailypost.ng
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k leads the desk at 86.0% with $950 traded.
Lead stories
SCVNews . com | California Cuts Climate Emissions As Economy Keeps Growing
SCVNews . com | California Cuts Climate Emissions As Economy Keeps Growing. Updated Oʻahu climate plan says resident choices key to curbing emissions. 150 Renewable Projects Approved , Real Change Delivered.
Sources: scvnews.com, hawaiipublicradio.org, miragenews.com
County to wage weekly battle on ground squirrel population at Flood Park
County to wage weekly battle on ground squirrel population at Flood Park. When the Climate Shifts , So Do the Pathogens ( And So Should We ).
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Savers issued £2 , 297 warning as many accounts underperforming | Personal Finance | Finance
Savers issued £2 , 297 warning as many accounts underperforming | Personal Finance | Finance. DOD $1 . 45T budget includes $937M for Guam Defense System , more missiles and interceptors. Policing the Republic by Yashovardhan Azad : Way out of India governance maze.
Sources: express.co.uk, guampdn.com, tribuneindia.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes at 16.0% with $799K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 16.0% | $799K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: September 30 | 3.4% | $273K
Top odds: December 31 | 57.2%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Top volume: Republicans Sweep | 8.0% | $164K
Top odds: Democrats Sweep | 62.0%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Top volume & odds: September 30 | 88.0% | $158K
Top volume: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 44.0% | $139K
Top odds: Flávio Bolsonaro | 56.2%
Popular events
15.3%
+0.4pp
$13M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $708M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $710M0%
Why Trump is the only one talking about 1 % interest rates. Why is the 30 - year fixed mortgage rate high ? It not just the Fed. What does a Fed rate hike mean for mortgage rates ?.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, finance.yahoo.com, spokesman.com
WTI Crude Oil Near $100 : What Traders Are Watching
WTI Crude Oil Near $100 : What Traders Are Watching. Oil prices fall as markets look to Iran truce , but remain wary of attacks on oil facilities. Oil prices fall as markets weigh Iran truce , oil facility attack risks.
Sources: dailyforex.com, tribune.com.pk, business-standard.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? - Yes at 21.0% with $318K traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? - Yes
Trading at 21.0% with $318K in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 21.0% | $318K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $110 | 2.3% | $91K
Top odds: ↑ $95 | 84.0%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 96.8% | $33K
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 13.0% | $16K
ASI TECH INC . Announces Expansion of Artificial Intelligence Services and Robotics Development Roadmap. U . S ., Russia stripped human oversight from global AI weapons pact. OpenAI and Anthropic are reportedly investigating tens of thousands of AI security incidents · Digg.
Sources: chathamdailynews.ca, spokesman.com, digg.com
SpaceX Historic $2 Trillion Debut Defied One of the Market Big Fears
SpaceX Historic $2 Trillion Debut Defied One of the Market Big Fears. Nvidia , QIA - backed Iambic Therapeutics files for US IPO as biotech boom rolls on. Anthropic negotiates with AirTrunk regional NSW data centre.
Sources: businessinsider.com, aol.com, afr.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? - October 31 at 67.0% with $6K traded.
Top volume remains in Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? - October 31.
Lead event
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...? - October 31
Trading at 67.0% with $6K in volume.
Event leaders
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
Top volume & odds: October 31 | 67.0% | $6K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 24.0% | $5K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 92.0%
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 75.0% | $4K
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 75.0% | $2K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume & odds: PayPal | 23.0% | $2K
Sources: newswithviews.com, buzzfeed.com, christianitydaily.com
Aditya Dhar hopes to return to the National Film Awards with Dhurandhar next year : Today , it is all about Article 3.... How Donatella Versace and REVOLVE Are Redefining Digital Fashion. Christie Launches Pop Culture Division After $105 M . Irsay Sale.
Sources: bollywoodhungama.com, latimes.com, artnews.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 3.6% with $278K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 3.6% with $278K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.6% | $278K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.8% | $14K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 94.0% | $968
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 2 | 30.0% | $470
Top odds: 1 | 71.0%
History Says This Is What Will Happen With Bitcoin in 2027. Coinbase CEO : Did Bitcoin Bottom Out on July 1 ? Here Why He Optimistic About the Next Two Years. Bitcoin Next Bull Market Has Already Begun , Says CryptoQuant.
Sources: fool.com, 247wallst.com, cointelegraph.com
Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : ETH Breaks Higher as $2 , 631 Support Puts $3 , 520 Target in Focus. Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : Bulls and Bears Face Off as $3 , 000 Rally Meets Liquidation Risk. What Would It Take for Ethereum to Hit $5 , 000 ?.
Sources: bravenewcoin.com, bravenewcoin.com, aol.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 50,000 at 8.0% with $63K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 50,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
Top volume: ↑ 87,500 | 25.0% | $43K
Top odds: ↑ 85,000 | 76.0%
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
Top volume: ↓ 2,600 | 41.0% | $30K
Top odds: ↑ 2,700 | 96.2%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 3.2% | $13K
Popular events
Edmonton Public Library touts partnership with Dolly Parton initiative. Angels fans rejoice online and in person after learning of team sale – Redlands Daily Facts. Angels fans rejoice online and in person after learning of team sale – Whittier Daily News.
Fox Live TV Schedule & Listings Guide
Fox Live TV Schedule & Listings Guide. NFL legend Troy Aikman knows exactly what Travis Kelce will do after retirement. NFL Race to the End Zone Is Back for Season 2 and Ready for Action !.
Sources: screenrant.com, hitc.com, bleedingcool.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Barcelona at 24.0% with $78K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Barcelona.
Event leaders
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume & odds: Barcelona | 24.0% | $78K
Popular events
Sources: almanacnews.com, fas.org
Taos Ski Valley persists with renewable diesel use despite changing fed policy
Taos Ski Valley persists with renewable diesel use despite changing fed policy. Hang Lung Mainland Portfolio to be 100 % Powered by Renewable Energy. Hang Lung Mainland Portfolio to be 100 % Powered by Renewable Energy.
Sources: taosnews.com, thailand-business-news.com, businessdayghana.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k at 86.0% with $950 traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k.
Event leaders
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑5k | 86.0% | $950
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.6% | $435
Popular events
+$43,756
+$43,617
+$30,067
Kalshi via Jupiter
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