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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Republican Presidential Nominee 2028". Event volume totals $719M across outcomes, with $124K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "J.D. Vance" at 38.5%, with top volume on "Donald Trump" at 1.7% and $33K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in December?" Highest implied odds are for "25 bps increase" at 71.0%, with top volume on "No change" at 28.0% and $469K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 - Ivanka Trump
$0
Highest implied
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5.5k
98.8%
Top priced
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5.5k
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Which party will win the House in 2026? - Republican Party leads the desk at 7.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
The Greater Manchester borough named among least affordable places to buy a home in united kingdom
The Greater Manchester borough named among least affordable places to buy a home in united kingdom. Trump bully dropped a slur that too obscene even for MAGA yet they cheered. Peter Pan creator J . M . Barrie and rock musician Keith Emerson once lived in this 15th - century Sussex house , now....
Sources: manchestereveningnews.co.uk, rawstory.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in December? - No change leads the desk at 28.0% with $469K traded.
Lead stories
Fed expected to hold rates steady days ahead of U . S . midterms
Fed expected to hold rates steady days ahead of U . S . midterms. Yields on govt debt rise with BSP move in focus - BusinessWorld Online. Oman stock market drops on US - Iran uncertainty and maritime disruptions.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, bworldonline.com, timesofoman.com
Oil Prices Fall Monday After Six - Month Highs
Oil Prices Fall Monday After Six - Month Highs. CFTC Review Keeps Kalshi 100 - Barrel WTI Contract Pending. Sensex falls 134 points , Nifty slips below 22 , 600 amid crude oil prices and West Asia tensions.
B4
Lead market: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T leads the desk at 22.0% with $47K traded.
Lead stories
A timeline of developments in AI safety since the attack on Hugging Face – Winnipeg Free Press
A timeline of developments in AI safety since the attack on Hugging Face – Winnipeg Free Press. Moonshot AI launches new flagship Kim K3 . 1 Pro model with 3T parameters. A timeline of developments in AI safety since the attack on Hugging Face.
Sources: winnipegfreepress.com, siliconangle.com, cjme.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 3.3% with $53K traded.
Lead stories
Gladiator and Gladiator II on Netflix : Release dates , cast details and everything to know about both Roman epic films. Jagun Jagun 2 Set to Raise the Bar as New Faces Join Cast – THISDAYLIVE. SRK , Amitabh Bachchan popular in Taiwan ; their visit would make big new : Ambassador Mumin Chen.
Sources: livemint.com, thisdaylive.com, tribuneindia.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↓ 75,000 leads the desk at 19.2% with $421K traded.
Lead stories
With Oil Prices Rising , Bitcoin Remains Stuck Below $85 , 000 . Here Why Im Still Buying Bitcoin Right Now .. Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ? | The Motley Fool. Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ?.
What Happened to Uptober ? Bitcoin May Be Down in October , But Here Are 3 Reasons to Remain Bullish on BTC .. What Happened to Uptober ? Bitcoin May Be Down in October , But Here Are 3 Reasons to Remain Bullish on BTC .. Bitcoin Cash vs Litecoin : Which Payment Coin Has More Upside in 2026 ?.
B7
Lead market: Knicks leads the desk at 51.0% with $305K traded.
Lead stories
Mikal Bridge shooting woes doom Knicks to 0 - 3 start
Mikal Bridge shooting woes doom Knicks to 0 - 3 start. Celtics ready for home opener against Knicks. Jayson Tatum bounces back to lift Celtics past Knicks.
Sources: yardbarker.com, wmur.com, pressherald.com
Spurs vs . Mavericks Predictions , Odds & Stats – Oct . 24
Spurs vs . Mavericks Predictions , Odds & Stats – Oct . 24. Spurs vs . Mavericks Predictions , Odds & Stats – Oct . 24. Spurs vs . Mavericks Predictions , Odds & Stats – Oct . 24.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.7% with $92K traded.
Lead stories
Next governor and climate. California carbon market changed this year , and the next governor will inherit the fallout. Californian support for cutting carbon emissions wanes as new climate warnings arrive – Orange County Register.
Sources: laist.com, laist.com, ocregister.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kwenya questions Matiangi Jubilee presidential ticket. JD - U Anant Singh defies party , backs Jan Suraaj candidate.
Sources: the-star.co.ke, rediff.com
Guide for New Jersey residents to register to vote in upcoming elections
Guide for New Jersey residents to register to vote in upcoming elections. Former President Barack Obama to visit Cleveland for midterm rally. Global Market : China yuan hits four - year high as dollar weakens ahead of policy meetings.
Sources: fox5ny.com, whio.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Which party will win the House in 2026? - Republican Party at 7.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Which party will win the House in 2026? - Republican Party.
Lead event
Which party will win the House in 2026? - Republican Party
Trading at 7.0% with $2M in volume.
