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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)". Event volume totals $78M across outcomes, with $13M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "None" at 95.2% and $4M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in December?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "25 bps increase" at 78.0% and $535K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes
$0
Highest implied
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $300M
98.9%
Top priced
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $300M
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX) - None leads the desk at 95.2% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
F1 fans react as Jimmy Carr cracks risky and divisive joke over Kimi Antonelli title win
F1 fans react as Jimmy Carr cracks risky and divisive joke over Kimi Antonelli title win. Winning Set for Life lottery numbers for Thursday , November 5. Manchester United youngster set for full Premier League debut after Michael Carrick verdict.
Sources: aol.co.uk, chroniclelive.co.uk, aol.co.uk
Watch : The Decoy Dan Gambit Is Already Confusing Alaska Voters
Watch : The Decoy Dan Gambit Is Already Confusing Alaska Voters. Election night agenda : When polls close and when to expect results. Alaska election shenanigans date back to territorial days.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, House control 2026, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in December? - 25 bps increase leads the desk at 78.0% with $535K traded.
Lead stories
Why AUD / USD Is Facing Its Most Important Test Yet
Why AUD / USD Is Facing Its Most Important Test Yet.
Sources: dailyforex.com
Explosions rock Iran Qeshm Island as Tehran claims three US drones downed
Explosions rock Iran Qeshm Island as Tehran claims three US drones downed. US strikes Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz , official says , leaving unclear what comes next. U . S . Carries Out Defensive Strike On Iranian Island.
Sources: thehindubusinessline.com, ,
B4
Lead market: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - SpaceX leads the desk at 71.0% with $59K traded.
Lead stories
Reliance - backed Jio Platforms IPO : ₹1 lakh crore gains for Meta , Google in ₹30 , 213 cr issue by Mukesh Ambani fi.... Jio IPO : Meta , Google sit on nearly ₹1 lakh crore paper profit & neither is selling. Which Funds Have the Largest Stakes in Anthropic and OpenAI Ahead of Their IPOs ?.
Sources: livemint.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, morningstar.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 2.4% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Ramayana pre - Diwali GAMBLE brings back memories of Dilwale Dulhania Le Jayenge : Shah Rukh Khan - starrer opened BE.... BREAKING : Ramayana BREAKS pre - Diwali jinx ! Rs . 25 cr+ in advance ticket sales ; Kamal Gianchandani predicts HIST.... Shah Rukh Khan starrer KING gets a Diwali surprise as Bonus Playing Cards launches limited - edition collector deck :....
Sources: bollywoodhungama.com, bollywoodhungama.com,
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 55,000 leads the desk at 7.0% with $133K traded.
Lead stories
Pepe Rose 12 % and Hyperliquid Nearly 10 % This Week While Bitcoin Fell . Can Either Keep Climbing ?
Pepe Rose 12 % and Hyperliquid Nearly 10 % This Week While Bitcoin Fell . Can Either Keep Climbing ?.
Sources: 247wallst.com
Is This Cryptocurrency a Potential Millionaire - Maker ?
Is This Cryptocurrency a Potential Millionaire - Maker ?.
Sources: fool.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Real Madrid leads the desk at 15.0% with $70K traded.
Lead stories
Barcelona suffers first loss of season , falls 4 - 2 to PSG
Barcelona suffers first loss of season , falls 4 - 2 to PSG. PSG Beat Man City 4 - 2 to Lead Champions League Standings.
Sources: koreaherald.com, zalebs.com
What We Need to Know : Trump Midterm Push , a Deadly Jet Crash and the Bear Big Night Statement
What We Need to Know : Trump Midterm Push , a Deadly Jet Crash and the Bear Big Night Statement.
Sources: hotspotatl.com
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 1.8% with $3K traded.
Lead stories
Irrigation helps in climate resilience but it not enough
Irrigation helps in climate resilience but it not enough. Odisha Renewable Energy Investment Surges to ₹1 . 17 Lakh - Pragativadi I Latest Odisha News in English I Breaking News. Low - pressure system may strengthen into subtropical storm.
Sources: thehindubusinessline.com, pragativadi.com, wxii12.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$705
Sources: redstate.com, wxyz.com, sitkasentinel.com
Our Historic Victories and How We Won
Our Historic Victories and How We Won. The Latest : Races in Alaska and Mississippi will determine strength of Democratic Senate majority.
Sources: thenation.com, hngnews.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX) - None at 95.2% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX) - None.
Lead event
Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX) - None
Trading at 95.2% with $4M in volume.
