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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" Event volume totals $78M across outcomes, with $10M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 47.0% and $6M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in December?" Highest implied odds are for "25 bps increase" at 80.0%, with top volume on "No change" at 18.0% and $429K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Volume leaders
B1
Lead market: Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? - Benjamin Netanyahu leads the desk at 47.0% with $6M traded.
Lead stories
Yashar Gadi Eisenkot reacts to Netanyahu plan for alternative state financing
Yashar Gadi Eisenkot reacts to Netanyahu plan for alternative state financing. Netanyahu invites PM Modi to light Independence Day torch alongside heroic Indian pilot Smit Machchhar in Israel. How Israel elects its prime minister without voters choosing a candidate.
Sources: jpost.com, aninews.in, hindustantimes.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in December? - No change leads the desk at 18.0% with $429K traded.
Lead stories
Fed expected to hold rates steady days ahead of U . S . midterms
Fed expected to hold rates steady days ahead of U . S . midterms. Bond traders are backing off Fed rate hike bets here what it means for mortgage rates. Breitbart Business Digest : Wall Street Is Daring Kevin Warsh to Raise Interest Rates.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, aol.com, breitbart.com
CENTCOM Chief Brad Cooper flies over Hormuz during Middle East visit
CENTCOM Chief Brad Cooper flies over Hormuz during Middle East visit. Britain , Oman agree on need to open Strait of Hormuz. Britain , Oman agree on need to open Strait of Hormuz.
B4
Lead market: Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $2.0–$2.25T leads the desk at 23.7% with $36K traded.
Lead stories
Forget the Anthropic IPO . Here Are 6 Stocks Worth Watching .
Forget the Anthropic IPO . Here Are 6 Stocks Worth Watching .. Forget the Anthropic IPO . Here Are 6 Stocks Worth Watching .. Forget the Anthropic IPO . Here Are 6 Stocks Worth Watching ..
A timeline of developments in AI safety since the attack on Hugging Face – Winnipeg Free Press
A timeline of developments in AI safety since the attack on Hugging Face – Winnipeg Free Press. Claude Duet vs Grok Bot vs ChatGPT Work vs Meta Muse : Which AI agent is worth using in India ?. Google Cloud Unifies GPT - 6 , Claude , and Gemini on Single Invoice for Enterprise.
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 3.9% with $90K traded.
Lead stories
Gladiator and Gladiator II on Netflix : Release dates , cast details and everything to know about both Roman epic films. Charli XCX to Cameo in Martin Scorsese New Horror Movie. Entertainment News Live Updates | Balu Varghese Legal Notice | Balu Varghese Misconduct Allegations | Jailer 2 Day 8....
Sources: livemint.com, rollingstone.com, filmibeat.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↑ 87,500 leads the desk at 1.9% with $142K traded.
Lead stories
With Oil Prices Rising , Bitcoin Remains Stuck Below $85 , 000 . Here Why Im Still Buying Bitcoin Right Now .. CryptoQuant CEO Calls Rising Bitcoin Hashrate Indirect Bullish Signal from Institutions. How Much of Your Portfolio Should Be in Bitcoin After JPMorgan 10 % Forecast ?.
Sources: fool.com, cointelegraph.com, aol.com
Is This Cryptocurrency a Potential Millionaire - Maker ?
Is This Cryptocurrency a Potential Millionaire - Maker ?.
B7
Lead market: MLB World Series Champion 2026 - Tampa Bay Rays leads the desk at 10.0% with $360K traded.
Lead stories
Red Sox Rookie Payton Tolle Gets a Mic for the World Series
Red Sox Rookie Payton Tolle Gets a Mic for the World Series. Clarification : iSpot MLB Ad - Spend Estimates : 2025 Included RSNs , Playoffs , 2026 Omitted RSNs. # 934 – My Shot : John Smoltz and Historic Diamond Awards & Dual - Role Legends.
Sources: nesn.com, mediapost.com, radio.foxnews.com
Mavericks vs . Pacers Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 23
Mavericks vs . Pacers Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 23. Tyrese Haliburton has emotional reaction to long - awaited return. Pacers vs . Nets Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 25 | Sports Talk 790AM.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 1.7% with $1K traded.
Lead stories
Seven of 16 Planetary Vital Signs of Earth Now at Record Extremes , Study Finds
Seven of 16 Planetary Vital Signs of Earth Now at Record Extremes , Study Finds. UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2026 : 10 Key Findings on Global Carbon Emissions , 1 . 5°C Warming , Renewable Energy and.... Behind AI carbon footprint , a potential climate tool.
Sources: deccanchronicle.com, greentechlead.com, thestar.com.my
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.8%
$25K
How do Israel elections work and who are the main contenders ?. Arab News | Disenchanted Netanyahu supporters are prize of Israel election campaign. Disenchanted Netanyahu supporters are prize of Israel election campaign.
Sources: bbc.com, arabnews.com, al-monitor.com
The Greater Manchester borough named among least affordable places to buy a home in united kingdom
The Greater Manchester borough named among least affordable places to buy a home in united kingdom. Trump bully dropped a slur that too obscene even for MAGA yet they cheered. Parliament monsoon session yet to be prorogued , raising doubts over winter sitting.