Event leaders
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Top volume: Republican Party | 7.0% | $2M
Top odds: Democratic Party | 94.0%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Top volume: Republican Party | 30.0% | $1M
Top odds: Democratic Party | 71.0%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Top volume: Republicans Sweep | 6.0% | $912K
Top odds: Democrats Sweep | 71.0%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Top volume & odds: October 31 | 94.8% | $471K
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Top volume & odds: Benjamin Netanyahu | 43.0% | $425K
15.5%
—
$14M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $719M
Presidential election
Event volume $723M
Sources: en.shafaqna.com, econotimes.com, ibtimes.co.in
How much Apple stock does former CEO Tim Cook actually own ?
How much Apple stock does former CEO Tim Cook actually own ?. Explosion and fire erupt at Quaker Oats plant in Cedar Rapids , Iowa ; no injuries. Infosys upbeat on deals , cautious on growth as competition intensifies.
Sources: aol.com, abc11.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in December? - No change at 28.0% with $469K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in December? - No change.
Event leaders
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $105 | 95.2% | $132K
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of December 2026? | 54.0% | $117K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
Top volume: ↑ $6,000 | 2.3% | $57K
Top odds: ↓ $3,500 | 24.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 11.0% | $56K
Popular events
Anthropic $80 . 7B loss highlights AI industry financial risks ahead of blockbuster IPO – NaturalNews . com. Selling Gas Twice : Venture Global Courts Qatar While Plotting A $160 Billion AI Power Empire.
Sources: naturalnews.com, zerohedge.com
Artificial intelligence : Anthropic logged loss of US$80B
Artificial intelligence : Anthropic logged loss of US$80B. OpenAI 2026 Revenue Estimate Just Got Cut by $20 Billion . Anthropic Quarterly Revenue Just Climbed to $16 . 8 Billion .. NYC Comptroller Levine urges Anthropic to pause US IPO , CNBC reports.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, fool.com, aol.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T at 22.0% with $47K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T.
Lead event
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T
Trading at 22.0% with $47K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 22.0% | $47K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 92.8%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Top volume & odds: $1.75–$2.0T | 32.0% | $19K
Top volume & odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 94.8% | $19K
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Top volume: Anthropic | 34.0% | $13K
Top odds: Google | 58.0%
Trump fraud whistleblower program draws in thousands of tips in days. Pakistan name new - look Test squad for Sri Lanka series. Jennifer Aniston Quote : Quote of the day by Jennifer Aniston : Im still a romantic . I still believe in love , a rem....
Sources: foxnews.com, samaa.tv, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Titan box office collection day 2 : Jayasurya , Vinayakan film earns Rs 1 . 00 cr in India ; Friday collection falls.... Inside Nicole Kidman red - hot renaissance at age 59. Udta Teer Full Movie Collection : Udta Teer box office collection Day 2 [ LIVE ]: Ayushmann Khurrana and Sara Ali Kha....
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, pagesix.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 3.3% with $53K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 3.3% with $53K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.3% | $53K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume: December 31, 2026 | 3.1% | $39K
Top odds: March 31, 2027 | 11.0%
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 54.0% | $11K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 9.7% | $7K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 91.0%
Ethereum Price Prediction : Where Could ETH Be by the End of October ?
Ethereum Price Prediction : Where Could ETH Be by the End of October ?. What Will 100 Solana ( SOL ) Be Worth by 2030 ?. What Is the Best Crypto to Buy With $500 Right Now ?.
Sources: aol.com, 247wallst.com, aol.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↓ 75,000 at 19.2% with $421K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↓ 75,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 75,000 | 19.2% | $421K
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $1B | 53.5% | $53K
Top odds: $300M | 98.0%
Popular events
Pacers vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 26
Pacers vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 26. Pacers vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 26. NBA Eastern Conference power rankings : All 15 teams ranked worst to first entering preseason.
Sources: 790louisville.iheart.com, fsr920.iheart.com, thebiglead.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Knicks | 51.0% | $305K
Top volume & odds: Rockets | 78.0% | $180K
Top volume & odds: Magic | 66.0% | $79K
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume: Real Madrid | 14.0% | $61K
Top odds: Barcelona | 23.0%
Super Typhoon Champi Update : Storm Cancels Over 1 , 000 Flights as Taiwan Braces for Extreme Rain. Californian support for cutting carbon emissions wanes as new climate warnings arrive | Dan Walters | Dan - walters. Californian support for cutting carbon emissions wanes as new climate warnings arrive – Daily Bulletin.
Sources: ibtimes.co.uk, lompocrecord.com, dailybulletin.com
Californian support for cutting carbon emissions wanes as new climate warnings arrive | Dan Walters | Dan - walters. Tone - deaf Tice mocked again over juvenile climate change jibe - Left Foot Forward : Leading the united kingdom prog.... Policy U - turn could stall Britain take - up of electric vehicles | Electric , hybrid and low - emission cars.
Sources: santamariatimes.com, leftfootforward.org, theguardian.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.7% with $92K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.7% | $92K
Popular events
+$28,413
+$19,666
+$15,773
Kalshi via Jupiter
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