Event leaders
Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX)
Top volume & odds: None | 95.2% | $4M
Top volume & odds: Mary Peltola (D) | 94.6% | $2M
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Top volume: Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | 3.9% | $2M
Top odds: Scott Colom (D) | 96.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 13.0% | $941K
14.1%
-1.8pp
$28M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $727M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $732M+1%
Gas Prices Decline , But Still For Election Day
Gas Prices Decline , But Still For Election Day. Gas Prices Decline , But Still For Election Day | News Radio 1190 KEX. HPCL Visakhapatnam refinery fire controlled , no damage to units.
Sources: jamn1075.iheart.com, 1190kex.iheart.com, thehindubusinessline.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in December? - 25 bps increase at 78.0% with $535K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in December? - 25 bps increase.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: 25 bps increase | 78.0% | $535K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 11.0% | $292K
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Top volume: December 31 | 8.0% | $120K
Top odds: March 31, 2027 | 18.0%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 91.6% | $55K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 97.8% | $46K
Popular events
Anthropic Is Growing 50 %, Microsoft Isnt
Anthropic Is Growing 50 %, Microsoft Isnt. Anthropic Is Aiming for the Biggest IPO Ever -- Here the Chip Stock to Buy Before It Lists. Anthropic Says It Turned an Adjusted Profit Ahead of Its Expected IPO.
Sources: 247wallst.com, fool.com, aol.com
Client demand for shorter AI deals reshapes Google cloud market battle
Client demand for shorter AI deals reshapes Google cloud market battle.
Sources: livemint.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - SpaceX at 71.0% with $59K traded.
Top volume remains in Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? - SpaceX.
Event leaders
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 71.0% | $59K
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Top volume: <$1.25T | 9.0% | $51K
Top odds: $1.75–$2.0T | 26.0%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Google | 61.0% | $26K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 13.0% | $14K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 93.1%
Top volume & odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 97.7% | $14K
Settlement Without Finding Of Contravention : Reassessing Compensation Claims Under Section 53N Of Competition Act. Saratoga Springs city workers appeal to council amid layoffs | News. Backups Drew Lock , Gardner Minshew II do battle as Seahawks host Cardinals.
Sources: livelaw.in, dailygazette.com, 1045thezone.com
Neve Campbell Says Shell Return For Scream 8
Neve Campbell Says Shell Return For Scream 8.
Sources: kw3.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 2.4% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 2.4% with $2M in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 2.4% | $2M
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume: December 31, 2026 | 2.4% | $40K
Top odds: March 31, 2027 | 9.9%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 94.0% | $28K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 66.0% | $15K
Top volume & odds: Callum Turner | 50.8% | $5K
We Asked ChatGPT if Ethereum Can Reach $3 , 000 by March 2027. Dogecoin Price Prediction : Can DOGE Reach $1 by 2030 ?.
Sources: 247wallst.com, 247wallst.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 55,000 at 7.0% with $133K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 55,000.
Event leaders
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $1B | 55.0% | $19K
Top odds: $200M | 98.5%
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $1B | 57.3% | $11K
Top odds: $300M | 98.9%
Top volume: by December 31, 2026 | 1.6% | $11K
Top odds: by December 31, 2027 | 24.0%
Popular events
NBA roundup : Pelicans prevail in OT , hand Grizzlies first loss. NBA roundup : Pelicans prevail in OT , hand Grizzlies first loss.
Sources: orlandoecho.com, texasguardian.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Real Madrid at 15.0% with $70K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Real Madrid.
Event leaders
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume: Real Madrid | 15.0% | $70K
Top odds: Barcelona | 24.0%
Top volume: Oklahoma City Thunder | 13.0% | $24K
Top odds: San Antonio Spurs | 23.0%
Top volume & odds: Gen.G | 53.0% | $22K
Popular events
El Niño rains bring drought relief to the Rocky Mountains , but destructive floods to the Four Corners. East coast storm losses reach $1 . 62 billion in final estimate. First Alert Weather : Election Day Forecast | Tracking a few morning showers shifting inland.
Sources: ksut.org, insurancebusinessmag.com, actionnewsjax.com
Rain , thunderstorms return to Charlotte region : First Alert forecast here
Rain , thunderstorms return to Charlotte region : First Alert forecast here. Weather Alert - evening severe threat. Nashville weather update for Nov . 2.
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 1.8% with $3K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 1.8% | $3K
Popular events
+$10,804
+$3,426
+$3,295
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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