Sources: manchestereveningnews.co.uk, rawstory.com, hindustantimes.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? - Benjamin Netanyahu at 47.0% with $6M traded.
Top volume remains in Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? - Benjamin Netanyahu.
Lead event
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? - Benjamin Netanyahu
Trading at 47.0% with $6M in volume.
Event leaders
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Top volume & odds: Benjamin Netanyahu | 47.0% | $6M
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Top volume: Republican Party | 8.0% | $1M
Top odds: Democratic Party | 93.0%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Top volume: Republicans Sweep | 7.0% | $512K
Top odds: Democrats Sweep | 66.0%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Democratic Party | 67.0% | $507K
15.5%
—
$14M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $719M
Presidential election
Event volume $721M
Fed Minutes Show Another Rate Hike Is Likely This Year as Kevin Warsh FOMC Battles Persistent Inflation . Here Why Th.... Inflation is retreating from most of the store why your biggest bills are the holdouts : Chart of the Day. Fed Minutes Show Another Rate Hike Is Likely This Year as Kevin Warsh FOMC Battles Persistent Inflation . Here Why Th....
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in December? - No change at 18.0% with $429K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in December? - No change.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 12.0% | $55K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 96.9% | $50K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will GameStop acquire eBay?) | 7.0% | $40K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $105 | 40.0% | $29K
Popular events
Sources: winnipegfreepress.com, businesstoday.in, techtimes.com
Moonshot AI launches new flagship Kim K3 . 1 Pro model with 3T parameters
Moonshot AI launches new flagship Kim K3 . 1 Pro model with 3T parameters. A timeline of developments in AI safety since the attack on Hugging Face. Anthropic IPO to drive blockbuster gains for Iconiq , Spark , GIC.
Sources: siliconangle.com, cjme.com, businesstimes.com.sg
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $2.0–$2.25T at 23.7% with $36K traded.
Top volume remains in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $2.0–$2.25T.
Lead event
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $2.0–$2.25T
Trading at 23.7% with $36K in volume.
Event leaders
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Top volume: $2.0–$2.25T | 23.7% | $36K
Top odds: $1.75–$2.0T | 32.0%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Google | 50.0% | $34K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 22.0% | $29K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 96.6%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Top volume & odds: Google | 97.1% | $19K
Popular events
Why The Twist In The Sixth Sense Is Still The Best In Cinema History
Why The Twist In The Sixth Sense Is Still The Best In Cinema History. 3 Best Horror Movies To Watch On Shudder This Weekend ( October 24 - 25 ). Sacha Baron Cohen Ali G Asks Fans to Illegally Pirate His New Movie : Sharing Is Caring.
Sources: cinemablend.com, screenrant.com, aol.com
Dutch football team celebrates Stranraer links with tartan kit
Dutch football team celebrates Stranraer links with tartan kit. Dame Judi Dench : I cant do a play , do a film , or read any more. The Final Contenders For The Next James Bond , Ranked.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, bbc.co.uk, screenrant.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 3.9% with $90K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 3.9% with $90K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.9% | $90K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 55.0% | $21K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.4% | $6K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 6.1% | $5K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 94.0%
Sources: fool.com
Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ? | The Motley Fool
Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ? | The Motley Fool. Bitcoin Price Analysis : Treasury Companies Break Even Near $80 , 000 . What Happens if BTC Falls Below It ?. Mow Says Bitcoin ( BTC ) Treasury Firms Are Undervalued Amid Supply Competition.
Sources: fool.com, 247wallst.com, econotimes.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↑ 87,500 at 1.9% with $142K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↑ 87,500.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Top volume: ↑ 87,500 | 1.9% | $142K
Top odds: ↑ 82,500 | 53.0%
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $1B | 72.8% | $83K
Top odds: $300M | 98.8%
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 3.3% | $42K
Popular events
Lakers stave off Clippers as Walker Kessler patrols the paint
Lakers stave off Clippers as Walker Kessler patrols the paint. Lakers stave off Clippers as Walker Kessler patrols the paint. Trail Blazers vs . Lakers Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 27 | Rip City Radio 620 Portland.
Sources: dailynews.com, dailybreeze.com, ripcityradio.iheart.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by MLB World Series Champion 2026 - Tampa Bay Rays at 10.0% with $360K traded.
Top volume remains in MLB World Series Champion 2026 - Tampa Bay Rays.
Event leaders
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Top volume: Tampa Bay Rays | 10.0% | $360K
Top odds: Milwaukee Brewers | 91.1%
Popular events
China makes significant progress in climate action , charts green path. Update : China makes significant progress in climate action , charts green path. BC Parties Have Little to Say on Flood and Fire Prevention.
Sources: china.org.cn, english.anhuinews.com, thetyee.ca
Pitt town hall discusses climate action plan , ways for students to get involved
Pitt town hall discusses climate action plan , ways for students to get involved. You are responsible for this mes : Piyush Goyal slams West over carbon emissions , climate finance failures. Next governor and climate.
Sources: pittnews.com, hindustantimes.com, laist.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 1.7% with $1K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 1.7% | $1K
Popular events
+$19,666
+$16,441
+$15,773
Kalshi via Jupiter
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